Sunny-day flooding and mortality risk in coastal Florida
Sea-level rise is likely to worsen the impacts of hurricanes, storm surges, and tidal flooding on coastal access to basic services. We investigate the historical impact of tidal flooding on mortality rates of the elderly population in coastal Florida using administrative records of individual deaths...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Duke University Press
2024
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| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/138416 |
| _version_ | 1855515491709222912 |
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| author | Mueller, Valerie Hauer, Mathew Sheriff, Glenn |
| author_browse | Hauer, Mathew Mueller, Valerie Sheriff, Glenn |
| author_facet | Mueller, Valerie Hauer, Mathew Sheriff, Glenn |
| author_sort | Mueller, Valerie |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Sea-level rise is likely to worsen the impacts of hurricanes, storm surges, and tidal flooding on coastal access to basic services. We investigate the historical impact of tidal flooding on mortality rates of the elderly population in coastal Florida using administrative records of individual deaths, demographics, and residential location combined with tidal gauge and high-resolution elevation data. We incorporate data capturing storm and precipitation events into our empirical model to distinguish between disruptions from routine sunny-day flooding and less predictable tropical storm–induced flooding. We find that a 1-standard-deviation (20-millimeter) increase in tidal flooding depth increases mortality rates by 0.46% to 0.60% among those aged 65 or older. Our estimates suggest that future sea-level rises may contribute to an additional 130 elderly deaths per year in Florida relative to 2019, all else being equal. The enhanced risk is concentrated among residents living more than nine minutes away from the nearest hospital. Results suggest that tidal flooding may augment elderly mortality risk by delaying urgent medical care. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace138416 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateRange | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | Duke University Press |
| publisherStr | Duke University Press |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1384162024-11-18T19:02:09Z Sunny-day flooding and mortality risk in coastal Florida Mueller, Valerie Hauer, Mathew Sheriff, Glenn flooding mortality sea level elderly Sea-level rise is likely to worsen the impacts of hurricanes, storm surges, and tidal flooding on coastal access to basic services. We investigate the historical impact of tidal flooding on mortality rates of the elderly population in coastal Florida using administrative records of individual deaths, demographics, and residential location combined with tidal gauge and high-resolution elevation data. We incorporate data capturing storm and precipitation events into our empirical model to distinguish between disruptions from routine sunny-day flooding and less predictable tropical storm–induced flooding. We find that a 1-standard-deviation (20-millimeter) increase in tidal flooding depth increases mortality rates by 0.46% to 0.60% among those aged 65 or older. Our estimates suggest that future sea-level rises may contribute to an additional 130 elderly deaths per year in Florida relative to 2019, all else being equal. The enhanced risk is concentrated among residents living more than nine minutes away from the nearest hospital. Results suggest that tidal flooding may augment elderly mortality risk by delaying urgent medical care. 2024-02-01 2024-01-24T18:21:21Z 2024-01-24T18:21:21Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/138416 en Limited Access Duke University Press Mueller, Valerie; Hauer, Mathew; Sheriff, Glenn. 2024. Sunny-day flooding and mortality risk in coastal Florida. Demography 61(1): 209–230. https://doi.org/10.1215/00703370-11153911 |
| spellingShingle | flooding mortality sea level elderly Mueller, Valerie Hauer, Mathew Sheriff, Glenn Sunny-day flooding and mortality risk in coastal Florida |
| title | Sunny-day flooding and mortality risk in coastal Florida |
| title_full | Sunny-day flooding and mortality risk in coastal Florida |
| title_fullStr | Sunny-day flooding and mortality risk in coastal Florida |
| title_full_unstemmed | Sunny-day flooding and mortality risk in coastal Florida |
| title_short | Sunny-day flooding and mortality risk in coastal Florida |
| title_sort | sunny day flooding and mortality risk in coastal florida |
| topic | flooding mortality sea level elderly |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/138416 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT muellervalerie sunnydayfloodingandmortalityriskincoastalflorida AT hauermathew sunnydayfloodingandmortalityriskincoastalflorida AT sheriffglenn sunnydayfloodingandmortalityriskincoastalflorida |