“Fruit basket upset”: Spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures
Purpose The choice of crops to produce at a location depends to a large degree on the climate. As the climate changes and food demand evolves, farmers may need to produce a different mix of crops. This study assesses how much cropland may be subject to such upheavals at the global scale, and then fo...
| Autores principales: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Emerald Publishing Limited
2024
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140727 |
| _version_ | 1855536316462137344 |
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| author | Robertson, Richard D. Petsakos, Athanasios Cenacchi, Nicola Gotor, Elisabetta |
| author_browse | Cenacchi, Nicola Gotor, Elisabetta Petsakos, Athanasios Robertson, Richard D. |
| author_facet | Robertson, Richard D. Petsakos, Athanasios Cenacchi, Nicola Gotor, Elisabetta |
| author_sort | Robertson, Richard D. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Purpose
The choice of crops to produce at a location depends to a large degree on the climate. As the climate changes and food demand evolves, farmers may need to produce a different mix of crops. This study assesses how much cropland may be subject to such upheavals at the global scale, and then focuses on China as a case study to examine how spatial heterogeneity informs different contexts for adaptation within a country.
Design/methodology/approach
A global agricultural economic model is linked to a cropland allocation algorithm to generate maps of cropland distribution under historical and future conditions. The mix of crops at each location is examined to determine whether it is likely to experience a major shift.
Findings
Two-thirds of rainfed cropland and half of irrigated cropland are likely to experience substantial upheaval of some kind.
Originality/value
This analysis helps establish a global context for the local changes that producers might face under future climate and socioeconomic changes. The scale of the challenge means that the agricultural sector needs to prepare for these widespread and diverse upheavals. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace140727 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateRange | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | Emerald Publishing Limited |
| publisherStr | Emerald Publishing Limited |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1407272025-12-08T10:29:22Z “Fruit basket upset”: Spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures Robertson, Richard D. Petsakos, Athanasios Cenacchi, Nicola Gotor, Elisabetta climate change climate change adaptation crops farmers farmland Purpose The choice of crops to produce at a location depends to a large degree on the climate. As the climate changes and food demand evolves, farmers may need to produce a different mix of crops. This study assesses how much cropland may be subject to such upheavals at the global scale, and then focuses on China as a case study to examine how spatial heterogeneity informs different contexts for adaptation within a country. Design/methodology/approach A global agricultural economic model is linked to a cropland allocation algorithm to generate maps of cropland distribution under historical and future conditions. The mix of crops at each location is examined to determine whether it is likely to experience a major shift. Findings Two-thirds of rainfed cropland and half of irrigated cropland are likely to experience substantial upheaval of some kind. Originality/value This analysis helps establish a global context for the local changes that producers might face under future climate and socioeconomic changes. The scale of the challenge means that the agricultural sector needs to prepare for these widespread and diverse upheavals. 2024-05-21 2024-04-02T19:52:14Z 2024-04-02T19:52:14Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140727 en Open Access Emerald Publishing Limited Robertson, Richard D.; Petsakos, Athanasios; Cenacchi, Nicola; and Gotor, Elisabetta. 2024. “Fruit basket upset”: Spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures. China Agricultural Economic Review 16(2): 207-225. https://doi.org/10.1108/CAER-04-2023-0098 |
| spellingShingle | climate change climate change adaptation crops farmers farmland Robertson, Richard D. Petsakos, Athanasios Cenacchi, Nicola Gotor, Elisabetta “Fruit basket upset”: Spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures |
| title | “Fruit basket upset”: Spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures |
| title_full | “Fruit basket upset”: Spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures |
| title_fullStr | “Fruit basket upset”: Spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures |
| title_full_unstemmed | “Fruit basket upset”: Spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures |
| title_short | “Fruit basket upset”: Spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures |
| title_sort | fruit basket upset spatially explicit crop mixture responses to climatic and economic pressures |
| topic | climate change climate change adaptation crops farmers farmland |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140727 |
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