Double jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'état and poverty in Myanmar

Myanmar experienced multiple COVID shocks as well as a military takeover in February 2021. Impacts on household poverty remain uncertain, however, because large-scale in-person surveys were impossible during the pandemic and heightened internal conflict. We use ex ante simulation models and phone su...

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Autores principales: Boughton, Duncan, Headey, Derek D., Mahrt, Kristi, Cho, Ame, Diao, Xinshen, Lambrecht, Isabel B., Minten, Bart, Goeb, Joseph, Masias, Ian, Belton, Ben, Aung, Nilar, San, Cho Cho
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140018
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author Boughton, Duncan
Headey, Derek D.
Mahrt, Kristi
Cho, Ame
Diao, Xinshen
Lambrecht, Isabel B.
Minten, Bart
Goeb, Joseph
Masias, Ian
Belton, Ben
Aung, Nilar
San, Cho Cho
author_browse Aung, Nilar
Belton, Ben
Boughton, Duncan
Cho, Ame
Diao, Xinshen
Goeb, Joseph
Headey, Derek D.
Lambrecht, Isabel B.
Mahrt, Kristi
Masias, Ian
Minten, Bart
San, Cho Cho
author_facet Boughton, Duncan
Headey, Derek D.
Mahrt, Kristi
Cho, Ame
Diao, Xinshen
Lambrecht, Isabel B.
Minten, Bart
Goeb, Joseph
Masias, Ian
Belton, Ben
Aung, Nilar
San, Cho Cho
author_sort Boughton, Duncan
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Myanmar experienced multiple COVID shocks as well as a military takeover in February 2021. Impacts on household poverty remain uncertain, however, because large-scale in-person surveys were impossible during the pandemic and heightened internal conflict. We use ex ante simulation models and phone survey evidence to estimate the poverty effects of these shocks and identify factors correlated with them. While each approach has limitations, and cannot explicitly validate each other, they both indicate rising rural and urban poverty and capital-depleting coping mechanisms. Wider use of simulation modeling could help mobilize social protection faster than waiting for survey results in emergencies.
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spelling CGSpace1400182025-10-26T13:01:45Z Double jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'état and poverty in Myanmar Boughton, Duncan Headey, Derek D. Mahrt, Kristi Cho, Ame Diao, Xinshen Lambrecht, Isabel B. Minten, Bart Goeb, Joseph Masias, Ian Belton, Ben Aung, Nilar San, Cho Cho surveys coronavirus covid-19 households coronavirinae coronavirus disease poverty Myanmar experienced multiple COVID shocks as well as a military takeover in February 2021. Impacts on household poverty remain uncertain, however, because large-scale in-person surveys were impossible during the pandemic and heightened internal conflict. We use ex ante simulation models and phone survey evidence to estimate the poverty effects of these shocks and identify factors correlated with them. While each approach has limitations, and cannot explicitly validate each other, they both indicate rising rural and urban poverty and capital-depleting coping mechanisms. Wider use of simulation modeling could help mobilize social protection faster than waiting for survey results in emergencies. 2023-12 2024-03-14T12:08:49Z 2024-03-14T12:08:49Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140018 en https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135954 Open Access Wiley Boughton, Duncan; Headey, Derek D.; Mahrt, Kristi; Cho, Ame; Diao, Xinshen; Lambrecht, Isabel; Minten, Bart; Belton, Ben; et al. Double jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'état and poverty in Myanmar. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 45(4): 1998-2016. https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13390
spellingShingle surveys
coronavirus
covid-19
households
coronavirinae
coronavirus disease
poverty
Boughton, Duncan
Headey, Derek D.
Mahrt, Kristi
Cho, Ame
Diao, Xinshen
Lambrecht, Isabel B.
Minten, Bart
Goeb, Joseph
Masias, Ian
Belton, Ben
Aung, Nilar
San, Cho Cho
Double jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'état and poverty in Myanmar
title Double jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'état and poverty in Myanmar
title_full Double jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'état and poverty in Myanmar
title_fullStr Double jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'état and poverty in Myanmar
title_full_unstemmed Double jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'état and poverty in Myanmar
title_short Double jeopardy: COVID-19, coup d'état and poverty in Myanmar
title_sort double jeopardy covid 19 coup d etat and poverty in myanmar
topic surveys
coronavirus
covid-19
households
coronavirinae
coronavirus disease
poverty
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140018
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