Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century

‘No-till’ (NT) agriculture, which eliminates nearly all physical disturbance of the soil surface on croplands, has been widely promoted as a means of soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration with the potential to mitigate climate change. Here we provide the first global estimates of the SOC sequestra...

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Main Authors: Graham, Michael W., Thomas, R. Quinn, Lombardozzi, Danica L, O'Rourke, Megan E.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: IOP Publishing 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129478
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author Graham, Michael W.
Thomas, R. Quinn
Lombardozzi, Danica L
O'Rourke, Megan E.
author_browse Graham, Michael W.
Lombardozzi, Danica L
O'Rourke, Megan E.
Thomas, R. Quinn
author_facet Graham, Michael W.
Thomas, R. Quinn
Lombardozzi, Danica L
O'Rourke, Megan E.
author_sort Graham, Michael W.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description ‘No-till’ (NT) agriculture, which eliminates nearly all physical disturbance of the soil surface on croplands, has been widely promoted as a means of soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration with the potential to mitigate climate change. Here we provide the first global estimates of the SOC sequestration potential of NT adoption using a global land surface model (LSM). We use an LSM to simulate losses of SOC due to intensive tillage (IT) over the historical time period (1850–2014), followed by future simulations (2015–2100) assessing the SOC sequestration potential of adopting NT globally. Historical losses due to simulated IT practices ranged from 6.8 to 16.8 Gt C, or roughly 5%–13% of the 133 Gt C of global cumulative SOC losses attributable to agriculture reported elsewhere. Cumulative SOC sequestration in NT simulations over the entire 21st century was equivalent to approximately one year of current fossil fuel emissions and ranged between 6.6 and 14.4 Gt C (0.08–0.17 Gt C yr −1 ). Modeled increases in SOC sequestration under NT were concentrated in cool, humid temperate regions, with minimal SOC gains in the tropics. These results indicate that the global potential for SOC sequestration from NT adoption may be more limited than reported in some studies and promoted by policymakers. Our incorporation of tillage practices into an LSM is a major step toward integration of soil tillage as a management practice into LSMs and associated Earth system models. Future work should focus on improving process-understanding of tillage practices and their integration into LSMs, as well as resolving modeled versus observed estimates of SOC sequestration from NT adoption, particularly in the tropics.
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spelling CGSpace1294782025-08-21T15:39:32Z Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century Graham, Michael W. Thomas, R. Quinn Lombardozzi, Danica L O'Rourke, Megan E. farming ‘No-till’ (NT) agriculture, which eliminates nearly all physical disturbance of the soil surface on croplands, has been widely promoted as a means of soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration with the potential to mitigate climate change. Here we provide the first global estimates of the SOC sequestration potential of NT adoption using a global land surface model (LSM). We use an LSM to simulate losses of SOC due to intensive tillage (IT) over the historical time period (1850–2014), followed by future simulations (2015–2100) assessing the SOC sequestration potential of adopting NT globally. Historical losses due to simulated IT practices ranged from 6.8 to 16.8 Gt C, or roughly 5%–13% of the 133 Gt C of global cumulative SOC losses attributable to agriculture reported elsewhere. Cumulative SOC sequestration in NT simulations over the entire 21st century was equivalent to approximately one year of current fossil fuel emissions and ranged between 6.6 and 14.4 Gt C (0.08–0.17 Gt C yr −1 ). Modeled increases in SOC sequestration under NT were concentrated in cool, humid temperate regions, with minimal SOC gains in the tropics. These results indicate that the global potential for SOC sequestration from NT adoption may be more limited than reported in some studies and promoted by policymakers. Our incorporation of tillage practices into an LSM is a major step toward integration of soil tillage as a management practice into LSMs and associated Earth system models. Future work should focus on improving process-understanding of tillage practices and their integration into LSMs, as well as resolving modeled versus observed estimates of SOC sequestration from NT adoption, particularly in the tropics. 2021 2023-03-10T14:36:21Z 2023-03-10T14:36:21Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129478 en Open Access IOP Publishing Graham, Michael W; Thomas, R. Quinn; Lombardozzi, Danica L; O'Rourke, Megan E. 2021. Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century. Environmental Research Letters 16: 54055
spellingShingle farming
Graham, Michael W.
Thomas, R. Quinn
Lombardozzi, Danica L
O'Rourke, Megan E.
Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century
title Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century
title_full Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century
title_fullStr Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century
title_full_unstemmed Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century
title_short Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century
title_sort modest capacity of no till farming to offset emissions over 21st century
topic farming
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129478
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AT thomasrquinn modestcapacityofnotillfarmingtooffsetemissionsover21stcentury
AT lombardozzidanical modestcapacityofnotillfarmingtooffsetemissionsover21stcentury
AT orourkemegane modestcapacityofnotillfarmingtooffsetemissionsover21stcentury