Caveat utilitor: A comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches

As development and humanitarian agencies increasingly advance the objective of ‘building resilience’, three resilience measurement methods have come into especially widespread use: the Resilience Indicators for Measurement and Analysis approach developed by FAO, the multi-dimensional index approach...

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Autores principales: Upton, Joanna, Constenla-Villoslada, Susana, Barrett, Christopher B.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/141091
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author Upton, Joanna
Constenla-Villoslada, Susana
Barrett, Christopher B.
author_browse Barrett, Christopher B.
Constenla-Villoslada, Susana
Upton, Joanna
author_facet Upton, Joanna
Constenla-Villoslada, Susana
Barrett, Christopher B.
author_sort Upton, Joanna
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description As development and humanitarian agencies increasingly advance the objective of ‘building resilience’, three resilience measurement methods have come into especially widespread use: the Resilience Indicators for Measurement and Analysis approach developed by FAO, the multi-dimensional index approach developed by TANGO International, and the probabilistic approach of Cissé and Barrett. We compare performance across those three methods using nationally representative panel data from Ethiopia and Niger. We find that the three measures exhibit significantly different distributions and orderings among households, and they vary significantly in the households they identify as resilient or least resilient. All three measures exhibit only modest out-of-sample predictive accuracy, generating many false negatives and false positives relative to the food security outcome measure whose resilience they are meant to reflect. It remains unclear what these measures capture and what value they add beyond more established wellbeing measures such as the food consumption score or real expenditures. Significant room exists for improvement in resilience measurement to better guide and evaluate development resilience interventions.
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spelling CGSpace1410912025-10-26T13:01:33Z Caveat utilitor: A comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches Upton, Joanna Constenla-Villoslada, Susana Barrett, Christopher B. shock measurement evaluation factor analysis targeting food security risk poverty resilience As development and humanitarian agencies increasingly advance the objective of ‘building resilience’, three resilience measurement methods have come into especially widespread use: the Resilience Indicators for Measurement and Analysis approach developed by FAO, the multi-dimensional index approach developed by TANGO International, and the probabilistic approach of Cissé and Barrett. We compare performance across those three methods using nationally representative panel data from Ethiopia and Niger. We find that the three measures exhibit significantly different distributions and orderings among households, and they vary significantly in the households they identify as resilient or least resilient. All three measures exhibit only modest out-of-sample predictive accuracy, generating many false negatives and false positives relative to the food security outcome measure whose resilience they are meant to reflect. It remains unclear what these measures capture and what value they add beyond more established wellbeing measures such as the food consumption score or real expenditures. Significant room exists for improvement in resilience measurement to better guide and evaluate development resilience interventions. 2022-06 2024-04-12T13:37:16Z 2024-04-12T13:37:16Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/141091 en Open Access Elsevier Upton, Joanna; Constenla-Villoslada, Susana; and Barrett, Christopher B. 2022. Caveat utilitor: A comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches. Journal of Development Economics 157(June 2022): 102873. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102873
spellingShingle shock
measurement
evaluation
factor analysis
targeting
food security
risk
poverty
resilience
Upton, Joanna
Constenla-Villoslada, Susana
Barrett, Christopher B.
Caveat utilitor: A comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches
title Caveat utilitor: A comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches
title_full Caveat utilitor: A comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches
title_fullStr Caveat utilitor: A comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches
title_full_unstemmed Caveat utilitor: A comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches
title_short Caveat utilitor: A comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches
title_sort caveat utilitor a comparative assessment of resilience measurement approaches
topic shock
measurement
evaluation
factor analysis
targeting
food security
risk
poverty
resilience
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/141091
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