Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania

This study utilizes a recursive dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated with data for Tanzania to explore the link between agricultural and rural development spending and four development outcomes: economic growth, job creation, poverty reduction, and diet quality. Results show that no single e...

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Autores principales: Aragie, Emerta A., Benfica, Rui, Pauw, Karl, Randriamamonjy, Josee, Thurlow, James
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140316
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author Aragie, Emerta A.
Benfica, Rui
Pauw, Karl
Randriamamonjy, Josee
Thurlow, James
author_browse Aragie, Emerta A.
Benfica, Rui
Pauw, Karl
Randriamamonjy, Josee
Thurlow, James
author_facet Aragie, Emerta A.
Benfica, Rui
Pauw, Karl
Randriamamonjy, Josee
Thurlow, James
author_sort Aragie, Emerta A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study utilizes a recursive dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated with data for Tanzania to explore the link between agricultural and rural development spending and four development outcomes: economic growth, job creation, poverty reduction, and diet quality. Results show that no single expenditure option is the most effective in achieving all four desired development outcomes for Tanzania. Productivity-enhancing agricultural interventions in horticulture are effective at generating growth in the agri-food system (AFS) and improving diets, but have a limited effect on employment. Supporting cereal producers has large effects on growth and poverty reduction, with relatively high returns per dollar invested, but its effect on diet quality is weak. Providing livestock services to milk and poultry farmers consistently ranks high across the outcome indicators, with strong employment effects on downstream AFS. Crop research and development and feeder roads generate moderate impacts on all four outcomes. Partially reallocating the budget towards the most cost-effective spending options can substantially increase the development effectiveness for Tanzania of agriculture sector support expenditures. The approach adopted in this study can help policymakers design and prioritize agricultural interventions and expenditure portfolios that better reflect the country’s broad food system.
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spelling CGSpace1403162025-12-02T21:02:41Z Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania Aragie, Emerta A. Benfica, Rui Pauw, Karl Randriamamonjy, Josee Thurlow, James poultry policy innovation economic growth milk farmers research agricultural transformation horticulture agrifood systems rural development diet quality livestock equilibrium poverty reduction This study utilizes a recursive dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated with data for Tanzania to explore the link between agricultural and rural development spending and four development outcomes: economic growth, job creation, poverty reduction, and diet quality. Results show that no single expenditure option is the most effective in achieving all four desired development outcomes for Tanzania. Productivity-enhancing agricultural interventions in horticulture are effective at generating growth in the agri-food system (AFS) and improving diets, but have a limited effect on employment. Supporting cereal producers has large effects on growth and poverty reduction, with relatively high returns per dollar invested, but its effect on diet quality is weak. Providing livestock services to milk and poultry farmers consistently ranks high across the outcome indicators, with strong employment effects on downstream AFS. Crop research and development and feeder roads generate moderate impacts on all four outcomes. Partially reallocating the budget towards the most cost-effective spending options can substantially increase the development effectiveness for Tanzania of agriculture sector support expenditures. The approach adopted in this study can help policymakers design and prioritize agricultural interventions and expenditure portfolios that better reflect the country’s broad food system. 2023-04-25 2024-03-14T12:09:18Z 2024-03-14T12:09:18Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140316 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Aragie, Emerta; Benfica, Rui; Pauw, Karl; Randriamamonjy, Josée; and Thurlow, James. 2023. Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2181. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136687.
spellingShingle poultry
policy innovation
economic growth
milk
farmers
research
agricultural transformation
horticulture
agrifood systems
rural development
diet quality
livestock
equilibrium
poverty reduction
Aragie, Emerta A.
Benfica, Rui
Pauw, Karl
Randriamamonjy, Josee
Thurlow, James
Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania
title Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania
title_full Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania
title_fullStr Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania
title_full_unstemmed Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania
title_short Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania
title_sort assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in tanzania
topic poultry
policy innovation
economic growth
milk
farmers
research
agricultural transformation
horticulture
agrifood systems
rural development
diet quality
livestock
equilibrium
poverty reduction
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140316
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