How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Guatemala? Climate Security Pathway Analysis

This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Guatamala, using a pathway analysis. Two main pathways are identified: 1. Livelihood and Food Insecurity: Climate change impacts may exacerbate socioeconomic conditions leading to vulnerability in households dependent...

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Main Authors: Ferré Garcia, Tània, Madurga Lopez, Ignacio M., Medina, Leonardo, Penel, Charlotte, Carneiro, Bia, Liebig, Theresa Ines, Läderach, Peter R.D., Pacillo, Grazia
Format: Brief
Language:Inglés
Published: 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131566
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author Ferré Garcia, Tània
Madurga Lopez, Ignacio M.
Medina, Leonardo
Penel, Charlotte
Carneiro, Bia
Liebig, Theresa Ines
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Pacillo, Grazia
author_browse Carneiro, Bia
Ferré Garcia, Tània
Liebig, Theresa Ines
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Madurga Lopez, Ignacio M.
Medina, Leonardo
Pacillo, Grazia
Penel, Charlotte
author_facet Ferré Garcia, Tània
Madurga Lopez, Ignacio M.
Medina, Leonardo
Penel, Charlotte
Carneiro, Bia
Liebig, Theresa Ines
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Pacillo, Grazia
author_sort Ferré Garcia, Tània
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Guatamala, using a pathway analysis. Two main pathways are identified: 1. Livelihood and Food Insecurity: Climate change impacts may exacerbate socioeconomic conditions leading to vulnerability in households dependent on rain-fed subsistence agriculture, and further contribute to food and livelihood insecurity. This, in turn, may spur economic migration towards urban centres inside and outside the country. The lack of access to alternative livelihood options may increase engagement in illicit activities and recruitment by criminal groups, indirectly contributing to the strength of organized crime networks active in the border regions with Mexico and Honduras. 2. Resource Availability and Access: The impact of climate change on water, land and food systems has been observed and is predicted to further reduce agricultural land productivity, decrease key cash crop yields, as well as hinder the availability and access to natural resources in Guatemala. Increased competition over natural resource access and distribution may lead to tensions and conflicts.
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spelling CGSpace1315662025-11-05T12:26:59Z How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Guatemala? Climate Security Pathway Analysis Ferré Garcia, Tània Madurga Lopez, Ignacio M. Medina, Leonardo Penel, Charlotte Carneiro, Bia Liebig, Theresa Ines Läderach, Peter R.D. Pacillo, Grazia climate change conflict sensitivity peacebuilding This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Guatamala, using a pathway analysis. Two main pathways are identified: 1. Livelihood and Food Insecurity: Climate change impacts may exacerbate socioeconomic conditions leading to vulnerability in households dependent on rain-fed subsistence agriculture, and further contribute to food and livelihood insecurity. This, in turn, may spur economic migration towards urban centres inside and outside the country. The lack of access to alternative livelihood options may increase engagement in illicit activities and recruitment by criminal groups, indirectly contributing to the strength of organized crime networks active in the border regions with Mexico and Honduras. 2. Resource Availability and Access: The impact of climate change on water, land and food systems has been observed and is predicted to further reduce agricultural land productivity, decrease key cash crop yields, as well as hinder the availability and access to natural resources in Guatemala. Increased competition over natural resource access and distribution may lead to tensions and conflicts. 2023-07 2023-08-16T13:53:49Z 2023-08-16T13:53:49Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131566 en Open Access application/pdf Ferré Garcia, T.; Madurga-Lopez, I.; Medina, L.; Penel, C.; Carneiro, B.; Liebig, T.; Läderach, P.; Pacillo, G. (2023) How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Guatemala? Climate Security Pathway Analysis. Climate Security Observatory Series, 2023/4. 21 p.
spellingShingle climate change
conflict sensitivity
peacebuilding
Ferré Garcia, Tània
Madurga Lopez, Ignacio M.
Medina, Leonardo
Penel, Charlotte
Carneiro, Bia
Liebig, Theresa Ines
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Pacillo, Grazia
How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Guatemala? Climate Security Pathway Analysis
title How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Guatemala? Climate Security Pathway Analysis
title_full How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Guatemala? Climate Security Pathway Analysis
title_fullStr How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Guatemala? Climate Security Pathway Analysis
title_full_unstemmed How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Guatemala? Climate Security Pathway Analysis
title_short How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Guatemala? Climate Security Pathway Analysis
title_sort how does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in guatemala climate security pathway analysis
topic climate change
conflict sensitivity
peacebuilding
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131566
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