Assessing market price dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda

The COVID-19 pandemic and the economic measures taken to prevent its spread led to a global recession in 2020 that was expected to cause significant increases in poverty and food insecurity in many countries. Households were expected to experience a “double whammy” of decreased incomes and rising fo...

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Autores principales: Hirvonen, Kalle, Rosenbach, Gracie, Spielman, David J.
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142084
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author Hirvonen, Kalle
Rosenbach, Gracie
Spielman, David J.
author_browse Hirvonen, Kalle
Rosenbach, Gracie
Spielman, David J.
author_facet Hirvonen, Kalle
Rosenbach, Gracie
Spielman, David J.
author_sort Hirvonen, Kalle
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The COVID-19 pandemic and the economic measures taken to prevent its spread led to a global recession in 2020 that was expected to cause significant increases in poverty and food insecurity in many countries. Households were expected to experience a “double whammy” of decreased incomes and rising food prices. This examines whether food prices rose in Rwanda since the COVID-19 pandemic began in early 2020. The main findings from this price analysis suggest the following. • Food prices did not significantly rise (or fall) during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda. • Prices of staple foods (cereals and other starches) declined following the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, while the prices of pulses (the second largest food consumption group in Rwanda after staple foods) experienced a seasonal spike at the end of 2021, but returned to below pre-pandemic levels throughout 2021. • For most food groups, price trends in each province generally followed the national price trends during the pandemic, with the exception of poultry and eggs. • Nationally, prices of poultry and eggs declined after the beginning of the pandemic, but these prices vary significantly by province, with prices in the Northern Province remaining above pre-pandemic levels and prices in all other provinces falling since the pandemic, with prices in Kigali City falling the most. Overall, these results suggest that households in Rwanda were not hit by the “double whammy” of decreased incomes and rising food prices, since food prices remained stable Rather, they may instead have only suffered from decreased incomes. These findings suggest that continued efforts to expand Rwanda’s social protection programs are needed to boost household purchasing power and ensure that households are able to consume more – and more nutritious – foods.
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spelling CGSpace1420842025-12-08T10:11:39Z Assessing market price dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda Hirvonen, Kalle Rosenbach, Gracie Spielman, David J. income covid-19 social protection household income food prices quarantine The COVID-19 pandemic and the economic measures taken to prevent its spread led to a global recession in 2020 that was expected to cause significant increases in poverty and food insecurity in many countries. Households were expected to experience a “double whammy” of decreased incomes and rising food prices. This examines whether food prices rose in Rwanda since the COVID-19 pandemic began in early 2020. The main findings from this price analysis suggest the following. • Food prices did not significantly rise (or fall) during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda. • Prices of staple foods (cereals and other starches) declined following the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, while the prices of pulses (the second largest food consumption group in Rwanda after staple foods) experienced a seasonal spike at the end of 2021, but returned to below pre-pandemic levels throughout 2021. • For most food groups, price trends in each province generally followed the national price trends during the pandemic, with the exception of poultry and eggs. • Nationally, prices of poultry and eggs declined after the beginning of the pandemic, but these prices vary significantly by province, with prices in the Northern Province remaining above pre-pandemic levels and prices in all other provinces falling since the pandemic, with prices in Kigali City falling the most. Overall, these results suggest that households in Rwanda were not hit by the “double whammy” of decreased incomes and rising food prices, since food prices remained stable Rather, they may instead have only suffered from decreased incomes. These findings suggest that continued efforts to expand Rwanda’s social protection programs are needed to boost household purchasing power and ensure that households are able to consume more – and more nutritious – foods. 2021-11-22 2024-05-22T12:09:56Z 2024-05-22T12:09:56Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142084 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Hirvonen, Kalle; Rosenbach, Gracie; and Spielman, David J. 2021. Assessing market price dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda. Rwanda SSP Note 3. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134767.
spellingShingle income
covid-19
social protection
household income
food prices
quarantine
Hirvonen, Kalle
Rosenbach, Gracie
Spielman, David J.
Assessing market price dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda
title Assessing market price dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda
title_full Assessing market price dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda
title_fullStr Assessing market price dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda
title_full_unstemmed Assessing market price dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda
title_short Assessing market price dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Rwanda
title_sort assessing market price dynamics during the covid 19 pandemic in rwanda
topic income
covid-19
social protection
household income
food prices
quarantine
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142084
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