Translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in West Africa: Approach and application in Niger
Seasonal climate forecasts are crucial inputs for effective planning of adaptation to climate variability in the climate-sensitive development sectors. In West Africa, recommendations associated with seasonal forecasts are often based on expert judgment and assessment of the forecasts. This approach...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Brief |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
2023
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/136153 |
| _version_ | 1855539617294450688 |
|---|---|
| author | Houngnibo, Mandela C. M. Minoungou, Bernard Agossou, Gadedjisso-Tossou Ali, Abdou Segnon, Alcade C. Ladi Tchoho, Mahamadou Dan Zougmoré, Robert B. |
| author_browse | Agossou, Gadedjisso-Tossou Ali, Abdou Houngnibo, Mandela C. M. Ladi Tchoho, Mahamadou Dan Minoungou, Bernard Segnon, Alcade C. Zougmoré, Robert B. |
| author_facet | Houngnibo, Mandela C. M. Minoungou, Bernard Agossou, Gadedjisso-Tossou Ali, Abdou Segnon, Alcade C. Ladi Tchoho, Mahamadou Dan Zougmoré, Robert B. |
| author_sort | Houngnibo, Mandela C. M. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Seasonal climate forecasts are crucial inputs for effective planning of adaptation to climate variability in the climate-sensitive development sectors. In West Africa, recommendations associated with seasonal forecasts are often based on expert judgment and assessment of the forecasts. This approach can be subjective and misleading, thus limiting the effectiveness of adaptation planning decision. This Info Note proposes a novel approach for translating seasonal forecasts into actionable sector-specific information. The approach proposed to use seasonal forecasts as inputs to sectorial biophysical and process-based models to generate actionable recommendations that are less sensitive to expert interpretation biases. Preliminary results of a case study application in Niger are presented to illustrate the approach. Application of the approach to the case of Niger has generated forecasts of sowing dates and yields of Millet and Sorghum, satisfaction index for water requirements at different developmental stages, and runoff forecasts for the season 2022-2023. Key findings illustrate the potential of using biophysical models to improve seasonal forecast information in the agricultural and water resource sectors. Further investigations and capacity building are required to refine approaches and facilitate the appropriation of lessons learned by NMHSs in view of a future adoption during West African Regional Climate Outlook Forum (RCOF). |
| format | Brief |
| id | CGSpace136153 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1361532025-12-08T09:54:28Z Translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in West Africa: Approach and application in Niger Houngnibo, Mandela C. M. Minoungou, Bernard Agossou, Gadedjisso-Tossou Ali, Abdou Segnon, Alcade C. Ladi Tchoho, Mahamadou Dan Zougmoré, Robert B. seasonal forecasts agriculture water sectors Seasonal climate forecasts are crucial inputs for effective planning of adaptation to climate variability in the climate-sensitive development sectors. In West Africa, recommendations associated with seasonal forecasts are often based on expert judgment and assessment of the forecasts. This approach can be subjective and misleading, thus limiting the effectiveness of adaptation planning decision. This Info Note proposes a novel approach for translating seasonal forecasts into actionable sector-specific information. The approach proposed to use seasonal forecasts as inputs to sectorial biophysical and process-based models to generate actionable recommendations that are less sensitive to expert interpretation biases. Preliminary results of a case study application in Niger are presented to illustrate the approach. Application of the approach to the case of Niger has generated forecasts of sowing dates and yields of Millet and Sorghum, satisfaction index for water requirements at different developmental stages, and runoff forecasts for the season 2022-2023. Key findings illustrate the potential of using biophysical models to improve seasonal forecast information in the agricultural and water resource sectors. Further investigations and capacity building are required to refine approaches and facilitate the appropriation of lessons learned by NMHSs in view of a future adoption during West African Regional Climate Outlook Forum (RCOF). 2023-12-12 2024-01-03T15:01:59Z 2024-01-03T15:01:59Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/136153 en Open Access application/pdf Houngnibo MCM, Minoungou B, Gadedjisso-Tossou A, Ali A, Segnon AC, Ladi Tchoho MD, Zougmoré RB. 2023. Translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in West Africa: Approach and application in Niger. AICCRA Info Note. Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa (AICCRA). |
| spellingShingle | seasonal forecasts agriculture water sectors Houngnibo, Mandela C. M. Minoungou, Bernard Agossou, Gadedjisso-Tossou Ali, Abdou Segnon, Alcade C. Ladi Tchoho, Mahamadou Dan Zougmoré, Robert B. Translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in West Africa: Approach and application in Niger |
| title | Translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in West Africa: Approach and application in Niger |
| title_full | Translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in West Africa: Approach and application in Niger |
| title_fullStr | Translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in West Africa: Approach and application in Niger |
| title_full_unstemmed | Translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in West Africa: Approach and application in Niger |
| title_short | Translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in West Africa: Approach and application in Niger |
| title_sort | translating seasonal forecasts into actionable information for adaptation planning in agriculture and water sectors in west africa approach and application in niger |
| topic | seasonal forecasts agriculture water sectors |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/136153 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT houngnibomandelacm translatingseasonalforecastsintoactionableinformationforadaptationplanninginagricultureandwatersectorsinwestafricaapproachandapplicationinniger AT minoungoubernard translatingseasonalforecastsintoactionableinformationforadaptationplanninginagricultureandwatersectorsinwestafricaapproachandapplicationinniger AT agossougadedjissotossou translatingseasonalforecastsintoactionableinformationforadaptationplanninginagricultureandwatersectorsinwestafricaapproachandapplicationinniger AT aliabdou translatingseasonalforecastsintoactionableinformationforadaptationplanninginagricultureandwatersectorsinwestafricaapproachandapplicationinniger AT segnonalcadec translatingseasonalforecastsintoactionableinformationforadaptationplanninginagricultureandwatersectorsinwestafricaapproachandapplicationinniger AT laditchohomahamadoudan translatingseasonalforecastsintoactionableinformationforadaptationplanninginagricultureandwatersectorsinwestafricaapproachandapplicationinniger AT zougmorerobertb translatingseasonalforecastsintoactionableinformationforadaptationplanninginagricultureandwatersectorsinwestafricaapproachandapplicationinniger |