Situation report on Nepal’s agrifood systems: August 2023

Inflation continues to drive moderately high food costs: In July of 2023, Nepal’s GDP projections were adjusted downward for 2023/24 (i.e., Nepali year 2080/81)1. Growth moderation in GDP is attributed to tighter monetary policy, which has led to higher interest rates. In addition, import restrictio...

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Autores principales: Kumar, A., Palikhe, A., Maharjan, N.K., Adhikari, M., Gupta, S., Minot, Nicholas, Dorosh, Paul A., Kishore, Avinash, Koirala, Pankaj, Krupnik, Timothy J.
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: CSISA and TAFSSA 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/134930
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author Kumar, A.
Palikhe, A.
Maharjan, N.K.
Adhikari, M.
Gupta, S.
Minot, Nicholas
Dorosh, Paul A.
Kishore, Avinash
Koirala, Pankaj
Krupnik, Timothy J.
author_browse Adhikari, M.
Dorosh, Paul A.
Gupta, S.
Kishore, Avinash
Koirala, Pankaj
Krupnik, Timothy J.
Kumar, A.
Maharjan, N.K.
Minot, Nicholas
Palikhe, A.
author_facet Kumar, A.
Palikhe, A.
Maharjan, N.K.
Adhikari, M.
Gupta, S.
Minot, Nicholas
Dorosh, Paul A.
Kishore, Avinash
Koirala, Pankaj
Krupnik, Timothy J.
author_sort Kumar, A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Inflation continues to drive moderately high food costs: In July of 2023, Nepal’s GDP projections were adjusted downward for 2023/24 (i.e., Nepali year 2080/81)1. Growth moderation in GDP is attributed to tighter monetary policy, which has led to higher interest rates. In addition, import restrictions have been imposed to manage declining foreign exchange reserves2. The annual inflation rate for the 12 months ending in July stood at 7.7 percent compared to 6.3 percent a year ago. Similarly, the cost of food and beverages increased by 2.5 percent compared to the previous month, while inflation for non-food items declined marginally. The increment in food cost is mainly contributed by 13.0, 42.0 and 12.8 percent rises in costs of vegetables, spices, and cereals, respectively. At the regional level, the highest inflation level of 3.4 percent in food and beverages was observed in the Terai region compared to the previous month. Persistence of high prices for cereals: The prices of cereals and their products increased by 12.8 percent in July 2023 compared to the previous year, mainly contributed by 37.8 and 18.5 percent rise in prices of wheat flour and coarse rice. Across provinces, the highest price rises in wheat flour were observed in Sudurpashchim province with 54.4 percent followed by Karnali Province with 24.7 percent. Such rise in cereal prices could limit consumers’ access to basic food commodities, especially for the poor, resulting in food insecurity and malnutrition. The persistent high price for cereals calls for the development of more efficient marketing systems and effective social safety net programs. However, the monthly increase in cereal price was1.0 percent when compared with the price of June 2023. Laborers continued to experience an increase in their real wage rate: The overall year-onyear change in agricultural labor wage rate showed a growth of 6.0 percent in July 2023. The change was higher for females (6.3 percent) compared to males (5.6 percent). However, the change in wage rate in July 2023 remained constant in comparison to the rate of previous month. The higher growth in female wage rate, if sustained, can reduce the wage gap between male and female laborers.
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spelling CGSpace1349302025-11-06T13:13:56Z Situation report on Nepal’s agrifood systems: August 2023 Kumar, A. Palikhe, A. Maharjan, N.K. Adhikari, M. Gupta, S. Minot, Nicholas Dorosh, Paul A. Kishore, Avinash Koirala, Pankaj Krupnik, Timothy J. agrifood systems food prices macroeconomics rice wheat fruits cereals Inflation continues to drive moderately high food costs: In July of 2023, Nepal’s GDP projections were adjusted downward for 2023/24 (i.e., Nepali year 2080/81)1. Growth moderation in GDP is attributed to tighter monetary policy, which has led to higher interest rates. In addition, import restrictions have been imposed to manage declining foreign exchange reserves2. The annual inflation rate for the 12 months ending in July stood at 7.7 percent compared to 6.3 percent a year ago. Similarly, the cost of food and beverages increased by 2.5 percent compared to the previous month, while inflation for non-food items declined marginally. The increment in food cost is mainly contributed by 13.0, 42.0 and 12.8 percent rises in costs of vegetables, spices, and cereals, respectively. At the regional level, the highest inflation level of 3.4 percent in food and beverages was observed in the Terai region compared to the previous month. Persistence of high prices for cereals: The prices of cereals and their products increased by 12.8 percent in July 2023 compared to the previous year, mainly contributed by 37.8 and 18.5 percent rise in prices of wheat flour and coarse rice. Across provinces, the highest price rises in wheat flour were observed in Sudurpashchim province with 54.4 percent followed by Karnali Province with 24.7 percent. Such rise in cereal prices could limit consumers’ access to basic food commodities, especially for the poor, resulting in food insecurity and malnutrition. The persistent high price for cereals calls for the development of more efficient marketing systems and effective social safety net programs. However, the monthly increase in cereal price was1.0 percent when compared with the price of June 2023. Laborers continued to experience an increase in their real wage rate: The overall year-onyear change in agricultural labor wage rate showed a growth of 6.0 percent in July 2023. The change was higher for females (6.3 percent) compared to males (5.6 percent). However, the change in wage rate in July 2023 remained constant in comparison to the rate of previous month. The higher growth in female wage rate, if sustained, can reduce the wage gap between male and female laborers. 2023 2023-12-01T22:20:20Z 2023-12-01T22:20:20Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/134930 en Open Access application/pdf CSISA and TAFSSA Kumar, A., Palikhe, A., Maharjan, N.K., Adhikari, M., Gupta, S., N. Minot, N., Dorosh, P., Kishore, A., Koirala, P., Krupnik, T.J. (2023). Situation Report on Nepal’s Agrifood Systems (August 2023 Bulletin Number 9). The Cereal Systems Initiative for South Asia (CSISA) and Transforming Agrifood Systems in South Asia (TAFSSA). Kathmandu, Nepal.
spellingShingle agrifood systems
food prices
macroeconomics
rice
wheat
fruits
cereals
Kumar, A.
Palikhe, A.
Maharjan, N.K.
Adhikari, M.
Gupta, S.
Minot, Nicholas
Dorosh, Paul A.
Kishore, Avinash
Koirala, Pankaj
Krupnik, Timothy J.
Situation report on Nepal’s agrifood systems: August 2023
title Situation report on Nepal’s agrifood systems: August 2023
title_full Situation report on Nepal’s agrifood systems: August 2023
title_fullStr Situation report on Nepal’s agrifood systems: August 2023
title_full_unstemmed Situation report on Nepal’s agrifood systems: August 2023
title_short Situation report on Nepal’s agrifood systems: August 2023
title_sort situation report on nepal s agrifood systems august 2023
topic agrifood systems
food prices
macroeconomics
rice
wheat
fruits
cereals
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/134930
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