Predictors of prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension in Ethiopia: Reanalysis of the 2015 NCD STEPS survey using causal path diagrams

The objective of our study was to reanalyse the Ethiopia STEPwise approach to Surveillance Noncommunicable Disease Risk Factors survey (NCD STEPS), using causal path diagrams constructed using expert subject matter knowledge in conjunction with graphical model theory to map the underlying causal net...

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Main Authors: Norris, Tom, Genye, Tirsit, Girma, Meron, Hussen, Alemayehu, Pradeilles, Rebecca, Bekele, Zerihun, Van Zyl, Cornelia, Samuel, Aregash
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Wiley 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/139941
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author Norris, Tom
Genye, Tirsit
Girma, Meron
Hussen, Alemayehu
Pradeilles, Rebecca
Bekele, Zerihun
Van Zyl, Cornelia
Samuel, Aregash
author_browse Bekele, Zerihun
Genye, Tirsit
Girma, Meron
Hussen, Alemayehu
Norris, Tom
Pradeilles, Rebecca
Samuel, Aregash
Van Zyl, Cornelia
author_facet Norris, Tom
Genye, Tirsit
Girma, Meron
Hussen, Alemayehu
Pradeilles, Rebecca
Bekele, Zerihun
Van Zyl, Cornelia
Samuel, Aregash
author_sort Norris, Tom
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The objective of our study was to reanalyse the Ethiopia STEPwise approach to Surveillance Noncommunicable Disease Risk Factors survey (NCD STEPS), using causal path diagrams constructed using expert subject matter knowledge in conjunction with graphical model theory to map the underlying causal network of modifiable factors associated with prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension. We used data from the 2015 Ethiopia NCD STEPS representative cross-sectional survey (males; n = 3977 and females; n = 5823 aged 15–69 years) and performed directed acyclic graph-informed logistic regression analyses. In both sexes, a 1-unit higher in body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) were positively associated with prediabetes/diabetes (BMI: males: adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.07 [95% confidence interval: 1.0, 1.1], females aOR: 1.03 [1.0, 1.1]; WC: males: aOR: 1.1 [0.9, 1.2], females: aOR: 1.2 [1.1, 1.3]) and hypertension (BMI: males: aOR: 1.2 [1.1, 1.2], females aOR: 1.1 [1.0, 1.1]; WC: males: aOR: 1.6 [1.4, 1.8], females: aOR: 1.3 [1.2, 1.5]). Although residing in urban settings was associated with higher odds of hypertension in both males (aOR: 1.79 [1.49, 2.16]) and females (aOR: 1.70 [1.49, 1.95]), it was only associated with prediabetes/diabetes in males (aOR: 1.56 [1.25, 1.96]). Males and females in pastoralist areas had lower odds of prediabetes/diabetes compared with their agrarian counterparts (males: aOR: 0.27 [0.14, 0.52], females: aOR: 0.31 [0.16, 0.58]). Physical activity was associated with lower odds of prediabetes/diabetes among females (aOR: 0.75 [0.58, 0.97]). Other diet-related modifiable factors such as consumption of fruit and vegetable, alcohol or salt were not associated with either prediabetes/diabetes or hypertension. Our findings highlight the need to implement interventions that prevent overweight/obesity and nutrition-related NCDs, particularly in urban areas.
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spelling CGSpace1399412025-12-08T10:11:39Z Predictors of prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension in Ethiopia: Reanalysis of the 2015 NCD STEPS survey using causal path diagrams Norris, Tom Genye, Tirsit Girma, Meron Hussen, Alemayehu Pradeilles, Rebecca Bekele, Zerihun Van Zyl, Cornelia Samuel, Aregash diabetes hypertension non-communicable diseases health body mass index surveys The objective of our study was to reanalyse the Ethiopia STEPwise approach to Surveillance Noncommunicable Disease Risk Factors survey (NCD STEPS), using causal path diagrams constructed using expert subject matter knowledge in conjunction with graphical model theory to map the underlying causal network of modifiable factors associated with prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension. We used data from the 2015 Ethiopia NCD STEPS representative cross-sectional survey (males; n = 3977 and females; n = 5823 aged 15–69 years) and performed directed acyclic graph-informed logistic regression analyses. In both sexes, a 1-unit higher in body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) were positively associated with prediabetes/diabetes (BMI: males: adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.07 [95% confidence interval: 1.0, 1.1], females aOR: 1.03 [1.0, 1.1]; WC: males: aOR: 1.1 [0.9, 1.2], females: aOR: 1.2 [1.1, 1.3]) and hypertension (BMI: males: aOR: 1.2 [1.1, 1.2], females aOR: 1.1 [1.0, 1.1]; WC: males: aOR: 1.6 [1.4, 1.8], females: aOR: 1.3 [1.2, 1.5]). Although residing in urban settings was associated with higher odds of hypertension in both males (aOR: 1.79 [1.49, 2.16]) and females (aOR: 1.70 [1.49, 1.95]), it was only associated with prediabetes/diabetes in males (aOR: 1.56 [1.25, 1.96]). Males and females in pastoralist areas had lower odds of prediabetes/diabetes compared with their agrarian counterparts (males: aOR: 0.27 [0.14, 0.52], females: aOR: 0.31 [0.16, 0.58]). Physical activity was associated with lower odds of prediabetes/diabetes among females (aOR: 0.75 [0.58, 0.97]). Other diet-related modifiable factors such as consumption of fruit and vegetable, alcohol or salt were not associated with either prediabetes/diabetes or hypertension. Our findings highlight the need to implement interventions that prevent overweight/obesity and nutrition-related NCDs, particularly in urban areas. 2024-07 2024-03-12T14:45:50Z 2024-03-12T14:45:50Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/139941 en Open Access Wiley Norris, Tom; Girma, Meron; Genye, Tirsit; Hussen, Alemayehu; Pradeilles, Rebecca; Bekele, Zerihun; Van Zyl, Cornelia; and Samuel, Aregash. 2024. Predictors of prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension in Ethiopia: Reanalysis of the 2015 NCD STEPS survey using causal path diagrams. Maternal and Child Health Journal 20(S5). https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.13365
spellingShingle diabetes
hypertension
non-communicable diseases
health
body mass index
surveys
Norris, Tom
Genye, Tirsit
Girma, Meron
Hussen, Alemayehu
Pradeilles, Rebecca
Bekele, Zerihun
Van Zyl, Cornelia
Samuel, Aregash
Predictors of prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension in Ethiopia: Reanalysis of the 2015 NCD STEPS survey using causal path diagrams
title Predictors of prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension in Ethiopia: Reanalysis of the 2015 NCD STEPS survey using causal path diagrams
title_full Predictors of prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension in Ethiopia: Reanalysis of the 2015 NCD STEPS survey using causal path diagrams
title_fullStr Predictors of prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension in Ethiopia: Reanalysis of the 2015 NCD STEPS survey using causal path diagrams
title_full_unstemmed Predictors of prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension in Ethiopia: Reanalysis of the 2015 NCD STEPS survey using causal path diagrams
title_short Predictors of prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension in Ethiopia: Reanalysis of the 2015 NCD STEPS survey using causal path diagrams
title_sort predictors of prediabetes diabetes and hypertension in ethiopia reanalysis of the 2015 ncd steps survey using causal path diagrams
topic diabetes
hypertension
non-communicable diseases
health
body mass index
surveys
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/139941
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