Safe and just Earth system boundaries
The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked1-3, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently4,5. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
Springer
2023
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/130739 |
| _version_ | 1855529585871945728 |
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| author | Rockström, Johan Sakschewski, Boris Gupta, Joyeeta Scholtens, Joeri Stewart-Koster, Ben Tharammal, Thejna Vuuren, Detlef P. van Verburg, Peter H. Winkelmann, Ricarda Zimm, Caroline Bennett, Elena M. Bringezu, Stefan Broadgate, Wendy Green, Pamela A. Huang, Lei Jacobson, Lisa Ndehedehe, Christopher Pedde, Simona Rocha, Juan Scheffer, Marten Schulte-Uebbing, Lena Vries, Wim de Xiao, Cunde Xu, Chi Xu, Xinwu Zafra-Calvo, Noelia Prodani, Klaudia Qin, Dahe Lade, Steven J. Abrams, Jesse F. Andersen, Lauren S. Armstrong McKay, David I. Bai, Xuemei Bala, Govindasamy Bunn, Stuart E. Ciobanu, Daniel DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Ebi, Kristie Gifford, Lauren Gordon, Christopher Hasan, Syezlin Kanie, Norichika Lenton, Timothy M. Loriani, Sina Liverman, Diana M. Mohamed, Awaz Nakicenovic, Nebojsa Obura, David Ospina, Daniel Rammelt, Crelis Zhang, Xin |
| author_browse | Abrams, Jesse F. Andersen, Lauren S. Armstrong McKay, David I. Bai, Xuemei Bala, Govindasamy Bennett, Elena M. Bringezu, Stefan Broadgate, Wendy Bunn, Stuart E. Ciobanu, Daniel DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Ebi, Kristie Gifford, Lauren Gordon, Christopher Green, Pamela A. Gupta, Joyeeta Hasan, Syezlin Huang, Lei Jacobson, Lisa Kanie, Norichika Lade, Steven J. Lenton, Timothy M. Liverman, Diana M. Loriani, Sina Mohamed, Awaz Nakicenovic, Nebojsa Ndehedehe, Christopher Obura, David Ospina, Daniel Pedde, Simona Prodani, Klaudia Qin, Dahe Rammelt, Crelis Rocha, Juan Rockström, Johan Sakschewski, Boris Scheffer, Marten Scholtens, Joeri Schulte-Uebbing, Lena Stewart-Koster, Ben Tharammal, Thejna Verburg, Peter H. Vries, Wim de Vuuren, Detlef P. van Winkelmann, Ricarda Xiao, Cunde Xu, Chi Xu, Xinwu Zafra-Calvo, Noelia Zhang, Xin Zimm, Caroline |
| author_facet | Rockström, Johan Sakschewski, Boris Gupta, Joyeeta Scholtens, Joeri Stewart-Koster, Ben Tharammal, Thejna Vuuren, Detlef P. van Verburg, Peter H. Winkelmann, Ricarda Zimm, Caroline Bennett, Elena M. Bringezu, Stefan Broadgate, Wendy Green, Pamela A. Huang, Lei Jacobson, Lisa Ndehedehe, Christopher Pedde, Simona Rocha, Juan Scheffer, Marten Schulte-Uebbing, Lena Vries, Wim de Xiao, Cunde Xu, Chi Xu, Xinwu Zafra-Calvo, Noelia Prodani, Klaudia Qin, Dahe Lade, Steven J. Abrams, Jesse F. Andersen, Lauren S. Armstrong McKay, David I. Bai, Xuemei Bala, Govindasamy Bunn, Stuart E. Ciobanu, Daniel DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Ebi, Kristie Gifford, Lauren Gordon, Christopher Hasan, Syezlin Kanie, Norichika Lenton, Timothy M. Loriani, Sina Liverman, Diana M. Mohamed, Awaz Nakicenovic, Nebojsa Obura, David Ospina, Daniel Rammelt, Crelis Zhang, Xin |
| author_sort | Rockström, Johan |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked1-3, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently4,5. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintaining the resilience and stability of the Earth system (safe ESBs) and minimizing exposure to significant harm to humans from Earth system change (a necessary but not sufficient condition for justice)4. The stricter of the safe or just boundaries sets the integrated safe and just ESB. Our findings show that justice considerations constrain the integrated ESBs more than safety considerations for climate and atmospheric aerosol loading. Seven of eight globally quantified safe and just ESBs and at least two regional safe and just ESBs in over half of global land area are already exceeded. We propose that our assessment provides a quantitative foundation for safeguarding the global commons for all people now and into the future. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace130739 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | Springer |
