Temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern Africa
Agriculture is threatened by ever increasing temperatures and this trend is predicted to continue for the near and distant future. The negative impact of rising temperatures on agri-food systems is also compounded by the erratic and highly variable rainfall in most parts of southern Africa. Minimum...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
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MDPI
2023
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129952 |
| _version_ | 1855543024485924864 |
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| author | Mupangwa, W. Chipindu, L. Ncube, B. Mkuhlani, S. Nhantumbo, N. Masvaya, E. Ngwira, A. Moeletsi, M. Nyagumbo, I. Liben, F. |
| author_browse | Chipindu, L. Liben, F. Masvaya, E. Mkuhlani, S. Moeletsi, M. Mupangwa, W. Ncube, B. Ngwira, A. Nhantumbo, N. Nyagumbo, I. |
| author_facet | Mupangwa, W. Chipindu, L. Ncube, B. Mkuhlani, S. Nhantumbo, N. Masvaya, E. Ngwira, A. Moeletsi, M. Nyagumbo, I. Liben, F. |
| author_sort | Mupangwa, W. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Agriculture is threatened by ever increasing temperatures and this trend is predicted to continue for the near and distant future. The negative impact of rising temperatures on agri-food systems is also compounded by the erratic and highly variable rainfall in most parts of southern Africa. Minimum and maximum temperatures’ variability and trend analysis were undertaken using daily time series data derived from 23 meteorological stations spread across Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa and Zimbabwe. The modified Mann–Kendall and Theil–Sen slope models were used to assess temperature trends and their magnitudes. Temperature varied with location and minimum temperature was more variable than maximum temperature. Semi-arid regions had higher variation in minimum temperature compared to humid and coastal environments. The results showed an upward trend in minimum (0.01–0.83 °C over a 33–38 year period) and maximum (0.01–0.09 °C over a 38–57 year period) temperatures at 9 and15 locations, respectively. A downward trend in minimum temperature (0.03–0.20 °C over 38–41 years) occurred in South Africa at two locations and Dedza (Malawi), while a non-significant decline in maximum temperature (0.01 °C over 54 years) occurred at one location in coastal dry sub-humid Mozambique. The results confirm the increase in temperature over 33–79 years, and highlight the importance of including temperature when designing climate change adaption and mitigation strategies in southern Africa and similar environments. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace129952 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | MDPI |
| publisherStr | MDPI |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1299522025-12-08T10:29:22Z Temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern Africa Mupangwa, W. Chipindu, L. Ncube, B. Mkuhlani, S. Nhantumbo, N. Masvaya, E. Ngwira, A. Moeletsi, M. Nyagumbo, I. Liben, F. climate change global warming heat stress smallholders agriculture temperature Agriculture is threatened by ever increasing temperatures and this trend is predicted to continue for the near and distant future. The negative impact of rising temperatures on agri-food systems is also compounded by the erratic and highly variable rainfall in most parts of southern Africa. Minimum and maximum temperatures’ variability and trend analysis were undertaken using daily time series data derived from 23 meteorological stations spread across Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa and Zimbabwe. The modified Mann–Kendall and Theil–Sen slope models were used to assess temperature trends and their magnitudes. Temperature varied with location and minimum temperature was more variable than maximum temperature. Semi-arid regions had higher variation in minimum temperature compared to humid and coastal environments. The results showed an upward trend in minimum (0.01–0.83 °C over a 33–38 year period) and maximum (0.01–0.09 °C over a 38–57 year period) temperatures at 9 and15 locations, respectively. A downward trend in minimum temperature (0.03–0.20 °C over 38–41 years) occurred in South Africa at two locations and Dedza (Malawi), while a non-significant decline in maximum temperature (0.01 °C over 54 years) occurred at one location in coastal dry sub-humid Mozambique. The results confirm the increase in temperature over 33–79 years, and highlight the importance of including temperature when designing climate change adaption and mitigation strategies in southern Africa and similar environments. 2023-04 2023-04-12T08:52:07Z 2023-04-12T08:52:07Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129952 en Open Access application/pdf MDPI Mupangwa, W., Chipindu, L., Ncube, B., Mkuhlani, S., Nhantumbo, N., Masvaya, E., ... & Liben, F. (2023). Temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern Africa. Climate, 11(4): 84, 1-24. |
| spellingShingle | climate change global warming heat stress smallholders agriculture temperature Mupangwa, W. Chipindu, L. Ncube, B. Mkuhlani, S. Nhantumbo, N. Masvaya, E. Ngwira, A. Moeletsi, M. Nyagumbo, I. Liben, F. Temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern Africa |
| title | Temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern Africa |
| title_full | Temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern Africa |
| title_fullStr | Temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern Africa |
| title_full_unstemmed | Temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern Africa |
| title_short | Temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern Africa |
| title_sort | temporal changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at selected locations of southern africa |
| topic | climate change global warming heat stress smallholders agriculture temperature |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129952 |
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