Mapping climate insecurity hotspots: Enhancing climate peace and security decision making in East Africa and greater Horn of Africa
Climate change poses significant threats to East Africa and Greater Horn of Africa (EAGHA), impacting critical sectors such as agriculture, nutrition, resource availability, and overall human security. Projections indicate a temperature increase of 0.6°C to 1.6°C by 2050 in EAGHA countries with prec...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Artículo preliminar |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
2023
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/134672 |
| _version_ | 1855523472906649600 |
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| author | Kenduiywo, Benson Mendez, Andres Liebig, Theresa Ines Belli, Anna Villa, Victor Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Korir, Victor Kipkurui Chepngetich, Brenda Pacillo, Grazia Läderach, Peter R.D. |
| author_browse | Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Belli, Anna Chepngetich, Brenda Kenduiywo, Benson Korir, Victor Kipkurui Liebig, Theresa Ines Läderach, Peter R.D. Mendez, Andres Pacillo, Grazia Villa, Victor |
| author_facet | Kenduiywo, Benson Mendez, Andres Liebig, Theresa Ines Belli, Anna Villa, Victor Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Korir, Victor Kipkurui Chepngetich, Brenda Pacillo, Grazia Läderach, Peter R.D. |
| author_sort | Kenduiywo, Benson |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Climate change poses significant threats to East Africa and Greater Horn of Africa (EAGHA), impacting critical sectors such as agriculture, nutrition, resource availability, and overall human security. Projections indicate a temperature increase of 0.6°C to 1.6°C by 2050 in EAGHA countries with precipitation levels expected to either increase or remain stable on average. Despite acknowledging the existence of a complex nexus linking climate and conflict, there is still a pressing need to identify specific areas where climate impacts may have a more significant effect on conflict risks and security outcomes. This study aims at mapping the climate-security nexus by identifying locations where different conditions of climate, conflict and socio-economic vulnerabilities co-occur. We use conflict data from Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED), climate data from CHIRPS, TerraClimate, and AgERA5, and socio-economic data from Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). The mapping approach is designed on regular grids (megapixels) of approximately 20 km2 which identifies three categories of conflict (high, moderate, limited), climate conditions, and vulnerability risks. Results from this approach provides an overview of the current hotspots of climate insecurity in EAGHA. We anticipate that the context-specific information on where climate-related security risks have intensified including vulnerable communities will support governments, as well as development, climate, peace, and security stakeholders in improving their targeted interventions to regions highly exposed to climate-related security risks. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace134672 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1346722025-11-05T11:33:53Z Mapping climate insecurity hotspots: Enhancing climate peace and security decision making in East Africa and greater Horn of Africa Kenduiywo, Benson Mendez, Andres Liebig, Theresa Ines Belli, Anna Villa, Victor Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Korir, Victor Kipkurui Chepngetich, Brenda Pacillo, Grazia Läderach, Peter R.D. climate change peacebuilding conflicts climate system Climate change poses significant threats to East Africa and Greater Horn of Africa (EAGHA), impacting critical sectors such as agriculture, nutrition, resource availability, and overall human security. Projections indicate a temperature increase of 0.6°C to 1.6°C by 2050 in EAGHA countries with precipitation levels expected to either increase or remain stable on average. Despite acknowledging the existence of a complex nexus linking climate and conflict, there is still a pressing need to identify specific areas where climate impacts may have a more significant effect on conflict risks and security outcomes. This study aims at mapping the climate-security nexus by identifying locations where different conditions of climate, conflict and socio-economic vulnerabilities co-occur. We use conflict data from Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED), climate data from CHIRPS, TerraClimate, and AgERA5, and socio-economic data from Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). The mapping approach is designed on regular grids (megapixels) of approximately 20 km2 which identifies three categories of conflict (high, moderate, limited), climate conditions, and vulnerability risks. Results from this approach provides an overview of the current hotspots of climate insecurity in EAGHA. We anticipate that the context-specific information on where climate-related security risks have intensified including vulnerable communities will support governments, as well as development, climate, peace, and security stakeholders in improving their targeted interventions to regions highly exposed to climate-related security risks. 2023-11-09 2023-11-23T06:47:47Z 2023-11-23T06:47:47Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/134672 en Open Access application/pdf Kenduiywo, B.; Mendez, A.; Liebig, T.; Belli, A.; Villa, V.; Achicanoy, H.; Korir, V.; Chepngetich, B.; Pacillo, G.; Laderach, P. (2023) Mapping climate insecurity hotspots: Enhancing climate peace and security decision making in East Africa and greater Horn of Africa. In shaping the future of climate change action plans for sustainable development in Eastern Africa. Nairobi, Kenya. 13 p. |
| spellingShingle | climate change peacebuilding conflicts climate system Kenduiywo, Benson Mendez, Andres Liebig, Theresa Ines Belli, Anna Villa, Victor Achicanoy Estrella, Harold Armando Korir, Victor Kipkurui Chepngetich, Brenda Pacillo, Grazia Läderach, Peter R.D. Mapping climate insecurity hotspots: Enhancing climate peace and security decision making in East Africa and greater Horn of Africa |
| title | Mapping climate insecurity hotspots: Enhancing climate peace and security decision making in East Africa and greater Horn of Africa |
| title_full | Mapping climate insecurity hotspots: Enhancing climate peace and security decision making in East Africa and greater Horn of Africa |
| title_fullStr | Mapping climate insecurity hotspots: Enhancing climate peace and security decision making in East Africa and greater Horn of Africa |
| title_full_unstemmed | Mapping climate insecurity hotspots: Enhancing climate peace and security decision making in East Africa and greater Horn of Africa |
| title_short | Mapping climate insecurity hotspots: Enhancing climate peace and security decision making in East Africa and greater Horn of Africa |
| title_sort | mapping climate insecurity hotspots enhancing climate peace and security decision making in east africa and greater horn of africa |
| topic | climate change peacebuilding conflicts climate system |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/134672 |
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