Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America
The cattle sector is key to the economy of several Latin American countries, however, it strongly contributes to environmental degradation through the emission of greenhouse gases and deforestation, among others. The objective of this study is to analyze the long- and short-term relationships of var...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Ponencia |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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International Center for Tropical Agriculture
2023
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| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/132479 |
| _version_ | 1855521495526146048 |
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| author | Sandoval, Danny Junca Paredes, Jhon Jairo Enciso, Karen Díaz, Manuel Bravo, Aura Burkart, Stefan |
| author_browse | Bravo, Aura Burkart, Stefan Díaz, Manuel Enciso, Karen Junca Paredes, Jhon Jairo Sandoval, Danny |
| author_facet | Sandoval, Danny Junca Paredes, Jhon Jairo Enciso, Karen Díaz, Manuel Bravo, Aura Burkart, Stefan |
| author_sort | Sandoval, Danny |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The cattle sector is key to the economy of several Latin American countries, however, it strongly contributes to environmental degradation through the emission of greenhouse gases and deforestation, among others. The objective of this study is to analyze the long- and short-term relationships of variables such as population growth, expansion of pastureland, and deforestation with cattle greenhouse gas emissions and beef and dairy production for 15 Latin American countries. Using information consolidated by FAOSTAT for the period between 1990-2019, a cointegrated panel method (Pooled Median Group) was applied, with which six specifications were estimated. The main results show that, in the long-term, a population growth of 1% decreases methane emissions derived from manure management in beef production by 1.41% and increases those derived from enteric fermentation by 0.97%. Likewise, a 1% expansion of pastureland increases methane emissions from manure management by 2.66% and decreases those related to enteric fermentation by 2.15%. The results indicate that at the aggregate level for the region there is evidence of stable long-term relations. This means that the effects population growth, the expansion of pastureland, and deforestation have on greenhouse gas emissions from cattle production tend to decrease over time. This long-term behavior may be marked by those countries that have a more developed cattle sector, aimed at reducing the impacts of cattle production on the environment, for example, by supporting the adoption of improved forage technologies, silvo-pastoral systems, grazing management practices, and regulatory frameworks and incentives. The cattle sector of these countries can be used as a regional benchmark and its lessons learned as inputs for sustainable intensification processes in countries with a developing cattle sector. |
| format | Ponencia |
| id | CGSpace132479 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | International Center for Tropical Agriculture |
| publisherStr | International Center for Tropical Agriculture |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1324792025-11-05T11:23:31Z Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America Sandoval, Danny Junca Paredes, Jhon Jairo Enciso, Karen Díaz, Manuel Bravo, Aura Burkart, Stefan cattle greenhouse gas emissions sustainability cattle production The cattle sector is key to the economy of several Latin American countries, however, it strongly contributes to environmental degradation through the emission of greenhouse gases and deforestation, among others. The objective of this study is to analyze the long- and short-term relationships of variables such as population growth, expansion of pastureland, and deforestation with cattle greenhouse gas emissions and beef and dairy production for 15 Latin American countries. Using information consolidated by FAOSTAT for the period between 1990-2019, a cointegrated panel method (Pooled Median Group) was applied, with which six specifications were estimated. The main results show that, in the long-term, a population growth of 1% decreases methane emissions derived from manure management in beef production by 1.41% and increases those derived from enteric fermentation by 0.97%. Likewise, a 1% expansion of pastureland increases methane emissions from manure management by 2.66% and decreases those related to enteric fermentation by 2.15%. The results indicate that at the aggregate level for the region there is evidence of stable long-term relations. This means that the effects population growth, the expansion of pastureland, and deforestation have on greenhouse gas emissions from cattle production tend to decrease over time. This long-term behavior may be marked by those countries that have a more developed cattle sector, aimed at reducing the impacts of cattle production on the environment, for example, by supporting the adoption of improved forage technologies, silvo-pastoral systems, grazing management practices, and regulatory frameworks and incentives. The cattle sector of these countries can be used as a regional benchmark and its lessons learned as inputs for sustainable intensification processes in countries with a developing cattle sector. 2023-09-21 2023-10-26T09:48:33Z 2023-10-26T09:48:33Z Presentation https://hdl.handle.net/10568/132479 en Open Access application/pdf International Center for Tropical Agriculture Sandoval, D.; Junca, J.J.; Enciso, K.; Díaz, M.; Bravo, A.; Burkart, S. (2023) Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America. Presentation prepared for Tropentag 2023 - Competing pathways for equitable food systems transformation: trade-offs and synergies. Berlin, Germany, 20-22 September 2023. Cali (Colombia): International Center for Tropical Agriculture. 8 sl. |
| spellingShingle | cattle greenhouse gas emissions sustainability cattle production Sandoval, Danny Junca Paredes, Jhon Jairo Enciso, Karen Díaz, Manuel Bravo, Aura Burkart, Stefan Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America |
| title | Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America |
| title_full | Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America |
| title_fullStr | Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America |
| title_full_unstemmed | Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America |
| title_short | Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America |
| title_sort | applying co integrated panel models to estimate long term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for latin america |
| topic | cattle greenhouse gas emissions sustainability cattle production |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/132479 |
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