COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of Guatemala

This paper examines the continuing effects of COVID-19 and exposure to weather extremes on income, dietary, and migration outcomes in the rural area of Guatemala. We rely on a comprehensive longitudinal survey of 1,612 smallholder farmers collected over three survey rounds in 2019, 2020, and 2021. W...

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Autores principales: Ceballos, Francisco, Hernandez, Manuel A., Paz, Cynthia
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/139857
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author Ceballos, Francisco
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Paz, Cynthia
author_browse Ceballos, Francisco
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Paz, Cynthia
author_facet Ceballos, Francisco
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Paz, Cynthia
author_sort Ceballos, Francisco
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper examines the continuing effects of COVID-19 and exposure to weather extremes on income, dietary, and migration outcomes in the rural area of Guatemala. We rely on a comprehensive longitudinal survey of 1,612 smallholder farmers collected over three survey rounds in 2019, 2020, and 2021. We find improvements in incomes, food security, dietary diversity, and animal source foods (ASF) consumption in 2021 relative to 2020, but with levels still below pre-pandemic ones in 2019. We also find a substantial increase in the intention to emigrate that was not observed in the onset of the pandemic. In terms of the channels mediating the variations in dietary diversity and migration intentions, income shocks seem to have played a role, in contrast to direct exposure to the virus, local mobility restrictions, and food market disruptions. Importantly, households exposed to ETA and IOTA tropical storms, in addition to COVID-19, were considerably more prone to exhibit larger increases in the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecure episodes and larger decreases in their diet quality and ASF consumption. The study provides novel evidence on vulnerable households’ wellbeing in the aftermath of a global crisis, including the effects of compound shocks.
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spelling CGSpace1398572025-10-26T12:52:39Z COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of Guatemala Ceballos, Francisco Hernandez, Manuel A. Paz, Cynthia COVID-19 food security extreme weather events households income diet migration rural areas shock This paper examines the continuing effects of COVID-19 and exposure to weather extremes on income, dietary, and migration outcomes in the rural area of Guatemala. We rely on a comprehensive longitudinal survey of 1,612 smallholder farmers collected over three survey rounds in 2019, 2020, and 2021. We find improvements in incomes, food security, dietary diversity, and animal source foods (ASF) consumption in 2021 relative to 2020, but with levels still below pre-pandemic ones in 2019. We also find a substantial increase in the intention to emigrate that was not observed in the onset of the pandemic. In terms of the channels mediating the variations in dietary diversity and migration intentions, income shocks seem to have played a role, in contrast to direct exposure to the virus, local mobility restrictions, and food market disruptions. Importantly, households exposed to ETA and IOTA tropical storms, in addition to COVID-19, were considerably more prone to exhibit larger increases in the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecure episodes and larger decreases in their diet quality and ASF consumption. The study provides novel evidence on vulnerable households’ wellbeing in the aftermath of a global crisis, including the effects of compound shocks. 2024-01 2024-03-07T16:55:52Z 2024-03-07T16:55:52Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/139857 en https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294226 https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294226_08 https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135058 https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135934 Open Access Elsevier Ceballos, Francisco; Hernandez, Manuel A.; and Paz, Cynthia. 2024. COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of Guatemala. World Development 173(2024): 106422. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106422
spellingShingle COVID-19
food security
extreme weather events
households
income
diet
migration
rural areas
shock
Ceballos, Francisco
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Paz, Cynthia
COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of Guatemala
title COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of Guatemala
title_full COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of Guatemala
title_fullStr COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of Guatemala
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of Guatemala
title_short COVID-19 and extreme weather: Impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of Guatemala
title_sort covid 19 and extreme weather impacts on food security and migration attitudes in the rural area of guatemala
topic COVID-19
food security
extreme weather events
households
income
diet
migration
rural areas
shock
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/139857
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AT pazcynthia covid19andextremeweatherimpactsonfoodsecurityandmigrationattitudesintheruralareaofguatemala