A decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems
The achievement of several sustainable development goals and the Paris Climate Agreement depends on rapid progress towards sustainable food and land systems in all countries. We have built a flexible, collaborative modeling framework to foster the development of national pathways by local research t...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
IOP Publishing
2023
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129781 |
| _version_ | 1855517210770931712 |
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| author | Mosnier, Aline Javalera-Rincon, Valeria Jones, Sarah K. Andrew, Robbie Bai, Zhaohai Baker, Justin Basnet, Shyam Boer, Chavarro Costa, Wanderson Daloz, Anne Sophie DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Díaz, Maria Douzal, Clara Howe Fan, Andrew Chiah Fetzer, Ingo Frank, Federico González Abraham; Charlotte E. Habiburrachman, A.H.F. Immanuel, Gito Harrison, Paula A. Imanirareba, Dative Jha, Chandan Jin, Xinpeng Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar Leach, Nicholas Lehtonen, Heikki Lotze-Campen, Hermann Sern Low, Wai Marcos-Martinez, Raymundo McCord, Gordon Carlos Molla, Kiflu Gedefe Monjeau, Adrian Navarro Garcia, Javier Neubauer, Rudolf Obersteiner, Michael Olguín, Marcela Orduna Cabrera, Fernando Pena, Andres Pérez Guzmán, Katya Potashnikov, Vladimir Rämö, Janne Ramos, Fernando M. Rasche, Livia Gallardo, René Reyes Schmidt-Traub, Guido Selomane, Odirilwe Singh, Vartika Smith, Alison Soterroni, Aline C. Sperling, Frank Steinhauser, Jan Stevanovic, Miodrag Strokov, Anton Thomson, Marcus Oort, Bob van Vittis, Yiorgos Wade, Chris Winarni, Nurul L. Woldeyes, Firew Bekele Wu, Grace C. Zerriff, Hisham |
| author_browse | Andrew, Robbie Bai, Zhaohai Baker, Justin Basnet, Shyam Boer, Chavarro Costa, Wanderson Daloz, Anne Sophie DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Douzal, Clara Díaz, Maria Fetzer, Ingo Frank, Federico Gallardo, René Reyes Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar González Abraham; Charlotte E. Habiburrachman, A.H.F. Harrison, Paula A. Howe Fan, Andrew Chiah Imanirareba, Dative Immanuel, Gito Javalera-Rincon, Valeria Jha, Chandan Jin, Xinpeng Jones, Sarah K. Leach, Nicholas Lehtonen, Heikki Lotze-Campen, Hermann Marcos-Martinez, Raymundo McCord, Gordon Carlos Molla, Kiflu Gedefe Monjeau, Adrian Mosnier, Aline Navarro Garcia, Javier Neubauer, Rudolf Obersteiner, Michael Olguín, Marcela Oort, Bob van Orduna Cabrera, Fernando Pena, Andres Potashnikov, Vladimir Pérez Guzmán, Katya Ramos, Fernando M. Rasche, Livia Rämö, Janne Schmidt-Traub, Guido Selomane, Odirilwe Sern Low, Wai Singh, Vartika Smith, Alison Soterroni, Aline C. Sperling, Frank Steinhauser, Jan Stevanovic, Miodrag Strokov, Anton Thomson, Marcus Vittis, Yiorgos Wade, Chris Winarni, Nurul L. Woldeyes, Firew Bekele Wu, Grace C. Zerriff, Hisham |
| author_facet | Mosnier, Aline Javalera-Rincon, Valeria Jones, Sarah K. Andrew, Robbie Bai, Zhaohai Baker, Justin Basnet, Shyam Boer, Chavarro Costa, Wanderson Daloz, Anne Sophie DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Díaz, Maria Douzal, Clara Howe Fan, Andrew Chiah Fetzer, Ingo Frank, Federico González Abraham; Charlotte E. Habiburrachman, A.H.F. Immanuel, Gito Harrison, Paula A. Imanirareba, Dative Jha, Chandan Jin, Xinpeng Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar Leach, Nicholas Lehtonen, Heikki Lotze-Campen, Hermann Sern Low, Wai Marcos-Martinez, Raymundo McCord, Gordon Carlos Molla, Kiflu Gedefe Monjeau, Adrian Navarro Garcia, Javier Neubauer, Rudolf Obersteiner, Michael Olguín, Marcela Orduna Cabrera, Fernando Pena, Andres Pérez Guzmán, Katya Potashnikov, Vladimir Rämö, Janne Ramos, Fernando M. Rasche, Livia Gallardo, René Reyes Schmidt-Traub, Guido Selomane, Odirilwe Singh, Vartika Smith, Alison Soterroni, Aline C. Sperling, Frank Steinhauser, Jan Stevanovic, Miodrag Strokov, Anton Thomson, Marcus Oort, Bob van Vittis, Yiorgos Wade, Chris Winarni, Nurul L. Woldeyes, Firew Bekele Wu, Grace C. Zerriff, Hisham |
