Do no harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis

The Russian invasion of Ukraine is likely to have serious consequences for global food security. The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization has estimated that if there is a prolonged disruption in exports of wheat, fertilizer, and other items from Ukraine and Russia, the number of undernourished peo...

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Main Authors: Glauber, Joseph W., Laborde Debucquet, David
Format: Book Chapter
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140071
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author Glauber, Joseph W.
Laborde Debucquet, David
author_browse Glauber, Joseph W.
Laborde Debucquet, David
author_facet Glauber, Joseph W.
Laborde Debucquet, David
author_sort Glauber, Joseph W.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The Russian invasion of Ukraine is likely to have serious consequences for global food security. The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization has estimated that if there is a prolonged disruption in exports of wheat, fertilizer, and other items from Ukraine and Russia, the number of undernourished people worldwide could increase by 8 to 13 million people in 2022/23, with the most pronounced increases taking place in the Asia-Pacific region, followed by sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East and North Africa. Even before the crisis, agricultural commodity supplies were tight and market prices were at (nominal) record levels. Prices for most grains and oilseeds have risen sharply since the war began in late February (Figure 1). Russia and Ukraine together supply about 12% of global agricultural exports on a caloric basis, and over 30% of global wheat exports. The two countries command even higher shares in the wheat-dependent economies of the Middle East and North Africa, where wheat prices have risen over 30% compared to pre-war levels. Fertilizer and energy markets have seen rising prices and supply disruptions as well.
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spelling CGSpace1400712025-11-06T04:12:04Z Do no harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis Glauber, Joseph W. Laborde Debucquet, David fertilizers exports shock policies war coronavirus covid-19 commodities supply agriculture markets nutrition trade coronavirinae russia food security ukraine conflicts coronavirus disease wheat prices climate change The Russian invasion of Ukraine is likely to have serious consequences for global food security. The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization has estimated that if there is a prolonged disruption in exports of wheat, fertilizer, and other items from Ukraine and Russia, the number of undernourished people worldwide could increase by 8 to 13 million people in 2022/23, with the most pronounced increases taking place in the Asia-Pacific region, followed by sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East and North Africa. Even before the crisis, agricultural commodity supplies were tight and market prices were at (nominal) record levels. Prices for most grains and oilseeds have risen sharply since the war began in late February (Figure 1). Russia and Ukraine together supply about 12% of global agricultural exports on a caloric basis, and over 30% of global wheat exports. The two countries command even higher shares in the wheat-dependent economies of the Middle East and North Africa, where wheat prices have risen over 30% compared to pre-war levels. Fertilizer and energy markets have seen rising prices and supply disruptions as well. 2023-07-11 2024-03-14T12:08:53Z 2024-03-14T12:08:53Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140071 en https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294394 https://www.ifpri.org/blog/do-no-harm-measured-policy-responses-are-key-addressing-food-security-impacts-ukraine-crisis Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Glauber, Joseph W.; and Laborde Debucquet, David. 2023. Do no harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis. In The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Global Food Security, eds. Joseph Glauber and David Laborde Debucquet. Section Two: Policy Recommendations, Chapter 12, Pp. 64-68. https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294394_12.
spellingShingle fertilizers
exports
shock
policies
war
coronavirus
covid-19
commodities
supply
agriculture
markets
nutrition
trade
coronavirinae
russia
food security
ukraine
conflicts
coronavirus disease
wheat
prices
climate change
Glauber, Joseph W.
Laborde Debucquet, David
Do no harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis
title Do no harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis
title_full Do no harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis
title_fullStr Do no harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis
title_full_unstemmed Do no harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis
title_short Do no harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis
title_sort do no harm measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the ukraine crisis
topic fertilizers
exports
shock
policies
war
coronavirus
covid-19
commodities
supply
agriculture
markets
nutrition
trade
coronavirinae
russia
food security
ukraine
conflicts
coronavirus disease
wheat
prices
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140071
work_keys_str_mv AT glauberjosephw donoharmmeasuredpolicyresponsesarekeytoaddressingfoodsecurityimpactsoftheukrainecrisis
AT labordedebucquetdavid donoharmmeasuredpolicyresponsesarekeytoaddressingfoodsecurityimpactsoftheukrainecrisis