Assessment of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios and its impacts on the Greater Accra Region

The effects of climate change (CC) have intensified in Ghana, especially in the Greater Accra region over the last two decades. CC assessment under the new IPCC scenarios and consistent local station data is limited. Consequently, CC assessment is becoming difficult in data-scarce regions in Ghana....

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Main Authors: Siabi, E. K., Awafo, E. A., Kabo-bah, A. T., Derkyi, N. S. A., Akpoti, Komlavi, Mortey, E. M., Yazdanie, M.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/130808
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author Siabi, E. K.
Awafo, E. A.
Kabo-bah, A. T.
Derkyi, N. S. A.
Akpoti, Komlavi
Mortey, E. M.
Yazdanie, M.
author_browse Akpoti, Komlavi
Awafo, E. A.
Derkyi, N. S. A.
Kabo-bah, A. T.
Mortey, E. M.
Siabi, E. K.
Yazdanie, M.
author_facet Siabi, E. K.
Awafo, E. A.
Kabo-bah, A. T.
Derkyi, N. S. A.
Akpoti, Komlavi
Mortey, E. M.
Yazdanie, M.
author_sort Siabi, E. K.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The effects of climate change (CC) have intensified in Ghana, especially in the Greater Accra region over the last two decades. CC assessment under the new IPCC scenarios and consistent local station data is limited. Consequently, CC assessment is becoming difficult in data-scarce regions in Ghana. This study utilizes six different Regional Climate Models under the 6th IPCC Report’s Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios (SSPs) of the CMIP6, which were bias-corrected with CMhyd over Greater Accra using ground station and PUGMF reanalysis data. The study reveals a reduction and potential shift in the intensity of precipitation in the region under the SSPs. Maximum temperature is expected to increase by 0.81–1.45 C, 0.84–1.54 C, 0.96–1.70 C and 0.98–1.73 C, while minimum temperature would likely increase by 1.33–2.02 C, 1.49–2.22 C, 1.71–4.75 C and 1.75–4.83 C under SSP1–2.6, SSP2–4.5, SSP3–7.0, and SSP5–8.5 scenarios, respectively. Thus, temperature will likely increase, especially at night in the near future. Rising temperatures and changes in precipitation have impacts on all strata of society, from agricultural production to power generation and beyond. These findings can help inform Ghanaian policymaking on Sustainable Development Goals 11 and 13 as well as nationally determined contributions within the Paris Agreement.
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spelling CGSpace1308082025-10-26T13:01:28Z Assessment of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios and its impacts on the Greater Accra Region Siabi, E. K. Awafo, E. A. Kabo-bah, A. T. Derkyi, N. S. A. Akpoti, Komlavi Mortey, E. M. Yazdanie, M. climate change socioeconomic impact assessment urban areas climate prediction trends climate models precipitation temperature policies sustainable development goals goal 11 sustainable cities and communities goal 13 climate action The effects of climate change (CC) have intensified in Ghana, especially in the Greater Accra region over the last two decades. CC assessment under the new IPCC scenarios and consistent local station data is limited. Consequently, CC assessment is becoming difficult in data-scarce regions in Ghana. This study utilizes six different Regional Climate Models under the 6th IPCC Report’s Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios (SSPs) of the CMIP6, which were bias-corrected with CMhyd over Greater Accra using ground station and PUGMF reanalysis data. The study reveals a reduction and potential shift in the intensity of precipitation in the region under the SSPs. Maximum temperature is expected to increase by 0.81–1.45 C, 0.84–1.54 C, 0.96–1.70 C and 0.98–1.73 C, while minimum temperature would likely increase by 1.33–2.02 C, 1.49–2.22 C, 1.71–4.75 C and 1.75–4.83 C under SSP1–2.6, SSP2–4.5, SSP3–7.0, and SSP5–8.5 scenarios, respectively. Thus, temperature will likely increase, especially at night in the near future. Rising temperatures and changes in precipitation have impacts on all strata of society, from agricultural production to power generation and beyond. These findings can help inform Ghanaian policymaking on Sustainable Development Goals 11 and 13 as well as nationally determined contributions within the Paris Agreement. 2023-05 2023-06-22T06:48:31Z 2023-06-22T06:48:31Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/130808 en Open Access Elsevier Siabi, E. K.; Awafo, E. A.; Kabo-bah, A. T.; Derkyi, N. S. A.; Akpoti, Komlavi; Mortey, E. M.; Yazdanie, M. 2023. Assessment of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios and its impacts on the Greater Accra Region. Urban Climate, 49:101432. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101432]
spellingShingle climate change
socioeconomic impact
assessment
urban areas
climate prediction
trends
climate models
precipitation
temperature
policies
sustainable development goals
goal 11 sustainable cities and communities
goal 13 climate action
Siabi, E. K.
Awafo, E. A.
Kabo-bah, A. T.
Derkyi, N. S. A.
Akpoti, Komlavi
Mortey, E. M.
Yazdanie, M.
Assessment of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios and its impacts on the Greater Accra Region
title Assessment of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios and its impacts on the Greater Accra Region
title_full Assessment of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios and its impacts on the Greater Accra Region
title_fullStr Assessment of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios and its impacts on the Greater Accra Region
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios and its impacts on the Greater Accra Region
title_short Assessment of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios and its impacts on the Greater Accra Region
title_sort assessment of shared socioeconomic pathway ssp climate scenarios and its impacts on the greater accra region
topic climate change
socioeconomic impact
assessment
urban areas
climate prediction
trends
climate models
precipitation
temperature
policies
sustainable development goals
goal 11 sustainable cities and communities
goal 13 climate action
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/130808
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