Urban proximity, conflict, and agricultural development: Evidence from Myanmar
Urbanization and violent conflict have been two global trends gaining more and more momentum in recent years. This has important implications for agricultural development, which unfortunately are still not well understood. Urban proximity is generally associated with agricultural intensification and...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Artículo preliminar |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2023
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140305 |
| _version_ | 1855525465093046272 |
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| author | Steinhübel, Linda Minten, Bart |
| author_browse | Minten, Bart Steinhübel, Linda |
| author_facet | Steinhübel, Linda Minten, Bart |
| author_sort | Steinhübel, Linda |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Urbanization and violent conflict have been two global trends gaining more and more momentum in recent years. This has important implications for agricultural development, which unfortunately are still not well understood. Urban proximity is generally associated with agricultural intensification and improved market participation, while farming systems in remote areas are characterized by larger shares of subsistence production. Such differences along the remoteness gradient likely also play a role in how conflict exposure affects agricultural production. That is, we must assume that the effect of conflict on agricultural development is location-dependent—a fact that is generally neglected in empirical analysis. We address this gap by drawing from a unique nationally representative data set of 2,292 paddy farmers in Myanmar and estimating the effect of conflict exposure and travel times on agricultural production during the monsoon season of 2021. By applying multivariate additive models, we allow for nonlinear and interacted effects of conflict exposure and urban proximity, thereby explicitly exploring spatial variation in the effect of conflict exposure. We find strong positive effects of urban proximity on paddy rice intensification and sales, while conflict exposure has disproportionately negative effects in direct proximity to urban centers and very remote areas. For agricultural development—and smallholder incomes in general—this means that productive areas, on the one hand, and the poorest areas of the country, on the other hand, are especially affected by conflict. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace140305 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1403052025-12-08T10:11:39Z Urban proximity, conflict, and agricultural development: Evidence from Myanmar Steinhübel, Linda Minten, Bart income agricultural production rice urbanization rice fields smallholders market access agricultural development conflicts Urbanization and violent conflict have been two global trends gaining more and more momentum in recent years. This has important implications for agricultural development, which unfortunately are still not well understood. Urban proximity is generally associated with agricultural intensification and improved market participation, while farming systems in remote areas are characterized by larger shares of subsistence production. Such differences along the remoteness gradient likely also play a role in how conflict exposure affects agricultural production. That is, we must assume that the effect of conflict on agricultural development is location-dependent—a fact that is generally neglected in empirical analysis. We address this gap by drawing from a unique nationally representative data set of 2,292 paddy farmers in Myanmar and estimating the effect of conflict exposure and travel times on agricultural production during the monsoon season of 2021. By applying multivariate additive models, we allow for nonlinear and interacted effects of conflict exposure and urban proximity, thereby explicitly exploring spatial variation in the effect of conflict exposure. We find strong positive effects of urban proximity on paddy rice intensification and sales, while conflict exposure has disproportionately negative effects in direct proximity to urban centers and very remote areas. For agricultural development—and smallholder incomes in general—this means that productive areas, on the one hand, and the poorest areas of the country, on the other hand, are especially affected by conflict. 2023-07-05 2024-03-14T12:09:16Z 2024-03-14T12:09:16Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140305 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Steinhübel, Linda; and Minten, Bart. 2023. Urban proximity, conflict, and agricultural development: Evidence from Myanmar. Myanmar SSP Working Paper 39. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136807. |
| spellingShingle | income agricultural production rice urbanization rice fields smallholders market access agricultural development conflicts Steinhübel, Linda Minten, Bart Urban proximity, conflict, and agricultural development: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title | Urban proximity, conflict, and agricultural development: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_full | Urban proximity, conflict, and agricultural development: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_fullStr | Urban proximity, conflict, and agricultural development: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_full_unstemmed | Urban proximity, conflict, and agricultural development: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_short | Urban proximity, conflict, and agricultural development: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_sort | urban proximity conflict and agricultural development evidence from myanmar |
| topic | income agricultural production rice urbanization rice fields smallholders market access agricultural development conflicts |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140305 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT steinhubellinda urbanproximityconflictandagriculturaldevelopmentevidencefrommyanmar AT mintenbart urbanproximityconflictandagriculturaldevelopmentevidencefrommyanmar |