Internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras: A tool to estimate the household-level likelihood of domestic migration

Worldwide, the large majority of migration occurs internally, with people relocating domestically within their country of origin. From a policy perspective, anticipating such migration decisions can be useful for targeting development programs and interventions, or as a monitoring tool, to capture t...

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Autores principales: Ceballos, Francisco, Hernandez, Manuel A., Hernandez, Alvaro Espinoza
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: CGIAR 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/137423
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author Ceballos, Francisco
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Hernandez, Alvaro Espinoza
author_browse Ceballos, Francisco
Hernandez, Alvaro Espinoza
Hernandez, Manuel A.
author_facet Ceballos, Francisco
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Hernandez, Alvaro Espinoza
author_sort Ceballos, Francisco
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Worldwide, the large majority of migration occurs internally, with people relocating domestically within their country of origin. From a policy perspective, anticipating such migration decisions can be useful for targeting development programs and interventions, or as a monitoring tool, to capture the migration ‘sentiment’ among specific groups of interest. This paper describes the construction of an internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras, building on the existing MPI to predict external or cross-border migration available for these countries. The i-MPI aims to objectively measure and track the probability of individuals in a household of permanently migrating to a different location within their country, based on a small subset of household indicators and conditions that highly correlate with the (latent) decision to migrate domestically and, combined, best predict internal migration at the household level. The i-MPI avoids questions about migration intentions, which may be culturally sensitive, prone to misreporting, and difficult to monitor over time. Alternatively, it relies on a concise, reliable, and statistically-robust scoring index obtained from indirect indicators highly associated with migration decisions that are simple and easy to collect in the field. The paper describes the data and methodological approach to derive the index and presents the final i-MPI questionnaires, including a set of accompanying tools to implement it in the field.
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spelling CGSpace1374232025-03-13T19:11:31Z Internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras: A tool to estimate the household-level likelihood of domestic migration Ceballos, Francisco Hernandez, Manuel A. Hernandez, Alvaro Espinoza migration policies behaviour households Worldwide, the large majority of migration occurs internally, with people relocating domestically within their country of origin. From a policy perspective, anticipating such migration decisions can be useful for targeting development programs and interventions, or as a monitoring tool, to capture the migration ‘sentiment’ among specific groups of interest. This paper describes the construction of an internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras, building on the existing MPI to predict external or cross-border migration available for these countries. The i-MPI aims to objectively measure and track the probability of individuals in a household of permanently migrating to a different location within their country, based on a small subset of household indicators and conditions that highly correlate with the (latent) decision to migrate domestically and, combined, best predict internal migration at the household level. The i-MPI avoids questions about migration intentions, which may be culturally sensitive, prone to misreporting, and difficult to monitor over time. Alternatively, it relies on a concise, reliable, and statistically-robust scoring index obtained from indirect indicators highly associated with migration decisions that are simple and easy to collect in the field. The paper describes the data and methodological approach to derive the index and presents the final i-MPI questionnaires, including a set of accompanying tools to implement it in the field. 2023-12-31 2024-01-09T17:35:47Z 2024-01-09T17:35:47Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/137423 en Open Access application/pdf CGIAR Ceballos, Francisco; Hernandez, Manuel; and Hernandez, Alvaro Espinoza. 2023. Internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras: A tool to estimate the household-level likelihood of domestic migration. Fragility, Conflict, and Migration Working Paper December 2023. CGIAR
spellingShingle migration
policies
behaviour
households
Ceballos, Francisco
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Hernandez, Alvaro Espinoza
Internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras: A tool to estimate the household-level likelihood of domestic migration
title Internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras: A tool to estimate the household-level likelihood of domestic migration
title_full Internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras: A tool to estimate the household-level likelihood of domestic migration
title_fullStr Internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras: A tool to estimate the household-level likelihood of domestic migration
title_full_unstemmed Internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras: A tool to estimate the household-level likelihood of domestic migration
title_short Internal Migration Propensity Index (i-MPI) for Guatemala and Honduras: A tool to estimate the household-level likelihood of domestic migration
title_sort internal migration propensity index i mpi for guatemala and honduras a tool to estimate the household level likelihood of domestic migration
topic migration
policies
behaviour
households
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/137423
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