| author_sort | Mosnier, Aline |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The achievement of several sustainable development goals and the Paris Climate Agreement depends on rapid progress towards sustainable food and land systems in all countries. We have built a flexible, collaborative modeling framework to foster the development of national pathways by local research teams and their integration up to global scale. Local researchers independently customize national models to explore mid-century pathways of the food and land use system transformation in collaboration with stakeholders. An online platform connects the national models, iteratively balances global exports and imports, and aggregates results to the global level. Our results show that actions toward greater sustainability in countries could sum up to 1 Mha net forest gain per year, 950 Mha net gain in the land where natural processes predominate, and an increased CO2 sink of 3.7 GtCO2e yr−1 over the period 2020–2050 compared to current trends, while average food consumption per capita remains above the adequate food requirements in all countries. We show examples of how the global linkage impacts national results and how different assumptions in national pathways impact global results. This modeling setup acknowledges the broad heterogeneity of socio-ecological contexts and the fact that people who live in these different contexts should be empowered to design the future they want. But it also demonstrates to local decision-makers the interconnectedness of our food and land use system and the urgent need for more collaboration to converge local and global priorities. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace129781 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| publisherStr | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1297812025-12-08T09:54:28Z A decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems Mosnier, Aline Javalera-Rincon, Valeria Jones, Sarah K. Andrew, Robbie Bai, Zhaohai Baker, Justin Basnet, Shyam Boer, Chavarro Costa, Wanderson Daloz, Anne Sophie DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Díaz, Maria Douzal, Clara Howe Fan, Andrew Chiah Fetzer, Ingo Frank, Federico González Abraham; Charlotte E. Habiburrachman, A.H.F. Immanuel, Gito Harrison, Paula A. Imanirareba, Dative Jha, Chandan Jin, Xinpeng Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar Leach, Nicholas Lehtonen, Heikki Lotze-Campen, Hermann Sern Low, Wai Marcos-Martinez, Raymundo McCord, Gordon Carlos Molla, Kiflu Gedefe Monjeau, Adrian Navarro Garcia, Javier Neubauer, Rudolf Obersteiner, Michael Olguín, Marcela Orduna Cabrera, Fernando Pena, Andres Pérez Guzmán, Katya Potashnikov, Vladimir Rämö, Janne Ramos, Fernando M. Rasche, Livia Gallardo, René Reyes Schmidt-Traub, Guido Selomane, Odirilwe Singh, Vartika Smith, Alison Soterroni, Aline C. Sperling, Frank Steinhauser, Jan Stevanovic, Miodrag Strokov, Anton Thomson, Marcus Oort, Bob van Vittis, Yiorgos Wade, Chris Winarni, Nurul L. Woldeyes, Firew Bekele Wu, Grace C. Zerriff, Hisham food systems modelling biodiversity climate change food security participatory approaches sistemas alimentarios modelización biodiversidad fable The achievement of several sustainable development goals and the Paris Climate Agreement depends on rapid progress towards sustainable food and land systems in all countries. We have built a flexible, collaborative modeling framework to foster the development of national pathways by local research teams and their integration up to global scale. Local researchers independently customize national models to explore mid-century pathways of the food and land use system transformation in collaboration with stakeholders. An online platform connects the national models, iteratively balances global exports and imports, and aggregates results to the global level. Our results show that actions toward greater sustainability in countries could sum up to 1 Mha net forest gain per year, 950 Mha net gain in the land where natural processes