Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa

This study has empirically examined the macroeconomic impact of climate change in the East African region by focusing on Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda. It dealt with this effect comprehensively by focusing on economic growth, agricultural output, exports, and food security (using foo...

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Autores principales: Geda, Alemayehu, Yimer, Addis, Demissie, Teferi Dejene, Radeny, Maren A.O., Kassie, Girma, Tesfaye, Abonesh, Belay, Berhanu, Solomon, Dawit
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa 2023
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/135660
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author Geda, Alemayehu
Yimer, Addis
Demissie, Teferi Dejene
Radeny, Maren A.O.
Kassie, Girma
Tesfaye, Abonesh
Belay, Berhanu
Solomon, Dawit
author_browse Belay, Berhanu
Demissie, Teferi Dejene
Geda, Alemayehu
Kassie, Girma
Radeny, Maren A.O.
Solomon, Dawit
Tesfaye, Abonesh
Yimer, Addis
author_facet Geda, Alemayehu
Yimer, Addis
Demissie, Teferi Dejene
Radeny, Maren A.O.
Kassie, Girma
Tesfaye, Abonesh
Belay, Berhanu
Solomon, Dawit
author_sort Geda, Alemayehu
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study has empirically examined the macroeconomic impact of climate change in the East African region by focusing on Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda. It dealt with this effect comprehensively by focusing on economic growth, agricultural output, exports, and food security (using food supply and inflation). This is done using a suite of theoretical models from macroeconomic and macro-econometric literature. The analysis confirms that the effects of climate change in the region are real and present a macroeconomic danger to the economies of the five countries in the region. Specifically, the study found that climate change negatively affects the region's economic growth (total output), agriculture output, exports, food production and supply, and inflation dynamics. The study found several empirically specific effects of climate change. It, for instance, found climate change to reduce the annual GDP of the region by an average of about 7% (which varies from 2.5 in Tanzania to 15 in Ethiopia) by 2050, compared to a no-climate change scenario. The latter is found to have implications for food security in the region. The findings call for authorities in these economies to develop climate change coping and adaptation strategies not only for their own sake but also as part of their macroeconomic policy.
format Informe técnico
id CGSpace135660
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
publishDateSort 2023
publisher Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa
publisherStr Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa
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spelling CGSpace1356602025-11-11T17:10:04Z Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa Geda, Alemayehu Yimer, Addis Demissie, Teferi Dejene Radeny, Maren A.O. Kassie, Girma Tesfaye, Abonesh Belay, Berhanu Solomon, Dawit This study has empirically examined the macroeconomic impact of climate change in the East African region by focusing on Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda. It dealt with this effect comprehensively by focusing on economic growth, agricultural output, exports, and food security (using food supply and inflation). This is done using a suite of theoretical models from macroeconomic and macro-econometric literature. The analysis confirms that the effects of climate change in the region are real and present a macroeconomic danger to the economies of the five countries in the region. Specifically, the study found that climate change negatively affects the region's economic growth (total output), agriculture output, exports, food production and supply, and inflation dynamics. The study found several empirically specific effects of climate change. It, for instance, found climate change to reduce the annual GDP of the region by an average of about 7% (which varies from 2.5 in Tanzania to 15 in Ethiopia) by 2050, compared to a no-climate change scenario. The latter is found to have implications for food security in the region. The findings call for authorities in these economies to develop climate change coping and adaptation strategies not only for their own sake but also as part of their macroeconomic policy. 2023-08 2023-12-20T15:38:58Z 2023-12-20T15:38:58Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/135660 en Open Access application/pdf Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa Geda A, Yimer A, Demissie T, Tesfaye A, Radeny M, Kassie G, Belay B, Solomon D. 2023. Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa. AICCRA Working Paper no. 13. Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research in Africa (AICCRA).
spellingShingle Geda, Alemayehu
Yimer, Addis
Demissie, Teferi Dejene
Radeny, Maren A.O.
Kassie, Girma
Tesfaye, Abonesh
Belay, Berhanu
Solomon, Dawit
Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa
title Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa
title_full Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa
title_fullStr Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa
title_full_unstemmed Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa
title_short Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa
title_sort unraveling the climate macro conundrum the macroeconomic impact of climate change in eastern africa
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/135660
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