Development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the MENA Region
This paper presents the composite drought indicator (CDI) that Jordanian, Lebanese, Moroccan, and Tunisian government agencies now produce monthly to support operational drought management decision making, and it describes their iterative co-development processes. The CDI is primarily intended to mo...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Nature Portfolio
2024
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/141689 |
| _version_ | 1855514100911570944 |
|---|---|
| author | Bergaoui, Karim Belhaj Fraj, Makram Fragaszy, Stephen Ghanim, A. Hamadin, O. Al‑Karablieh, E. Al‑Bakri, J. Fakih, M. Fayad, A. Comair, F. Yessef, M. Mansour, H. B. Belgrissi, H. Arsenault, K. Peters‑Lidard, C. Kumar, S. Hazra, A. Nie, W. Hayes, M. Svoboda, M. McDonnell, Rachael |
| author_browse | Al‑Bakri, J. Al‑Karablieh, E. Arsenault, K. Belgrissi, H. Belhaj Fraj, Makram Bergaoui, Karim Comair, F. Fakih, M. Fayad, A. Fragaszy, Stephen Ghanim, A. Hamadin, O. Hayes, M. Hazra, A. Kumar, S. Mansour, H. B. McDonnell, Rachael Nie, W. Peters‑Lidard, C. Svoboda, M. Yessef, M. |
| author_facet | Bergaoui, Karim Belhaj Fraj, Makram Fragaszy, Stephen Ghanim, A. Hamadin, O. Al‑Karablieh, E. Al‑Bakri, J. Fakih, M. Fayad, A. Comair, F. Yessef, M. Mansour, H. B. Belgrissi, H. Arsenault, K. Peters‑Lidard, C. Kumar, S. Hazra, A. Nie, W. Hayes, M. Svoboda, M. McDonnell, Rachael |
| author_sort | Bergaoui, Karim |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | This paper presents the composite drought indicator (CDI) that Jordanian, Lebanese, Moroccan, and Tunisian government agencies now produce monthly to support operational drought management decision making, and it describes their iterative co-development processes. The CDI is primarily intended to monitor agricultural and ecological drought on a seasonal time scale. It uses remote sensing and modelled data inputs, and it reflects anomalies in precipitation, vegetation, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration. Following quantitative and qualitative validation assessments, engagements with policymakers, and consideration of agencies’ technical and institutional capabilities and constraints, we made changes to CDI input data, modelling procedures, and integration to tailor the system for each national context. We summarize validation results, drought modelling challenges and how we overcame them through CDI improvements, and we describe the monthly CDI production process and outputs. Finally, we synthesize procedural and technical aspects of CDI development and reflect on the constraints we faced as well as trade-offs made to optimize the CDI for operational monitoring to support policy decision-making—including aspects of salience, credibility, and legitimacy—within each national context. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace141689 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateRange | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| publisherStr | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1416892025-12-08T09:54:28Z Development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the MENA Region Bergaoui, Karim Belhaj Fraj, Makram Fragaszy, Stephen Ghanim, A. Hamadin, O. Al‑Karablieh, E. Al‑Bakri, J. Fakih, M. Fayad, A. Comair, F. Yessef, M. Mansour, H. B. Belgrissi, H. Arsenault, K. Peters‑Lidard, C. Kumar, S. Hazra, A. Nie, W. Hayes, M. Svoboda, M. McDonnell, Rachael drought indicators monitoring precipitation soil moisture decision making policies This paper presents the composite drought indicator (CDI) that Jordanian, Lebanese, Moroccan, and Tunisian government agencies now produce monthly to support operational drought management decision making, and it describes their iterative co-development processes. The CDI is primarily intended to monitor agricultural and ecological drought on a seasonal time scale. It uses remote sensing and modelled data inputs, and it reflects anomalies in precipitation, vegetation, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration. Following quantitative and qualitative validation assessments, engagements with policymakers, and consideration of agencies’ technical and institutional capabilities and constraints, we made changes to CDI input data, modelling procedures, and integration to tailor the system for each national context. We summarize validation results, drought modelling challenges and how we overcame them through CDI improvements, and we describe the monthly CDI production process and outputs. Finally, we synthesize procedural and technical aspects of CDI development and reflect on the constraints we faced as well as trade-offs made to optimize the CDI for operational monitoring to support policy decision-making—including aspects of salience, credibility, and legitimacy—within each national context. 2024-03-05 2024-04-30T21:23:32Z 2024-04-30T21:23:32Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/141689 en Open Access Nature Portfolio Bergaoui, Karim; Belhaj Fraj, Makram; Fragaszy, Stephen; Ghanim, A.; Hamadin, O.; Al-Karablieh, E.; Al-Bakri, J.; Fakih, M.; Fayad, A.; Comair, F.; Yessef, M.; Mansour, H. B.; Belgrissi, H.; Arsenault, K.; Peters-Lidard, C.; Kumar, S.; Hazra, A.; Nie, W.; Hayes, M.; Svoboda, M.; McDonnell, Rachael. 2024. Development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the MENA Region. Scientific Reports, 14:5414. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-55626-0] |
| spellingShingle | drought indicators monitoring precipitation soil moisture decision making policies Bergaoui, Karim Belhaj Fraj, Makram Fragaszy, Stephen Ghanim, A. Hamadin, O. Al‑Karablieh, E. Al‑Bakri, J. Fakih, M. Fayad, A. Comair, F. Yessef, M. Mansour, H. B. Belgrissi, H. Arsenault, K. Peters‑Lidard, C. Kumar, S. Hazra, A. Nie, W. Hayes, M. Svoboda, M. McDonnell, Rachael Development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the MENA Region |
| title | Development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the MENA Region |
| title_full | Development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the MENA Region |
| title_fullStr | Development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the MENA Region |
| title_full_unstemmed | Development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the MENA Region |
| title_short | Development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the MENA Region |
| title_sort | development of a composite drought indicator for operational drought monitoring in the mena region |
| topic | drought indicators monitoring precipitation soil moisture decision making policies |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/141689 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT bergaouikarim developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT belhajfrajmakram developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT fragaszystephen developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT ghanima developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT hamadino developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT alkarabliehe developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT albakrij developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT fakihm developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT fayada developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT comairf developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT yessefm developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT mansourhb developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT belgrissih developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT arsenaultk developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT peterslidardc developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT kumars developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT hazraa developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT niew developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT hayesm developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT svobodam developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion AT mcdonnellrachael developmentofacompositedroughtindicatorforoperationaldroughtmonitoringinthemenaregion |