COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural Guatemala
This paper examines the continuing effects of COVID-19 and exposure to weather extremes on income, dietary, and migration outcomes in rural Guatemala. We rely on a comprehensive longitudinal survey of 1,612 smallholder farmers collected over three survey rounds in 2019, 2020, and 2021. We find impro...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Artículo preliminar |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2022
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140844 |
| _version_ | 1855514100716535808 |
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| author | Ceballos, Francisco Hernandez, Manuel A. Paz, Cynthia |
| author_browse | Ceballos, Francisco Hernandez, Manuel A. Paz, Cynthia |
| author_facet | Ceballos, Francisco Hernandez, Manuel A. Paz, Cynthia |
| author_sort | Ceballos, Francisco |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | This paper examines the continuing effects of COVID-19 and exposure to weather extremes on income, dietary, and migration outcomes in rural Guatemala. We rely on a comprehensive longitudinal survey of 1,612 smallholder farmers collected over three survey rounds in 2019, 2020, and 2021. We find improvements in incomes, food security, and dietary diversity in 2021 relative to 2020, but with levels still below pre-pandemic ones in 2019. We also find a substantial increase in the intention to emigrate that was not observed in the onset of the pandemic. In terms of the channels mediating the variations in dietary diversity and migration intentions, income shocks seem to have played a role, in contrast to direct exposure to the virus, local mobility restrictions, and food market disruptions. Importantly, households exposed to ETA and IOTA tropical storms, in addition to COVID-19, were considerably more prone to exhibit larger increases in the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecure episodes and larger decreases in their diet quality. The study provides novel evidence on vulnerable households’ wellbeing in the aftermath of a global crisis, including the effects of compound shocks. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace140844 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publishDateRange | 2022 |
| publishDateSort | 2022 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1408442025-12-02T21:03:13Z COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural Guatemala Ceballos, Francisco Hernandez, Manuel A. Paz, Cynthia weather hazards shock covid-19 households agricultural households food security weather migration rural areas This paper examines the continuing effects of COVID-19 and exposure to weather extremes on income, dietary, and migration outcomes in rural Guatemala. We rely on a comprehensive longitudinal survey of 1,612 smallholder farmers collected over three survey rounds in 2019, 2020, and 2021. We find improvements in incomes, food security, and dietary diversity in 2021 relative to 2020, but with levels still below pre-pandemic ones in 2019. We also find a substantial increase in the intention to emigrate that was not observed in the onset of the pandemic. In terms of the channels mediating the variations in dietary diversity and migration intentions, income shocks seem to have played a role, in contrast to direct exposure to the virus, local mobility restrictions, and food market disruptions. Importantly, households exposed to ETA and IOTA tropical storms, in addition to COVID-19, were considerably more prone to exhibit larger increases in the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecure episodes and larger decreases in their diet quality. The study provides novel evidence on vulnerable households’ wellbeing in the aftermath of a global crisis, including the effects of compound shocks. 2022-06-10 2024-04-12T13:36:44Z 2024-04-12T13:36:44Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140844 en https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294226 https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135058 https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134380 https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294226_08 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ceballos, Francisco; Hernandez, Manuel A.; and Paz, Cynthia. 2022. COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural Guatemala. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2126. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135934. |
| spellingShingle | weather hazards shock covid-19 households agricultural households food security weather migration rural areas Ceballos, Francisco Hernandez, Manuel A. Paz, Cynthia COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural Guatemala |
| title | COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural Guatemala |
| title_full | COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural Guatemala |
| title_fullStr | COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural Guatemala |
| title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural Guatemala |
| title_short | COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural Guatemala |
| title_sort | covid 19 and extreme weather impacts on food security and migration attitudes in rural guatemala |
| topic | weather hazards shock covid-19 households agricultural households food security weather migration rural areas |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140844 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ceballosfrancisco covid19andextremeweatherimpactsonfoodsecurityandmigrationattitudesinruralguatemala AT hernandezmanuela covid19andextremeweatherimpactsonfoodsecurityandmigrationattitudesinruralguatemala AT pazcynthia covid19andextremeweatherimpactsonfoodsecurityandmigrationattitudesinruralguatemala |