Agricultural value chains in a fragile state: The case of rice in Myanmar

Nearly one-quarter of the global population lives in fragile states. Yet, despite the enormous importance of these areas for reducing global poverty and food insecurity, there is relatively little research examining how agricultural value chains, crucial for assuring food security, respond and adapt...

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Main Author: Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140978
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author Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
author_browse Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
author_facet Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
author_sort Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Nearly one-quarter of the global population lives in fragile states. Yet, despite the enormous importance of these areas for reducing global poverty and food insecurity, there is relatively little research examining how agricultural value chains, crucial for assuring food security, respond and adapt to such contexts. This paper analyzes Myanmar’s rice value chain–its most important staple crop and largest value chain–during the economic collapse and political instability caused by a military coup in early 2021. It relies on unique data collected with a large sample of rice retailers and millers before and after the coup. Despite many challenges in the rice value chain after the coup, such as banking and transport, rice processing and trade continued, assuring availability of rice in most retail markets and illustrating the resilience of the value chain to a major shock. While processing margins were mostly stable, an increased distribution margin (between rice millers and retailers) led to 11 percent higher average retail prices after the coup, implying welfare costs of almost USD 500 million. Using a market-pair regression method, we find that localized violence near sellers and buyers, distances traveled, and distance of vendors from international borders are associated with significantly increased rice price dispersion between rice retailers and mills. Despite the amalgam of problems to address in such settings, prioritizing the easing of transport restrictions, stabilizing fuel prices, and facilitating safe spatial arbitrage of food products would likely help prevent further food price inflation, assure higher farm prices, and improve welfare.
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spelling CGSpace1409782025-12-08T10:11:39Z Agricultural value chains in a fragile state: The case of rice in Myanmar Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity value chains models shock covid-19 political aspects rice markets food prices poverty prices resilience agricultural trade Nearly one-quarter of the global population lives in fragile states. Yet, despite the enormous importance of these areas for reducing global poverty and food insecurity, there is relatively little research examining how agricultural value chains, crucial for assuring food security, respond and adapt to such contexts. This paper analyzes Myanmar’s rice value chain–its most important staple crop and largest value chain–during the economic collapse and political instability caused by a military coup in early 2021. It relies on unique data collected with a large sample of rice retailers and millers before and after the coup. Despite many challenges in the rice value chain after the coup, such as banking and transport, rice processing and trade continued, assuring availability of rice in most retail markets and illustrating the resilience of the value chain to a major shock. While processing margins were mostly stable, an increased distribution margin (between rice millers and retailers) led to 11 percent higher average retail prices after the coup, implying welfare costs of almost USD 500 million. Using a market-pair regression method, we find that localized violence near sellers and buyers, distances traveled, and distance of vendors from international borders are associated with significantly increased rice price dispersion between rice retailers and mills. Despite the amalgam of problems to address in such settings, prioritizing the easing of transport restrictions, stabilizing fuel prices, and facilitating safe spatial arbitrage of food products would likely help prevent further food price inflation, assure higher farm prices, and improve welfare. 2022-02-28 2024-04-12T13:37:00Z 2024-04-12T13:37:00Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140978 en https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106244 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity (MAPSA). 2022. Agricultural value chains in a fragile state: The case of rice in Myanmar. Myanmar SSP Working Paper 15. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135054.
spellingShingle value chains
models
shock
covid-19
political aspects
rice
markets
food prices
poverty
prices
resilience
agricultural trade
Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
Agricultural value chains in a fragile state: The case of rice in Myanmar
title Agricultural value chains in a fragile state: The case of rice in Myanmar
title_full Agricultural value chains in a fragile state: The case of rice in Myanmar
title_fullStr Agricultural value chains in a fragile state: The case of rice in Myanmar
title_full_unstemmed Agricultural value chains in a fragile state: The case of rice in Myanmar
title_short Agricultural value chains in a fragile state: The case of rice in Myanmar
title_sort agricultural value chains in a fragile state the case of rice in myanmar
topic value chains
models
shock
covid-19
political aspects
rice
markets
food prices
poverty
prices
resilience
agricultural trade
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140978
work_keys_str_mv AT myanmaragriculturepolicysupportactivity agriculturalvaluechainsinafragilestatethecaseofriceinmyanmar