Rising commodities prices driven by the Russia-Ukraine crisis threaten to undermine Kenya’s economy, increase poverty

Much of the early attention to the Russia-Ukraine conflict’s food security impacts has been concentrated on countries highly dependent on wheat imports from the Black Sea region. Given the important role that wheat products play in the diets of people in Egypt, Sudan, Yemen, Lebanon, and other count...

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Autores principales: Breisinger, Clemens, Diao, Xinshen, Dorosh, Paul A., Mbuthia, Juneweenex, Omune, Lensa, Oseko, Edwin Ombui, Pradesha, Angga, Thurlow, James
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140102
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author Breisinger, Clemens
Diao, Xinshen
Dorosh, Paul A.
Mbuthia, Juneweenex
Omune, Lensa
Oseko, Edwin Ombui
Pradesha, Angga
Thurlow, James
author_browse Breisinger, Clemens
Diao, Xinshen
Dorosh, Paul A.
Mbuthia, Juneweenex
Omune, Lensa
Oseko, Edwin Ombui
Pradesha, Angga
Thurlow, James
author_facet Breisinger, Clemens
Diao, Xinshen
Dorosh, Paul A.
Mbuthia, Juneweenex
Omune, Lensa
Oseko, Edwin Ombui
Pradesha, Angga
Thurlow, James
author_sort Breisinger, Clemens
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Much of the early attention to the Russia-Ukraine conflict’s food security impacts has been concentrated on countries highly dependent on wheat imports from the Black Sea region. Given the important role that wheat products play in the diets of people in Egypt, Sudan, Yemen, Lebanon, and other countries, the interruption in Black Sea wheat trade and high prices have raised serious concerns about rising levels of food insecurity, poverty, and instability around the world. But many countries are affected by price increases across a range of commodities (some predating the war), including in fertilizers, edible oils, and maize, as well as oil, natural gas, and other energy products. How are these sharp international price increases impacting countries and people, and how can countries respond? Our recent modeling study focusing on Kenya suggests higher prices, particularly for fertilizer, will reduce GDP growth and increase poverty rates in the country, putting an estimated 1.4 million additional people below the poverty line.
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institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
publishDateSort 2023
publisher International Food Policy Research Institute
publisherStr International Food Policy Research Institute
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spelling CGSpace1401022025-11-06T04:15:10Z Rising commodities prices driven by the Russia-Ukraine crisis threaten to undermine Kenya’s economy, increase poverty Breisinger, Clemens Diao, Xinshen Dorosh, Paul A. Mbuthia, Juneweenex Omune, Lensa Oseko, Edwin Ombui Pradesha, Angga Thurlow, James shock policies war coronavirus covid-19 commodities agriculture markets trade coronavirinae russia food security ukraine conflicts coronavirus disease poverty prices climate change Much of the early attention to the Russia-Ukraine conflict’s food security impacts has been concentrated on countries highly dependent on wheat imports from the Black Sea region. Given the important role that wheat products play in the diets of people in Egypt, Sudan, Yemen, Lebanon, and other countries, the interruption in Black Sea wheat trade and high prices have raised serious concerns about rising levels of food insecurity, poverty, and instability around the world. But many countries are affected by price increases across a range of commodities (some predating the war), including in fertilizers, edible oils, and maize, as well as oil, natural gas, and other energy products. How are these sharp international price increases impacting countries and people, and how can countries respond? Our recent modeling study focusing on Kenya suggests higher prices, particularly for fertilizer, will reduce GDP growth and increase poverty rates in the country, putting an estimated 1.4 million additional people below the poverty line. 2023-07-11 2024-03-14T12:08:55Z 2024-03-14T12:08:55Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140102 en https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294394 https://www.ifpri.org/blog/rising-commodities-prices-driven-russia-ukraine-crisis-threaten-undermine-kenyas-economy Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Breisinger, Clemens; Diao, Xinshen; Dorosh, Paul A.; Mbuthia, Juneweenex; Omune, Lensa; Pradesha, Angga; and Thurlow, James. 2023. Rising commodities prices driven by the Russia-Ukraine crisis threaten to undermine Kenya’s economy, increase poverty. In The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Global Food Security, eds. Joseph Glauber and David Laborde. Section Four: Country Impacts and Responses: Sub-Saharan Africa, Chapter 33, Pp. 170-174. https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294394_33.
spellingShingle shock
policies
war
coronavirus
covid-19
commodities
agriculture
markets
trade
coronavirinae
russia
food security
ukraine
conflicts
coronavirus disease
poverty
prices
climate change
Breisinger, Clemens
Diao, Xinshen
Dorosh, Paul A.
Mbuthia, Juneweenex
Omune, Lensa
Oseko, Edwin Ombui
Pradesha, Angga
Thurlow, James
Rising commodities prices driven by the Russia-Ukraine crisis threaten to undermine Kenya’s economy, increase poverty
title Rising commodities prices driven by the Russia-Ukraine crisis threaten to undermine Kenya’s economy, increase poverty
title_full Rising commodities prices driven by the Russia-Ukraine crisis threaten to undermine Kenya’s economy, increase poverty
title_fullStr Rising commodities prices driven by the Russia-Ukraine crisis threaten to undermine Kenya’s economy, increase poverty
title_full_unstemmed Rising commodities prices driven by the Russia-Ukraine crisis threaten to undermine Kenya’s economy, increase poverty
title_short Rising commodities prices driven by the Russia-Ukraine crisis threaten to undermine Kenya’s economy, increase poverty
title_sort rising commodities prices driven by the russia ukraine crisis threaten to undermine kenya s economy increase poverty
topic shock
policies
war
coronavirus
covid-19
commodities
agriculture
markets
trade
coronavirinae
russia
food security
ukraine
conflicts
coronavirus disease
poverty
prices
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140102
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