Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE): An Approach to Tackle Research-for-Development’s Long-Causal-Chain Problem

This paper develops a novel approach called Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE) in response to the long-causal-chain problem confronting the evaluation of research for development (R4D) projects. OTE strives to tackle four issues resulting from the common practice of evaluating R4D projects based on...

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Main Authors: Douthwaite, Boru, Proietti, Claudio, Polar, Vivian, Thiele, Graham
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: SAGE Publications 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/134736
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author Douthwaite, Boru
Proietti, Claudio
Polar, Vivian
Thiele, Graham
author_browse Douthwaite, Boru
Polar, Vivian
Proietti, Claudio
Thiele, Graham
author_facet Douthwaite, Boru
Proietti, Claudio
Polar, Vivian
Thiele, Graham
author_sort Douthwaite, Boru
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper develops a novel approach called Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE) in response to the long-causal-chain problem confronting the evaluation of research for development (R4D) projects. OTE strives to tackle four issues resulting from the common practice of evaluating R4D projects based on theory of change developed at the start. The approach was developed iteratively while conducting four evaluations of policy-related outcomes claimed by the CGIAR, a global R4D organization. The first step is to use a middle-range theory (MRT), based on “grand” social science theory, to help delineate and understand the trajectory that generated the set of outcomes being evaluated. The second step is to then identify project contribution to that trajectory. Other types of theory-driven evaluation are single step: they model how projects achieve outcomes without first considering the overarching causal mechanism—the outcome trajectory—from which the outcomes emerged. The use of an MRT allowed us to accrue learning from one evaluation to the next.
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spelling CGSpace1347362025-10-26T12:54:54Z Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE): An Approach to Tackle Research-for-Development’s Long-Causal-Chain Problem Douthwaite, Boru Proietti, Claudio Polar, Vivian Thiele, Graham theory of change value chains This paper develops a novel approach called Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE) in response to the long-causal-chain problem confronting the evaluation of research for development (R4D) projects. OTE strives to tackle four issues resulting from the common practice of evaluating R4D projects based on theory of change developed at the start. The approach was developed iteratively while conducting four evaluations of policy-related outcomes claimed by the CGIAR, a global R4D organization. The first step is to use a middle-range theory (MRT), based on “grand” social science theory, to help delineate and understand the trajectory that generated the set of outcomes being evaluated. The second step is to then identify project contribution to that trajectory. Other types of theory-driven evaluation are single step: they model how projects achieve outcomes without first considering the overarching causal mechanism—the outcome trajectory—from which the outcomes emerged. The use of an MRT allowed us to accrue learning from one evaluation to the next. 2023-09 2023-11-27T16:09:26Z 2023-11-27T16:09:26Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/134736 en Open Access SAGE Publications Douthwaite, B.; Proietti, C.; Polar, V.; Thiele, G. 2023. Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE): an approach to tackle Research-for-Development’s Long-Causal-Chain problem. American Journal of Evaluation, 44(3), 335–352. ISSN 1557-0878. https://doi.org/10.1177/10982140221122771
spellingShingle theory of change
value chains
Douthwaite, Boru
Proietti, Claudio
Polar, Vivian
Thiele, Graham
Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE): An Approach to Tackle Research-for-Development’s Long-Causal-Chain Problem
title Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE): An Approach to Tackle Research-for-Development’s Long-Causal-Chain Problem
title_full Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE): An Approach to Tackle Research-for-Development’s Long-Causal-Chain Problem
title_fullStr Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE): An Approach to Tackle Research-for-Development’s Long-Causal-Chain Problem
title_full_unstemmed Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE): An Approach to Tackle Research-for-Development’s Long-Causal-Chain Problem
title_short Outcome Trajectory Evaluation (OTE): An Approach to Tackle Research-for-Development’s Long-Causal-Chain Problem
title_sort outcome trajectory evaluation ote an approach to tackle research for development s long causal chain problem
topic theory of change
value chains
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/134736
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