Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala
International migration is a recurrent and growing phenomenon and a large share of emigrants originate from rural areas. This study examines the association between climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala. We exploit variations on climatic stress situations and emigration flows at the su...
| Autores principales: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Brief |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2023
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| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140211 |
| _version_ | 1855534888243953664 |
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| author | Britos, Braulio Hernandez, Manuel A. Puricelli, Estefania Sahajpal, Ritvik |
| author_browse | Britos, Braulio Hernandez, Manuel A. Puricelli, Estefania Sahajpal, Ritvik |
| author_facet | Britos, Braulio Hernandez, Manuel A. Puricelli, Estefania Sahajpal, Ritvik |
| author_sort | Britos, Braulio |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | International migration is a recurrent and growing phenomenon and a large share of emigrants originate from rural areas. This study examines the association between climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala. We exploit variations on climatic stress situations and emigration flows at the subnational level and over time to examine whether the observed migration dynamics can be explained by the occurrence of specific adverse weather events. We find that drought periods affect emigration positively the following year, especially among men, while periods of high temperatures and low soil moisture affect male and female emigration negatively. The results are generally not much sensitive to alternative model specifications and estimations. The apparent mixed findings point to both direct effects where climatic stresses may encourage people to migrate in search of better opportunities, as well as indirect effects in the sense that climatic stresses affect agricultural productivity and household liquidity, which may prevent people from migrating despite their willingness to emigrate. |
| format | Brief |
| id | CGSpace140211 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1402112025-12-08T10:11:39Z Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala Britos, Braulio Hernandez, Manuel A. Puricelli, Estefania Sahajpal, Ritvik weather hazards rural population gender agricultural production households migration climate change International migration is a recurrent and growing phenomenon and a large share of emigrants originate from rural areas. This study examines the association between climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala. We exploit variations on climatic stress situations and emigration flows at the subnational level and over time to examine whether the observed migration dynamics can be explained by the occurrence of specific adverse weather events. We find that drought periods affect emigration positively the following year, especially among men, while periods of high temperatures and low soil moisture affect male and female emigration negatively. The results are generally not much sensitive to alternative model specifications and estimations. The apparent mixed findings point to both direct effects where climatic stresses may encourage people to migrate in search of better opportunities, as well as indirect effects in the sense that climatic stresses affect agricultural productivity and household liquidity, which may prevent people from migrating despite their willingness to emigrate. 2023-10-11 2024-03-14T12:09:05Z 2024-03-14T12:09:05Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140211 en https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294417_07 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153852 https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2103 https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133849 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute NASA Harvest Britos, Braulio; Hernandez, Manuel A.; Puricelli, Estefania; and Sahajpal, Ritvik. 2023. Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala. Project Note. Washington, DC; College Park MD: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI); NASA Harvest. https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136920. |
| spellingShingle | weather hazards rural population gender agricultural production households migration climate change Britos, Braulio Hernandez, Manuel A. Puricelli, Estefania Sahajpal, Ritvik Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala |
| title | Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala |
| title_full | Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala |
| title_fullStr | Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala |
| title_short | Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala |
| title_sort | climatic stresses and rural emigration in guatemala |
| topic | weather hazards rural population gender agricultural production households migration climate change |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140211 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT britosbraulio climaticstressesandruralemigrationinguatemala AT hernandezmanuela climaticstressesandruralemigrationinguatemala AT puricelliestefania climaticstressesandruralemigrationinguatemala AT sahajpalritvik climaticstressesandruralemigrationinguatemala |