Towards a common vision for climate change, security and migration in the Mediterranean

Increasing evidence indicates that climate change is likely to amplify risks and insecurities, leading to increased fragility and conflict (IPCC, 2022). Climate change can exacerbate food insecurity and fosters climate-induced mobility, thereby straining socio-economic systems and increasing the pot...

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Autores principales: Mastrorillo, Marina, Scartozzi, Cesare Marco, Pacillo, Grazia, Menza, Gianpiero, Desai, Bina, Maviza, Gracsious, Jaskolski, Martina, Schapendonk, Frans, Meddings, George, Carneiro, Bia, Craparo, Alessandro, Minoarivelo, Henintsoa Onivola, Taiwo, Ibukun, Prati, Giorgia, del Pino Álvarez, Inmaculada, Almotaz, Abadi, de Dinechin, Frederic
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140758
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author Mastrorillo, Marina
Scartozzi, Cesare Marco
Pacillo, Grazia
Menza, Gianpiero
Desai, Bina
Maviza, Gracsious
Jaskolski, Martina
Schapendonk, Frans
Meddings, George
Carneiro, Bia
Craparo, Alessandro
Minoarivelo, Henintsoa Onivola
Taiwo, Ibukun
Prati, Giorgia
del Pino Álvarez, Inmaculada
Almotaz, Abadi
de Dinechin, Frederic
author_browse Almotaz, Abadi
Carneiro, Bia
Craparo, Alessandro
Desai, Bina
Jaskolski, Martina
Mastrorillo, Marina
Maviza, Gracsious
Meddings, George
Menza, Gianpiero
Minoarivelo, Henintsoa Onivola
Pacillo, Grazia
Prati, Giorgia
Scartozzi, Cesare Marco
Schapendonk, Frans
Taiwo, Ibukun
de Dinechin, Frederic
del Pino Álvarez, Inmaculada
author_facet Mastrorillo, Marina
Scartozzi, Cesare Marco
Pacillo, Grazia
Menza, Gianpiero
Desai, Bina
Maviza, Gracsious
Jaskolski, Martina
Schapendonk, Frans
Meddings, George
Carneiro, Bia
Craparo, Alessandro
Minoarivelo, Henintsoa Onivola
Taiwo, Ibukun
Prati, Giorgia
del Pino Álvarez, Inmaculada
Almotaz, Abadi
de Dinechin, Frederic
author_sort Mastrorillo, Marina
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Increasing evidence indicates that climate change is likely to amplify risks and insecurities, leading to increased fragility and conflict (IPCC, 2022). Climate change can exacerbate food insecurity and fosters climate-induced mobility, thereby straining socio-economic systems and increasing the potential for disputes over dwindling natural resources. At the same time, conflict and fragility have proven to impede efforts to enhance climate resilience and adaptive capacity, leaving populations more vulnerable to climate impacts and exacerbating food insecurity (Scartozzi, 2020). The Mediterranean is one of the most vulnerable areas to climate risks. The region is exposed to recurrent droughts, heat waves and other slow-onset climate events, which are leading to soil degradation and water shortages. Moreover, the region already accommodates half of the global populace grappling with water scarcity—a situation projected to further deteriorate due to climate change (ARLEM, 2021). Scientists warn that absent robust measures to manage and mitigate climate change, its adverse impact could overwhelm the adaptive capacity of the Mediterranean countries, weakening institutions and potentially exacerbating conflicts over natural resources (Scheffran, 2020). Currently the agricultural output in the Mediterranean is declining due to climate change, unsustainable agricultural practices, and water scarcity. These issues, combined with the region's growing population, pose significant challenges to sustaining living standards and development opportunities. Furthermore, food security is threatened by unsustainable human activities, such as deforestation, excessive water use in irrigation, and overuse of chemical fertilizers and pesticides. These actions, compounded by climate change impacts, exacerbate the region's growing demand for food, which in turn heightens its reliance on imports, making it increasingly susceptible to international price fluctuations. Climate change, socio-economic insecurity and political instability are pushing countries to critical levels of fragility. In the most affected regions, these factors are fostering grievances that can result in forms of organized violence and conflict. While the food-land-water nexus represents a potential intersection where to mitigate these tensions, conflict, poverty, and a lack of opportunities for youth—exacerbated by environmental and climate change—compel migration within and across regions, which often occurs through unsafe channels, including the perilous journey across the Mediterranean Sea. Additionally, the challenge is intensified by the lack of cohesive long-term governance and a common vision among agricultural resource management authorities and policy actors, leading to disparate efforts in addressing these issues (ARLEM, 2021). Improving people’s resilience in the region strongly depends on the ability to enhance the regional adaptive capacity to climate risks. The way governments and communities manage resources and food systems is a determinant factor in whether the Mediterranean area can endure development and peace. With no peace, there is no space for development. With no development, economic opportunities and food security, peace cannot last. This white paper is the result of a high-level discussion carried out at the event “Towards a Common Vision of the Climate, Migration and Security Nexus in the Mediterranean Region,” organized by the CGIAR Focus Climate Security and the Alliance of Bioversity & CIAT, and held in Rome in June 2023. The discussion collected opinions of scientists, politicians, experts and representatives of relevant international organizations on the climate-security-mobility nexus in the Mediterranean. The purpose of the discussion was to analyze current and foreseen vulnerabilities, risks and hazards affecting livelihoods in the region, and identify potential solutions and integrated approaches to increasing climate adaptation capacities, reducing involuntary and unsafe migration, and sustaining peace and stability.
