Modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems

We modeled six interventions to study the scenarios’ impact on agrifood systems, undernutrition, access to healthy diets, and the environment. We also assessed the interventions as a group to consider the impact of synergies and complementarities. Our baseline showed that 690 million people were und...

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Autores principales: Laborde Debucquet, David, Torero, Maximo
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140053
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author Laborde Debucquet, David
Torero, Maximo
author_browse Laborde Debucquet, David
Torero, Maximo
author_facet Laborde Debucquet, David
Torero, Maximo
author_sort Laborde Debucquet, David
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We modeled six interventions to study the scenarios’ impact on agrifood systems, undernutrition, access to healthy diets, and the environment. We also assessed the interventions as a group to consider the impact of synergies and complementarities. Our baseline showed that 690 million people were undernourished, and 3 billion people could not afford healthy diets in 2019. The first finding confirmed that ending chronic hunger at a 5% level by 2030 is possible, with key structural interventions to ramp up agrifood systems’ efficiency. Through increased farm productivity and reduction of food loss and waste, the number of chronically hungry people could be cut by 314 million. In addition, 568 million people would be able to afford healthy diets by 2030. The cost of ending hunger represents 8% of the size of global food markets, a sum that can be mobilized and invested to generate impact through food value chains, national economies, and social safety nets. Furthermore, the use of well-targeted social safety nets could provide an additional 2.4 billion people with access to healthy diets. The second critical finding was that various interventions could create synergies. This would become apparent through addressing different causes of hunger. Moreover, aiming to minimize the total cost of interventions and seeking, at the same time, the highest return interventions in terms of reduction of undernourishment and an increase in access to healthy diets could create significant trade-offs in regard to sustainability. Countries would have to redistribute $1.4 trillion annually to fill the income gap of the 3 billion people who cannot afford healthy diets. However, by investing in various interventions, countries can drive down the cost of their safety nets by about two thirds or $428 billion globally, in 2030. Combined interventions can also address environmental trade-offs that are bound to occur.
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spelling CGSpace1400532024-10-25T08:00:05Z Modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems Laborde Debucquet, David Torero, Maximo value chains agricultural value chains undernutrition healthy diets food waste hunger nutrition environment economics productivity agrifood systems social safety nets We modeled six interventions to study the scenarios’ impact on agrifood systems, undernutrition, access to healthy diets, and the environment. We also assessed the interventions as a group to consider the impact of synergies and complementarities. Our baseline showed that 690 million people were undernourished, and 3 billion people could not afford healthy diets in 2019. The first finding confirmed that ending chronic hunger at a 5% level by 2030 is possible, with key structural interventions to ramp up agrifood systems’ efficiency. Through increased farm productivity and reduction of food loss and waste, the number of chronically hungry people could be cut by 314 million. In addition, 568 million people would be able to afford healthy diets by 2030. The cost of ending hunger represents 8% of the size of global food markets, a sum that can be mobilized and invested to generate impact through food value chains, national economies, and social safety nets. Furthermore, the use of well-targeted social safety nets could provide an additional 2.4 billion people with access to healthy diets. The second critical finding was that various interventions could create synergies. This would become apparent through addressing different causes of hunger. Moreover, aiming to minimize the total cost of interventions and seeking, at the same time, the highest return interventions in terms of reduction of undernourishment and an increase in access to healthy diets could create significant trade-offs in regard to sustainability. Countries would have to redistribute $1.4 trillion annually to fill the income gap of the 3 billion people who cannot afford healthy diets. However, by investing in various interventions, countries can drive down the cost of their safety nets by about two thirds or $428 billion globally, in 2030. Combined interventions can also address environmental trade-offs that are bound to occur. 2023-01-02 2024-03-14T12:08:51Z 2024-03-14T12:08:51Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140053 en Open Access Springer Laborde Debucquet, David; and Torero Maximo. 2023. Modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems. In Science and Innovations for Food Systems Transformation, eds. Joachim von Braun, Kaosar Afsana, Louise O. Fresco, Mohamed Hag Ali Hassan. Pp. 105-132. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-15703-5_7
spellingShingle value chains
agricultural value chains
undernutrition
healthy diets
food waste
hunger
nutrition
environment
economics
productivity
agrifood systems
social safety nets
Laborde Debucquet, David
Torero, Maximo
Modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems
title Modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems
title_full Modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems
title_fullStr Modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems
title_full_unstemmed Modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems
title_short Modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems
title_sort modeling actions for transforming agrifood systems
topic value chains
agricultural value chains
undernutrition
healthy diets
food waste
hunger
nutrition
environment
economics
productivity
agrifood systems
social safety nets
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140053
work_keys_str_mv AT labordedebucquetdavid modelingactionsfortransformingagrifoodsystems
AT toreromaximo modelingactionsfortransformingagrifoodsystems