No end in sight yet for the global food price crisis

After the sharp rise in international prices of wheat and other staple foods in the wake of Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, since May prices have fallen back to pre-war levels. Has the global food price crisis now come to an end? Unfortunately, such a conclusion is premature. Domestic food pr...

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Main Authors: Glauber, Joseph W., Hernandez, Manuel A., Laborde Debucquet, David, Martin, Will, Rice, Brendan, Vos, Rob
Format: Book Chapter
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140094
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author Glauber, Joseph W.
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
Rice, Brendan
Vos, Rob
author_browse Glauber, Joseph W.
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
Rice, Brendan
Vos, Rob
author_facet Glauber, Joseph W.
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
Rice, Brendan
Vos, Rob
author_sort Glauber, Joseph W.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description After the sharp rise in international prices of wheat and other staple foods in the wake of Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, since May prices have fallen back to pre-war levels. Has the global food price crisis now come to an end? Unfortunately, such a conclusion is premature. Domestic food prices for consumers continue to rise in most countries. Meanwhile, ongoing uncertainties — not the least of which is the continuing war — au gur continued turmoil in global food markets. Global food security remains at high risk; hundreds of millions of people already face acute food insecurity and their numbers are rising, according to the Global Report on Food Crises. In this blog post, we try to disentangle the main factors in play. Given the importance of both Russia and Ukraine as suppliers in global markets for wheat, maize, sunflower seeds and oil, and Russia’s importance in international fertilizer and energy markets, the war provoked a surge in food and energy prices worldwide. The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)’s international food price index climbed to its all-time high in mid-May (Figure 1). At that point, wheat prices, for instance, were up 32% from their level at the start of the war. Then prices fell, with those of agricultural commodities, including wheat, returning to pre-war levels. However, prices remain high by historical standards, reflecting impacts of supply disruptions and the surge in global demand for commodities during the recovery from the COVID-19-induced recession in 2021.
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spelling CGSpace1400942025-11-06T04:16:13Z No end in sight yet for the global food price crisis Glauber, Joseph W. Hernandez, Manuel A. Laborde Debucquet, David Martin, Will Rice, Brendan Vos, Rob fertilizers shock policies war coronavirus covid-19 maize agriculture markets trade coronavirinae food security conflicts coronavirus disease wheat prices climate change After the sharp rise in international prices of wheat and other staple foods in the wake of Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, since May prices have fallen back to pre-war levels. Has the global food price crisis now come to an end? Unfortunately, such a conclusion is premature. Domestic food prices for consumers continue to rise in most countries. Meanwhile, ongoing uncertainties — not the least of which is the continuing war — au gur continued turmoil in global food markets. Global food security remains at high risk; hundreds of millions of people already face acute food insecurity and their numbers are rising, according to the Global Report on Food Crises. In this blog post, we try to disentangle the main factors in play. Given the importance of both Russia and Ukraine as suppliers in global markets for wheat, maize, sunflower seeds and oil, and Russia’s importance in international fertilizer and energy markets, the war provoked a surge in food and energy prices worldwide. The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)’s international food price index climbed to its all-time high in mid-May (Figure 1). At that point, wheat prices, for instance, were up 32% from their level at the start of the war. Then prices fell, with those of agricultural commodities, including wheat, returning to pre-war levels. However, prices remain high by historical standards, reflecting impacts of supply disruptions and the surge in global demand for commodities during the recovery from the COVID-19-induced recession in 2021. 2023-07-11 2024-03-14T12:08:54Z 2024-03-14T12:08:54Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140094 en https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294394 https://www.ifpri.org/blog/no-end-sight-yet-global-food-price-crisis Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Glauber, Joseph W.; Hernandez, Manuel A.; Laborde Debucquet, David; Martin, Will; Rice, Brendan; and Vos, Rob. 2023. No end in sight yet for the global food price crisis. In The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Global Food Security, eds. Joseph Glauber and David Laborde Debucquet. Section One: A Conflict with Global Consequences, Chapter 5, Pp. 27-32. https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294394_05.
spellingShingle fertilizers
shock
policies
war
coronavirus
covid-19
maize
agriculture
markets
trade
coronavirinae
food security
conflicts
coronavirus disease
wheat
prices
climate change
Glauber, Joseph W.
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
Rice, Brendan
Vos, Rob
No end in sight yet for the global food price crisis
title No end in sight yet for the global food price crisis
title_full No end in sight yet for the global food price crisis
title_fullStr No end in sight yet for the global food price crisis
title_full_unstemmed No end in sight yet for the global food price crisis
title_short No end in sight yet for the global food price crisis
title_sort no end in sight yet for the global food price crisis
topic fertilizers
shock
policies
war
coronavirus
covid-19
maize
agriculture
markets
trade
coronavirinae
food security
conflicts
coronavirus disease
wheat
prices
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140094
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AT martinwill noendinsightyetfortheglobalfoodpricecrisis
AT ricebrendan noendinsightyetfortheglobalfoodpricecrisis
AT vosrob noendinsightyetfortheglobalfoodpricecrisis