Finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over West Africa region: Implications for pearl millet productivity

Climate risk adaptation strategies including cultivar, planting windows, and fertilization for pearl millet production in rainfed farming systems in Nigeria and Senegal were investigated. The result of the APSIM-millet module was calibrated and validated using farm-level yield data from experimenta...

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Autores principales: Akinseye, Mathew Folorunso, Zagre, Inoussa, Joseph, Emanuel Jacob, Faye, Aliou, Kumar, Shalander, Whitbread, Anthony M.
Formato: Ponencia
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/137574
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author Akinseye, Mathew Folorunso
Zagre, Inoussa
Joseph, Emanuel Jacob
Faye, Aliou
Kumar, Shalander
Whitbread, Anthony M.
author_browse Akinseye, Mathew Folorunso
Faye, Aliou
Joseph, Emanuel Jacob
Kumar, Shalander
Whitbread, Anthony M.
Zagre, Inoussa
author_facet Akinseye, Mathew Folorunso
Zagre, Inoussa
Joseph, Emanuel Jacob
Faye, Aliou
Kumar, Shalander
Whitbread, Anthony M.
author_sort Akinseye, Mathew Folorunso
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate risk adaptation strategies including cultivar, planting windows, and fertilization for pearl millet production in rainfed farming systems in Nigeria and Senegal were investigated. The result of the APSIM-millet module was calibrated and validated using farm-level yield data from experimental trials conducted under farmers’ participatory production technology in contrasting environments. Future climate change impacts were estimated using five ensembles of bias-corrected climate model projection outputs under the RCP8.5 high-emissions scenario at the mid-century period, 2040-2069 against the baseline (1980-2009). The results showed that farmers' sowing window simulated slightly higher grain yield than the agronomic sowing window for improved local millet cultivar indicating yield increased by 8-12%. However, the projected changes in the mid-century (2040-2069) resulted in a decline in yield against baseline climate for both varieties and sowing windows, indicating the negative impact of CC on yield productivity. Low magnitude change on dual-purpose millet compared to improved local millet suggests promotion of improved millet variety and early sowing could serve as an excellent strategy to minimize risk or losses under CC. Similarly, low magnitude impacts simulated on grain yield in Nigeria compared to Senegal despite the similarity in agroecology could be associated with inherent soil fertility such as organic carbon than additional inputs applied.
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publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
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publisher Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa
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spelling CGSpace1375742025-12-08T09:54:28Z Finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over West Africa region: Implications for pearl millet productivity Akinseye, Mathew Folorunso Zagre, Inoussa Joseph, Emanuel Jacob Faye, Aliou Kumar, Shalander Whitbread, Anthony M. agriculture agricultural practices agricultural research climate-smart agriculture Climate risk adaptation strategies including cultivar, planting windows, and fertilization for pearl millet production in rainfed farming systems in Nigeria and Senegal were investigated. The result of the APSIM-millet module was calibrated and validated using farm-level yield data from experimental trials conducted under farmers’ participatory production technology in contrasting environments. Future climate change impacts were estimated using five ensembles of bias-corrected climate model projection outputs under the RCP8.5 high-emissions scenario at the mid-century period, 2040-2069 against the baseline (1980-2009). The results showed that farmers' sowing window simulated slightly higher grain yield than the agronomic sowing window for improved local millet cultivar indicating yield increased by 8-12%. However, the projected changes in the mid-century (2040-2069) resulted in a decline in yield against baseline climate for both varieties and sowing windows, indicating the negative impact of CC on yield productivity. Low magnitude change on dual-purpose millet compared to improved local millet suggests promotion of improved millet variety and early sowing could serve as an excellent strategy to minimize risk or losses under CC. Similarly, low magnitude impacts simulated on grain yield in Nigeria compared to Senegal despite the similarity in agroecology could be associated with inherent soil fertility such as organic carbon than additional inputs applied. 2023-09-14 2024-01-11T12:46:04Z 2024-01-11T12:46:04Z Presentation https://hdl.handle.net/10568/137574 en Open Access application/pdf Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa Akinseye MF, Zagre I, Joseph EJ, Faye A, Kumar S, Whitbread A. 2023. Finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over West Africa region: Implications for pearl millet productivity. AICCRA Presentation. Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa (AICCRA).
spellingShingle agriculture
agricultural practices
agricultural research
climate-smart agriculture
Akinseye, Mathew Folorunso
Zagre, Inoussa
Joseph, Emanuel Jacob
Faye, Aliou
Kumar, Shalander
Whitbread, Anthony M.
Finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over West Africa region: Implications for pearl millet productivity
title Finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over West Africa region: Implications for pearl millet productivity
title_full Finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over West Africa region: Implications for pearl millet productivity
title_fullStr Finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over West Africa region: Implications for pearl millet productivity
title_full_unstemmed Finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over West Africa region: Implications for pearl millet productivity
title_short Finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over West Africa region: Implications for pearl millet productivity
title_sort finding adaptation options for smallholder farmers in dry cereal systems under current and future climate scenarios over west africa region implications for pearl millet productivity
topic agriculture
agricultural practices
agricultural research
climate-smart agriculture
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/137574
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