predominate, and an increased CO2 sink of 3.7 GtCO2e yr−1 over the period 2020–2050 compared to current trends, while average food consumption per capita remains above the adequate food requirements in all countries. We show examples of how the global linkage impacts national results and how different assumptions in national pathways impact global results. This modeling setup acknowledges the broad heterogeneity of socio-ecological contexts and the fact that people who live in these different contexts should be empowered to design the future they want. But it also demonstrates to local decision-makers the interconnectedness of our food and land use system and the urgent need for more collaboration to converge local and global priorities. 2023-04-01 2023-03-28T10:39:58Z 2023-03-28T10:39:58Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129781 en Open Access application/pdf IOP Publishing Mosnier, A.; Javalera-Rincon, V.; Jones, S.K.; Andrew, R.; Bai, Z.; Baker, J.; Basnet, S.; Boer, C.; Costa, W.; Daloz, A.S.; DeClerck, F.A.; Diaz, M.; Douzal, C.; Howe Fan, A.C.; Fetzer, I.; Frank, F.; Gonzalez-Abraham, C.E.; Habiburrachman, A.H.F.; Immanuel, G.; Harrison, P.A.; Imanirareba, D.; Jha, C.; Jin, X.; Ghosh, R.K.; Leach, N.; Lehtonen, H.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Sern Low, W.; Marcos-Martinez, R.; McCord, G.C.; Molla, K.G.; Monjeau, A.; Navarro-Garcia, J.; Neubauer, R.; Obersteiner, M.; Olguín, M.; Orduna-Cabrera, F.; Pena, A.; Pérez-Guzmán, K.; Potashnikov, V.; Rämö, J.; Ramos, F.M.; Rasche, L.; Gallardo, R.R.; Schmidt-Traub, G.; Selomane, O.; Singh, V.; Smith, A.l.; Soterroni, A.C.; Sperling, F.; Steinhauser, J.; Stevanovic, M.; Strokov, A.; Thomson, M.; van Oort, B.; Vittis, Y.; Wade, C.; Winarni, N.L.; Woldeyes, F.B.; Wu, G.C.; Zerriff, H. (2023) A decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems. Environmental Research Letters 18: 045001. 14 p. ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| spellingShingle | food systems modelling biodiversity climate change food security participatory approaches sistemas alimentarios modelización biodiversidad fable Mosnier, Aline Javalera-Rincon, Valeria Jones, Sarah K. Andrew, Robbie Bai, Zhaohai Baker, Justin Basnet, Shyam Boer, Chavarro Costa, Wanderson Daloz, Anne Sophie DeClerck, Fabrice A.J. Díaz, Maria Douzal, Clara Howe Fan, Andrew Chiah Fetzer, Ingo Frank, Federico González Abraham; Charlotte E. Habiburrachman, A.H.F. Immanuel, Gito Harrison, Paula A. Imanirareba, Dative Jha, Chandan Jin, Xinpeng Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar Leach, Nicholas Lehtonen, Heikki Lotze-Campen, Hermann Sern Low, Wai Marcos-Martinez, Raymundo McCord, Gordon Carlos Molla, Kiflu Gedefe Monjeau, Adrian Navarro Garcia, Javier Neubauer, Rudolf Obersteiner, Michael Olguín, Marcela Orduna Cabrera, Fernando Pena, Andres Pérez Guzmán, Katya Potashnikov, Vladimir Rämö, Janne Ramos, Fernando M. Rasche, Livia Gallardo, René Reyes Schmidt-Traub, Guido Selomane, Odirilwe Singh, Vartika Smith, Alison Soterroni, Aline C. Sperling, Frank Steinhauser, Jan Stevanovic, Miodrag Strokov, Anton Thomson, Marcus Oort, Bob van Vittis, Yiorgos Wade, Chris Winarni, Nurul L. Woldeyes, Firew Bekele Wu, Grace C. Zerriff, Hisham A decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems |
| title | A decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems |
| title_full | A decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems |
| title_fullStr | A decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems |
| title_full_unstemmed | A decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems |
| title_short | A decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems |
| title_sort | decentralized approach to model national and global food and land use systems |
| topic | food systems modelling biodiversity climate change food security participatory approaches sistemas alimentarios modelización biodiversidad fable |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129781 |
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