Consistency, variability, and predictability of on-farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west Africa

Grain legumes are key components of sustainable production systems in sub-Saharan Africa, but wide-spread nutrient deficiencies severely restrict yields. Whereas legumes can meet a large part of their nitrogen (N) requirement through symbiosis with N2-fixing bacteria, elements such as phosphorus (P)...

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Main Authors: Heerwaarden, J. van, Ronner, E., Baijukya, F., Adjei-Nsiah, S., Ebanyat, P., Kamai, N., Woldemeskel, Endalkachew, Vanlauwe, Bernard, Giller, Kenneth E.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/130658
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author Heerwaarden, J. van
Ronner, E.
Baijukya, F.
Adjei-Nsiah, S.
Ebanyat, P.
Kamai, N.
Woldemeskel, Endalkachew
Vanlauwe, Bernard
Giller, Kenneth E.
author_browse Adjei-Nsiah, S.
Baijukya, F.
Ebanyat, P.
Giller, Kenneth E.
Heerwaarden, J. van
Kamai, N.
Ronner, E.
Vanlauwe, Bernard
Woldemeskel, Endalkachew
author_facet Heerwaarden, J. van
Ronner, E.
Baijukya, F.
Adjei-Nsiah, S.
Ebanyat, P.
Kamai, N.
Woldemeskel, Endalkachew
Vanlauwe, Bernard
Giller, Kenneth E.
author_sort Heerwaarden, J. van
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Grain legumes are key components of sustainable production systems in sub-Saharan Africa, but wide-spread nutrient deficiencies severely restrict yields. Whereas legumes can meet a large part of their nitrogen (N) requirement through symbiosis with N2-fixing bacteria, elements such as phosphorus (P), potassium (K) and secondary and micronutrients may still be limiting and require supplementation. Responses to P are generally strong but variable, while evidence for other nutrients tends to show weak or highly localised effects. Here we present the results of a joint statistical analysis of a series of on-farm nutrient addition trials, implemented across four legumes in four countries over two years. Linear mixed models were used to quantify both mean nutrient responses and their variability, followed by a random forest analysis to determine the extent to which such variability can be explained or predicted by geographic, environmental or farm survey data. Legume response to P was indeed variable, but consistently positive and we predicted application to be profitable for 67% of farms in any given year, based on prevailing input costs and grain prices. Other nutrients did not show significant mean effects, but considerable response variation was found. This response heterogeneity was mostly associated with local or temporary factors and could not be explained or predicted by spatial, biophysical or management factors. An exception was K response, which displayed appreciable spatial variation that could be partly accounted for by spatial and environmental covariables. While of apparent relevance for targeted recommendations, the minor amplitude of expected response, the large proportion of unexplained variation and the unreliability of the predicted spatial patterns suggests that such data-driven targeting is unlikely to be effective with current data.
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spelling CGSpace1306582025-11-11T10:33:32Z Consistency, variability, and predictability of on-farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west Africa Heerwaarden, J. van Ronner, E. Baijukya, F. Adjei-Nsiah, S. Ebanyat, P. Kamai, N. Woldemeskel, Endalkachew Vanlauwe, Bernard Giller, Kenneth E. soil fertility sub-saharan africa nutrient use efficiency grain legumes Grain legumes are key components of sustainable production systems in sub-Saharan Africa, but wide-spread nutrient deficiencies severely restrict yields. Whereas legumes can meet a large part of their nitrogen (N) requirement through symbiosis with N2-fixing bacteria, elements such as phosphorus (P), potassium (K) and secondary and micronutrients may still be limiting and require supplementation. Responses to P are generally strong but variable, while evidence for other nutrients tends to show weak or highly localised effects. Here we present the results of a joint statistical analysis of a series of on-farm nutrient addition trials, implemented across four legumes in four countries over two years. Linear mixed models were used to quantify both mean nutrient responses and their variability, followed by a random forest analysis to determine the extent to which such variability can be explained or predicted by geographic, environmental or farm survey data. Legume response to P was indeed variable, but consistently positive and we predicted application to be profitable for 67% of farms in any given year, based on prevailing input costs and grain prices. Other nutrients did not show significant mean effects, but considerable response variation was found. This response heterogeneity was mostly associated with local or temporary factors and could not be explained or predicted by spatial, biophysical or management factors. An exception was K response, which displayed appreciable spatial variation that could be partly accounted for by spatial and environmental covariables. While of apparent relevance for targeted recommendations, the minor amplitude of expected response, the large proportion of unexplained variation and the unreliability of the predicted spatial patterns suggests that such data-driven targeting is unlikely to be effective with current data. 2023-08 2023-06-06T09:56:21Z 2023-06-06T09:56:21Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/130658 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier van Heerwaarden, J., Ronner, E., Baijukya, F., Adjei-Nsiah, S., Ebanyat, P., Kamai, N., ... & Giller, K. (2023). Consistency, variability, and predictability of on-farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west Africa. Field Crops Research, 299: 108975, 1-11.
spellingShingle soil fertility
sub-saharan africa
nutrient use efficiency
grain legumes
Heerwaarden, J. van
Ronner, E.
Baijukya, F.
Adjei-Nsiah, S.
Ebanyat, P.
Kamai, N.
Woldemeskel, Endalkachew
Vanlauwe, Bernard
Giller, Kenneth E.
Consistency, variability, and predictability of on-farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west Africa
title Consistency, variability, and predictability of on-farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west Africa
title_full Consistency, variability, and predictability of on-farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west Africa
title_fullStr Consistency, variability, and predictability of on-farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west Africa
title_full_unstemmed Consistency, variability, and predictability of on-farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west Africa
title_short Consistency, variability, and predictability of on-farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west Africa
title_sort consistency variability and predictability of on farm nutrient responses in four grain legumes across east and west africa
topic soil fertility
sub-saharan africa
nutrient use efficiency
grain legumes
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/130658
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