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spelling CGSpace1407582025-11-05T11:05:34Z Towards a common vision for climate change, security and migration in the Mediterranean Mastrorillo, Marina Scartozzi, Cesare Marco Pacillo, Grazia Menza, Gianpiero Desai, Bina Maviza, Gracsious Jaskolski, Martina Schapendonk, Frans Meddings, George Carneiro, Bia Craparo, Alessandro Minoarivelo, Henintsoa Onivola Taiwo, Ibukun Prati, Giorgia del Pino Álvarez, Inmaculada Almotaz, Abadi de Dinechin, Frederic Mediterranean region livelihoods climate change adaptation peacebuilding conflicts resilience climate change impacts Increasing evidence indicates that climate change is likely to amplify risks and insecurities, leading to increased fragility and conflict (IPCC, 2022). Climate change can exacerbate food insecurity and fosters climate-induced mobility, thereby straining socio-economic systems and increasing the potential for disputes over dwindling natural resources. At the same time, conflict and fragility have proven to impede efforts to enhance climate resilience and adaptive capacity, leaving populations more vulnerable to climate impacts and exacerbating food insecurity (Scartozzi, 2020). The Mediterranean is one of the most vulnerable areas to climate risks. The region is exposed to recurrent droughts, heat waves and other slow-onset climate events, which are leading to soil degradation and water shortages. Moreover, the region already accommodates half of the global populace grappling with water scarcity—a situation projected to further deteriorate due to climate change (ARLEM, 2021). Scientists warn that absent robust measures to manage and mitigate climate change, its adverse impact could overwhelm the adaptive capacity of the Mediterranean countries, weakening institutions and potentially exacerbating conflicts over natural resources (Scheffran, 2020). Currently the agricultural output in the Mediterranean is declining due to climate change, unsustainable agricultural practices, and water scarcity. These issues, combined with the region's growing population, pose significant challenges to sustaining living standards and development opportunities. Furthermore, food security is threatened by unsustainable human activities, such as deforestation, excessive water use in irrigation, and overuse of chemical fertilizers and pesticides. These actions, compounded by climate change impacts, exacerbate the region's growing demand for food, which in turn heightens its reliance on imports, making it increasingly susceptible to international price fluctuations. Climate change, socio-economic insecurity and political instability are pushing countries to critical levels of fragility. In the most affected regions, these factors are fostering grievances that can result in forms of organized violence and conflict. While the food-land-water nexus represents a potential intersection where to mitigate these tensions, conflict, poverty, and a lack of opportunities for youth—exacerbated by environmental and climate change—compel migration within and across regions, which often occurs through unsafe channels, including the perilous journey across the Mediterranean Sea. Additionally, the challenge is intensified by the lack of cohesive long-term governance and a common vision among agricultural resource management authorities and policy actors, leading to disparate efforts in addressing these issues (ARLEM, 2021). Improving people’s resilience in the region strongly depends on the ability to enhance the regional adaptive capacity to climate risks. The way governments and communities manage resources and food systems is a determinant factor in whether the Mediterranean area can endure development and peace. With no peace, there is no space for development. With no development, economic opportunities and food security, peace cannot last. This white paper is the result of a high-level discussion carried out at the event “Towards a Common Vision of the Climate, Migration and Security Nexus in the Mediterranean Region,” organized by the CGIAR Focus Climate Security and the Alliance of Bioversity & CIAT, and held in Rome in June 2023. The discussion collected opinions of scientists, politicians, experts and representatives of relevant international organizations on the climate-security-mobility nexus in the Mediterranean. The purpose of the discussion was to analyze current and foreseen vulnerabilities, risks and hazards affecting livelihoods in the region, and identify potential solutions and integrated approaches to increasing climate adaptation capacities, reducing involuntary and unsafe migration, and sustaining peace and stability. 2024-04 2024-04-05T10:24:11Z 2024-04-05T10:24:11Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140758 en Open Access application/pdf Mastrorillo, M.; Scartozzi, C.M.; Pacillo, G.; Menza, G.; Desai, B.; Maviza, G.; Jaskolski, M.; Schapendonk, F.; Meddings, G.; Carneiro, B.; Craparo, A.; Minoarivelo, H.O.; Taiwo, I.; Prati, G.; del Pino Álvarez, I.; Abadi, A.; de Dinechin, F. (2024) Towards a common vision for climate change, security and migration in the Mediterranean. [White paper] Rome (Italy): Bioversity International and International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT). 33 p.
spellingShingle Mediterranean region
livelihoods
climate change adaptation
peacebuilding
conflicts
resilience
climate change impacts
Mastrorillo, Marina
Scartozzi, Cesare Marco
Pacillo, Grazia
Menza, Gianpiero
Desai, Bina
Maviza, Gracsious
Jaskolski, Martina
Schapendonk, Frans
Meddings, George
Carneiro, Bia
Craparo, Alessandro
Minoarivelo, Henintsoa Onivola
Taiwo, Ibukun
Prati, Giorgia
del Pino Álvarez, Inmaculada
Almotaz, Abadi
de Dinechin, Frederic
Towards a common vision for climate change, security and migration in the Mediterranean
title Towards a common vision for climate change, security and migration in the Mediterranean
title_full Towards a common vision for climate change, security and migration in the Mediterranean
title_fullStr Towards a common vision for climate change, security and migration in the Mediterranean
title_full_unstemmed Towards a common vision for climate change, security and migration in the Mediterranean
title_short Towards a common vision for climate change, security and migration in the Mediterranean
title_sort towards a common vision for climate change security and migration in the mediterranean
topic Mediterranean region
livelihoods
climate change adaptation
peacebuilding
conflicts
resilience
climate change impacts
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140758
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