Potential impacts of an El Niño related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in Papua New Guinea

Sweet potato plays an important role in the food system of Papua New Guinea (PNG), accounting for over 12 percent of total calories consumed in the country (IFPRI,2023). Three-quarters of sweet potato production takes place in the highlands where it is harvested throughout the year (Chang et al., 20...

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Main Authors: Joseph, Josiah, Hayoge, Glen, Sikas-Iha, Helmtrude, Dorosh, Paul A., Schmidt, Emily, Kedir Jemal, Mekamu
Format: Brief
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140447
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author Joseph, Josiah
Hayoge, Glen
Sikas-Iha, Helmtrude
Dorosh, Paul A.
Schmidt, Emily
Kedir Jemal, Mekamu
author_browse Dorosh, Paul A.
Hayoge, Glen
Joseph, Josiah
Kedir Jemal, Mekamu
Schmidt, Emily
Sikas-Iha, Helmtrude
author_facet Joseph, Josiah
Hayoge, Glen
Sikas-Iha, Helmtrude
Dorosh, Paul A.
Schmidt, Emily
Kedir Jemal, Mekamu
author_sort Joseph, Josiah
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Sweet potato plays an important role in the food system of Papua New Guinea (PNG), accounting for over 12 percent of total calories consumed in the country (IFPRI,2023). Three-quarters of sweet potato production takes place in the highlands where it is harvested throughout the year (Chang et al., 2013). However, the production and consumption of sweet potatoes in PNG faces several challenges, including climate change, pests and diseases, and market access constraints. In particular, a significant decline in sweet potato production due to an El Niño-related drought in early 2024 is a realistic possibility. This memo describes analysis using a partial equilibrium model to estimate the potential effects of a shortfall in sweet potato production on market prices and consumption, including consumption levels for various types of households in the highlands and other parts of PNG. We also discuss policy options for mitigating negative effects on household welfare.
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spelling CGSpace1404472025-11-06T05:03:15Z Potential impacts of an El Niño related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in Papua New Guinea Joseph, Josiah Hayoge, Glen Sikas-Iha, Helmtrude Dorosh, Paul A. Schmidt, Emily Kedir Jemal, Mekamu sweet potatoes food systems calories agricultural production market prices consumption household food security El Niño drought Sweet potato plays an important role in the food system of Papua New Guinea (PNG), accounting for over 12 percent of total calories consumed in the country (IFPRI,2023). Three-quarters of sweet potato production takes place in the highlands where it is harvested throughout the year (Chang et al., 2013). However, the production and consumption of sweet potatoes in PNG faces several challenges, including climate change, pests and diseases, and market access constraints. In particular, a significant decline in sweet potato production due to an El Niño-related drought in early 2024 is a realistic possibility. This memo describes analysis using a partial equilibrium model to estimate the potential effects of a shortfall in sweet potato production on market prices and consumption, including consumption levels for various types of households in the highlands and other parts of PNG. We also discuss policy options for mitigating negative effects on household welfare. 2024-03-14 2024-03-14T19:13:09Z 2024-03-14T19:13:09Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140447 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140446 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140479 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Joseph, Josiah; Hayoge, Glen; Sikas-Iha, Helmtrude; Dorosh, Paul; Schmidt, Emily; and Kedir Jemal, Mekamu. 2024. Potential impacts of an El Niño related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in Papua New Guinea. Papua New Guinea Project Note 12. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140447
spellingShingle sweet potatoes
food systems
calories
agricultural production
market prices
consumption
household food security
El Niño
drought
Joseph, Josiah
Hayoge, Glen
Sikas-Iha, Helmtrude
Dorosh, Paul A.
Schmidt, Emily
Kedir Jemal, Mekamu
Potential impacts of an El Niño related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in Papua New Guinea
title Potential impacts of an El Niño related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in Papua New Guinea
title_full Potential impacts of an El Niño related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in Papua New Guinea
title_fullStr Potential impacts of an El Niño related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in Papua New Guinea
title_full_unstemmed Potential impacts of an El Niño related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in Papua New Guinea
title_short Potential impacts of an El Niño related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in Papua New Guinea
title_sort potential impacts of an el nino related drought on sweet potato consumption and prices in papua new guinea
topic sweet potatoes
food systems
calories
agricultural production
market prices
consumption
household food security
El Niño
drought
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140447
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