Rice productivity in Myanmar: Assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022

We analyze rice input and productivity data for the monsoon seasons of 2020 and 2021 from the Myanmar Agriculture Performance Survey (MAPS). The survey covers plots of 2,672 rice producers, spread over 259 townships in all states/regions of the country. We find that: 1. Rice productivity at the nati...

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Autor principal: Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140982
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author Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
author_browse Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
author_facet Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
author_sort Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We analyze rice input and productivity data for the monsoon seasons of 2020 and 2021 from the Myanmar Agriculture Performance Survey (MAPS). The survey covers plots of 2,672 rice producers, spread over 259 townships in all states/regions of the country. We find that: 1. Rice productivity at the national level during the monsoon of 2021 decreased on average by 2.1 percent compared to the monsoon of 2020. Considering estimated area reductions, national paddy production decreased by 3.4 percent compared to the monsoon of 2020. 2. Some areas performed substantially worse. Rice yields were low and declined significantly in Kayah and Chin, two conflict-affected states that have shown the highest levels of food insecurity in recent assessments. 3. Prices for most inputs used in rice cultivation increased significantly between these two seasons. Prices of urea, the most important chemical fertilizer used by rice farmers, increased by 56 percent on average and mechanization costs increased by 19 percent. 4. Paddy prices at the farm increased by 8 percent, significantly less than input prices, squeezing rice farmers’ profits during the monsoon of 2021. Despite the substantial hurdles in production and marketing due to the political crisis and international market developments, the results of the Myanmar Agricultural Performance Survey show the overall resilience of rice production during the monsoon of 2021. While the rice sector has been a source of stability in the country, the situation for future crop seasons is however concerning given further increases in input prices (especially fertilizer), the overall reduced profitability of rice farming, the reduced coping strategies remaining for rice farmers, and currency policy changes by the military government.
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spelling CGSpace1409822025-12-08T10:11:39Z Rice productivity in Myanmar: Assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022 Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity fertilizers climatic data shock rice agricultural prices farm management productivity meteorological observations weather data prices monsoons We analyze rice input and productivity data for the monsoon seasons of 2020 and 2021 from the Myanmar Agriculture Performance Survey (MAPS). The survey covers plots of 2,672 rice producers, spread over 259 townships in all states/regions of the country. We find that: 1. Rice productivity at the national level during the monsoon of 2021 decreased on average by 2.1 percent compared to the monsoon of 2020. Considering estimated area reductions, national paddy production decreased by 3.4 percent compared to the monsoon of 2020. 2. Some areas performed substantially worse. Rice yields were low and declined significantly in Kayah and Chin, two conflict-affected states that have shown the highest levels of food insecurity in recent assessments. 3. Prices for most inputs used in rice cultivation increased significantly between these two seasons. Prices of urea, the most important chemical fertilizer used by rice farmers, increased by 56 percent on average and mechanization costs increased by 19 percent. 4. Paddy prices at the farm increased by 8 percent, significantly less than input prices, squeezing rice farmers’ profits during the monsoon of 2021. Despite the substantial hurdles in production and marketing due to the political crisis and international market developments, the results of the Myanmar Agricultural Performance Survey show the overall resilience of rice production during the monsoon of 2021. While the rice sector has been a source of stability in the country, the situation for future crop seasons is however concerning given further increases in input prices (especially fertilizer), the overall reduced profitability of rice farming, the reduced coping strategies remaining for rice farmers, and currency policy changes by the military government. 2022-06-01 2024-04-12T13:37:01Z 2024-04-12T13:37:01Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140982 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity (MAPSA). 2022. Rice productivity in Myanmar: Assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022. Myanmar SSP Working Paper 19. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135927.
spellingShingle fertilizers
climatic data
shock
rice
agricultural prices
farm management
productivity
meteorological observations
weather data
prices
monsoons
Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
Rice productivity in Myanmar: Assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022
title Rice productivity in Myanmar: Assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022
title_full Rice productivity in Myanmar: Assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022
title_fullStr Rice productivity in Myanmar: Assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022
title_full_unstemmed Rice productivity in Myanmar: Assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022
title_short Rice productivity in Myanmar: Assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022
title_sort rice productivity in myanmar assessment of the 2021 monsoon and outlook for 2022
topic fertilizers
climatic data
shock
rice
agricultural prices
farm management
productivity
meteorological observations
weather data
prices
monsoons
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140982
work_keys_str_mv AT myanmaragriculturepolicysupportactivity riceproductivityinmyanmarassessmentofthe2021monsoonandoutlookfor2022