Zambia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation

Zambia experienced modest economic growth of 4.8 percent per year between 2010 and 2019 (ZamStats 2020). Most growth occurred in the earlier part of the decade. After world commodity prices fell in 2014, the GDP growth rate slowed to an annual rate of 3.1 percent (for 2014–2019), which is below the...

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Main Authors: Diao, Xinshen, Ellis, Mia, Pauw, Karl, Thurlow, James
Format: Brief
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131434
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author Diao, Xinshen
Ellis, Mia
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
author_browse Diao, Xinshen
Ellis, Mia
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
author_facet Diao, Xinshen
Ellis, Mia
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
author_sort Diao, Xinshen
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Zambia experienced modest economic growth of 4.8 percent per year between 2010 and 2019 (ZamStats 2020). Most growth occurred in the earlier part of the decade. After world commodity prices fell in 2014, the GDP growth rate slowed to an annual rate of 3.1 percent (for 2014–2019), which is below the country’s population growth rate. The global COVID-19 pandemic further damaged the economy and GDP declined by 2.8 percent in 2020. The global commodity market disruptions related to the Russia Ukraine war that started in 2022 and the global recession in 2023 are expected to further harm Zambia’s economy (Arndt et al. 2023; Diao and Thurlow 2023). Zambia’s projected GDP growth rate is 3.9 percent for 2023 and 4.1 percent for 2024 (World Bank 2023). Its economy relies heavily on exports of copper and other minerals. While mining is a large sector in total GDP, it creates few jobs in the country. Agriculture remains important in employment, accounting for near 40 percent of jobs. In this brief, we unpack the historical and projected economic growth trajectory further to better understand the role of agriculture as well as the broader agrifood system (AFS) in the performance and transformation of the economy of Zambia.
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spelling CGSpace1314342025-11-06T04:38:13Z Zambia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation Diao, Xinshen Ellis, Mia Pauw, Karl Thurlow, James agrifood systems value chains markets agriculture labour productivity off-farm employment poverty diet quality jobs development gross national product maize cattle sugarcane cereals Zambia experienced modest economic growth of 4.8 percent per year between 2010 and 2019 (ZamStats 2020). Most growth occurred in the earlier part of the decade. After world commodity prices fell in 2014, the GDP growth rate slowed to an annual rate of 3.1 percent (for 2014–2019), which is below the country’s population growth rate. The global COVID-19 pandemic further damaged the economy and GDP declined by 2.8 percent in 2020. The global commodity market disruptions related to the Russia Ukraine war that started in 2022 and the global recession in 2023 are expected to further harm Zambia’s economy (Arndt et al. 2023; Diao and Thurlow 2023). Zambia’s projected GDP growth rate is 3.9 percent for 2023 and 4.1 percent for 2024 (World Bank 2023). Its economy relies heavily on exports of copper and other minerals. While mining is a large sector in total GDP, it creates few jobs in the country. Agriculture remains important in employment, accounting for near 40 percent of jobs. In this brief, we unpack the historical and projected economic growth trajectory further to better understand the role of agriculture as well as the broader agrifood system (AFS) in the performance and transformation of the economy of Zambia. 2023-07-10 2023-08-08T09:32:57Z 2023-08-08T09:32:57Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131434 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Diao, Xinshen; Ellis, Mia; Pauw, Karl; and Thurlow, James. 2023. Zambia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation. Agrifood System Diagnostics Country Series 21. https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136797.
spellingShingle agrifood systems
value chains
markets
agriculture
labour productivity
off-farm employment
poverty
diet quality
jobs
development
gross national product
maize
cattle
sugarcane
cereals
Diao, Xinshen
Ellis, Mia
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
Zambia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation
title Zambia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation
title_full Zambia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation
title_fullStr Zambia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation
title_full_unstemmed Zambia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation
title_short Zambia’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation
title_sort zambia s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation
topic agrifood systems
value chains
markets
agriculture
labour productivity
off-farm employment
poverty
diet quality
jobs
development
gross national product
maize
cattle
sugarcane
cereals
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131434
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AT ellismia zambiasagrifoodsystemstructureanddriversoftransformation
AT pauwkarl zambiasagrifoodsystemstructureanddriversoftransformation
AT thurlowjames zambiasagrifoodsystemstructureanddriversoftransformation