Double Jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'etat and poverty in Myanmar

Myanmar experienced four distinct COVID shocks to its economy over 2020 to early 2022 as well as a military takeover in February 2021 that created severe political, civil and economic turmoil. COVID and the coup d’état reversed a decade of growth and poverty reduction, but the full extent of the cri...

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Main Author: Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140976
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author Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
author_browse Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
author_facet Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
author_sort Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Myanmar experienced four distinct COVID shocks to its economy over 2020 to early 2022 as well as a military takeover in February 2021 that created severe political, civil and economic turmoil. COVID and the coup d’état reversed a decade of growth and poverty reduction, but the full extent of the crisis on household poverty has remained uncertain because of the challenges of conducting large-scale in-person welfare surveys during the pandemic and recent political instability. Here we combine ex ante simulation models with diverse phone survey evidence from mid-2020 to early 2022 to estimate the poverty impacts of these shocks and some of the mechanisms behind them. Both simulations and surveys are consistent in painting a grim picture of rising poverty, capital-depleting coping mechanisms, and the complete collapse of government-provided social protection.
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spelling CGSpace1409762025-12-08T10:11:39Z Double Jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'etat and poverty in Myanmar Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity shock surveys covid-19 households social welfare poverty governance Myanmar experienced four distinct COVID shocks to its economy over 2020 to early 2022 as well as a military takeover in February 2021 that created severe political, civil and economic turmoil. COVID and the coup d’état reversed a decade of growth and poverty reduction, but the full extent of the crisis on household poverty has remained uncertain because of the challenges of conducting large-scale in-person welfare surveys during the pandemic and recent political instability. Here we combine ex ante simulation models with diverse phone survey evidence from mid-2020 to early 2022 to estimate the poverty impacts of these shocks and some of the mechanisms behind them. Both simulations and surveys are consistent in painting a grim picture of rising poverty, capital-depleting coping mechanisms, and the complete collapse of government-provided social protection. 2022-06-27 2024-04-12T13:37:00Z 2024-04-12T13:37:00Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140976 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity (MAPSA). 2022. Double Jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'etat and poverty in Myanmar. Myanmar SSP Working Paper 22. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135954.
spellingShingle shock
surveys
covid-19
households
social welfare
poverty
governance
Myanmar Agriculture Policy Support Activity
Double Jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'etat and poverty in Myanmar
title Double Jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'etat and poverty in Myanmar
title_full Double Jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'etat and poverty in Myanmar
title_fullStr Double Jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'etat and poverty in Myanmar
title_full_unstemmed Double Jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'etat and poverty in Myanmar
title_short Double Jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'etat and poverty in Myanmar
title_sort double jeopardy covid 19 coup d etat and poverty in myanmar
topic shock
surveys
covid-19
households
social welfare
poverty
governance
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140976
work_keys_str_mv AT myanmaragriculturepolicysupportactivity doublejeopardycovid19coupdetatandpovertyinmyanmar