Dynamics of comparative advantage in export of India’s agriculture

This paper analyses the dynamics of comparative advantage in India’s agricultural exports over the period 2001 to 2019. In order to analyze the pattern of export specialization, we use the revealed comparative advantage index, and its variant, the revealed symmetric comparative advantage index. We u...

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Autores principales: Kannan, Elumalai, Kumar, Anjani
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140869
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author Kannan, Elumalai
Kumar, Anjani
author_browse Kannan, Elumalai
Kumar, Anjani
author_facet Kannan, Elumalai
Kumar, Anjani
author_sort Kannan, Elumalai
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper analyses the dynamics of comparative advantage in India’s agricultural exports over the period 2001 to 2019. In order to analyze the pattern of export specialization, we use the revealed comparative advantage index, and its variant, the revealed symmetric comparative advantage index. We use the Markov transition matrix to examine the product mobility of comparative advantage. Our results show that the extent of agricultural trade openness has remained constant over time and that there has been little change in the composition of agricultural exports. Between 2017 and 2019, two products—semi- or wholly milled rice, and frozen shrimps and prawns—accounted for one-third of all exports. Analysis of the mobility of comparative advantage reveals little mobility of products from the lowest to the highest decile. There is a 65.8 percent probability that a product will stay in the first decile even after nearly two decades. A high degree of persistence of export specialization implies a much greater probability of starting and ending up in the highest decile. Policy should aim at diversification of the agricultural export basket through a product-specific focus that is based on export demand and the exploration of new markets.
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spelling CGSpace1408692025-12-02T21:03:24Z Dynamics of comparative advantage in export of India’s agriculture Kannan, Elumalai Kumar, Anjani exports comparative advantage agriculture trade agricultural trade This paper analyses the dynamics of comparative advantage in India’s agricultural exports over the period 2001 to 2019. In order to analyze the pattern of export specialization, we use the revealed comparative advantage index, and its variant, the revealed symmetric comparative advantage index. We use the Markov transition matrix to examine the product mobility of comparative advantage. Our results show that the extent of agricultural trade openness has remained constant over time and that there has been little change in the composition of agricultural exports. Between 2017 and 2019, two products—semi- or wholly milled rice, and frozen shrimps and prawns—accounted for one-third of all exports. Analysis of the mobility of comparative advantage reveals little mobility of products from the lowest to the highest decile. There is a 65.8 percent probability that a product will stay in the first decile even after nearly two decades. A high degree of persistence of export specialization implies a much greater probability of starting and ending up in the highest decile. Policy should aim at diversification of the agricultural export basket through a product-specific focus that is based on export demand and the exploration of new markets. 2022-04-18 2024-04-12T13:36:47Z 2024-04-12T13:36:47Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140869 en https://epubs.icar.org.in/index.php/AERR/article/view/150654 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Kannan, Elumalai; and Kumar, Anjani. 2022. Dynamics of comparative advantage in export of India’s agriculture. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2116. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135874.
spellingShingle exports
comparative advantage
agriculture
trade
agricultural trade
Kannan, Elumalai
Kumar, Anjani
Dynamics of comparative advantage in export of India’s agriculture
title Dynamics of comparative advantage in export of India’s agriculture
title_full Dynamics of comparative advantage in export of India’s agriculture
title_fullStr Dynamics of comparative advantage in export of India’s agriculture
title_full_unstemmed Dynamics of comparative advantage in export of India’s agriculture
title_short Dynamics of comparative advantage in export of India’s agriculture
title_sort dynamics of comparative advantage in export of india s agriculture
topic exports
comparative advantage
agriculture
trade
agricultural trade
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140869
work_keys_str_mv AT kannanelumalai dynamicsofcomparativeadvantageinexportofindiasagriculture
AT kumaranjani dynamicsofcomparativeadvantageinexportofindiasagriculture