| publisherStr | Springer |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1307392025-11-11T18:53:29Z Safe and just Earth system boundaries Rockström, Johan Sakschewski, Boris Gupta, Joyeeta Scholtens, Joeri Stewart-Koster, Ben Tharammal, Thejna Vuuren, Detlef P. van Verburg, Peter H. Winkelmann, Ricarda Zimm, Caroline Bennett, Elena M. Bringezu, Stefan Broadgate, Wendy Green, Pamela A. Huang, Lei Jacobson, Lisa Ndehedehe, Christopher Pedde, Simona Rocha, Juan Scheffer, Marten Schulte-Uebbing, Lena Vries, Wim de Xiao, Cunde Xu, Chi Xu, Xinwu Zafra-Calvo, Noelia Prodani, Klaudia Qin, Dahe Lade, Steven J. Abrams, Jesse F. Andersen, Lauren S. Armstrong McKay, David I. Bai, Xuemei Bala, Govindasamy Bunn, Stuart E. Ciobanu, Daniel DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Ebi, Kristie Gifford, Lauren Gordon, Christopher Hasan, Syezlin Kanie, Norichika Lenton, Timothy M. Loriani, Sina Liverman, Diana M. Mohamed, Awaz Nakicenovic, Nebojsa Obura, David Ospina, Daniel Rammelt, Crelis Zhang, Xin earth humans global observing systems The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked1-3, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently4,5. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintaining the resilience and stability of the Earth system (safe ESBs) and minimizing exposure to significant harm to humans from Earth system change (a necessary but not sufficient condition for justice)4. The stricter of the safe or just boundaries sets the integrated safe and just ESB. Our findings show that justice considerations constrain the integrated ESBs more than safety considerations for climate and atmospheric aerosol loading. Seven of eight globally quantified safe and just ESBs and at least two regional safe and just ESBs in over half of global land area are already exceeded. We propose that our assessment provides a quantitative foundation for safeguarding the global commons for all people now and into the future. 2023-07-06 2023-06-15T14:33:32Z 2023-06-15T14:33:32Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/130739 en Open Access application/pdf Springer Rockström, J.; Sakschewski, B.; Gupta, J.; Scholtens, J.; Stewart-Koster, B.; Tharammal, T.; Vuuren, D.P.v.; Verburg, P.H.; Winkelmann, R.; Zimm, C.; Bennett, E.M.; Bringezu, S.; Broadgate, W.; Green, P.A.; Huang, L.; Jacobson, L.; Ndehedehe, C.; Pedde, S.; Rocha, J.; Scheffer, M.; Schulte-Uebbing, L.; de Vries, W.; Xiao, C.; Xu, C.; Xu, X.; Zafra-Calvo, N.; Prodani, K.; Qin, D.; Lade, S.J.; Abrams, J.F.; Andersen, L.S.; Armstrong McKay, D.I.; Bai, X.; Bala, G.; Bunn, S.E.; Ciobanu, D.; Declerck, F.; Ebi, K.; Gifford, L.; Gordon, C.; Hasan, S.; Kanie, N.; Lenton, T.M.; Loriani, S.; Liverman, D.M.; Mohamed, A.; Nakicenovic, N.; Obura, D.; Ospina, D.; Rammelt, C.; Zhang, X. (2023) Safe and just Earth system boundaries. Nature, Online first paper (31 May 2023). 19 p. ISSN: 0028-0836 |
| spellingShingle | earth humans global observing systems Rockström, Johan Sakschewski, Boris Gupta, Joyeeta Scholtens, Joeri Stewart-Koster, Ben Tharammal, Thejna Vuuren, Detlef P. van Verburg, Peter H. Winkelmann, Ricarda Zimm, Caroline Bennett, Elena M. Bringezu, Stefan Broadgate, Wendy Green, Pamela A. Huang, Lei Jacobson, Lisa Ndehedehe, Christopher Pedde, Simona Rocha, Juan Scheffer, Marten Schulte-Uebbing, Lena Vries, Wim de Xiao, Cunde Xu, Chi Xu, Xinwu Zafra-Calvo, Noelia Prodani, Klaudia Qin, Dahe Lade, Steven J. Abrams, Jesse F. Andersen, Lauren S. Armstrong McKay, David I. Bai, Xuemei Bala, Govindasamy Bunn, Stuart E. Ciobanu, Daniel DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Ebi, Kristie Gifford, Lauren Gordon, Christopher Hasan, Syezlin Kanie, Norichika Lenton, Timothy M. Loriani, Sina Liverman, Diana M. Mohamed, Awaz Nakicenovic, Nebojsa Obura, David Ospina, Daniel Rammelt, Crelis Zhang, Xin Safe and just Earth system boundaries |
| title | Safe and just Earth system boundaries |
| title_full | Safe and just Earth system boundaries |
| title_fullStr | Safe and just Earth system boundaries |
| title_full_unstemmed | Safe and just Earth system boundaries |
| title_short | Safe and just Earth system boundaries |
| title_sort | safe and just earth system boundaries |
| topic | earth humans global observing systems |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/130739 |
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