The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries

The Russia-Ukraine war's impact on food, fuel, and fertilizer prices is a major concern for global poverty and food insecurity. Despite numerous studies and editorials on the risks and challenges of the crisis, there is little quantitative analysis of its consequences for developing countries. We us...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Arndt, Channing, Diao, Xinshen, Dorosh, Paul A., Pauw, Karl, Thurlow, James
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129259
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author Arndt, Channing
Diao, Xinshen
Dorosh, Paul A.
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
author_browse Arndt, Channing
Diao, Xinshen
Dorosh, Paul A.
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
author_facet Arndt, Channing
Diao, Xinshen
Dorosh, Paul A.
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
author_sort Arndt, Channing
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The Russia-Ukraine war's impact on food, fuel, and fertilizer prices is a major concern for global poverty and food insecurity. Despite numerous studies and editorials on the risks and challenges of the crisis, there is little quantitative analysis of its consequences for developing countries. We use national economywide models to measure the near-term impacts of the crisis on agrifood systems, poverty, and food insecurity in 19 countries. Despite wide variations across countries, results confirm the adverse impacts of the crisis, with a total 27.2 and 22.3 million more people pushed into poverty and hunger, respectively. Agrifood systems and poverty are more vulnerable to rising fuel and fertilizer prices, whereas hunger and diet quality are more affected by higher food prices.
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spelling CGSpace1292592025-10-26T12:55:15Z The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries Arndt, Channing Diao, Xinshen Dorosh, Paul A. Pauw, Karl Thurlow, James agrifood systems commodity markets developing countries diet quality fertilizers food insecurity fuels market prices poverty war The Russia-Ukraine war's impact on food, fuel, and fertilizer prices is a major concern for global poverty and food insecurity. Despite numerous studies and editorials on the risks and challenges of the crisis, there is little quantitative analysis of its consequences for developing countries. We use national economywide models to measure the near-term impacts of the crisis on agrifood systems, poverty, and food insecurity in 19 countries. Despite wide variations across countries, results confirm the adverse impacts of the crisis, with a total 27.2 and 22.3 million more people pushed into poverty and hunger, respectively. Agrifood systems and poverty are more vulnerable to rising fuel and fertilizer prices, whereas hunger and diet quality are more affected by higher food prices. 2023-03 2023-03-08T19:31:17Z 2023-03-08T19:31:17Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129259 en Open Access Elsevier Arndt, Channing; Diao, Xinshen; Dorosh, Paul A.; Pauw, Karl; and Thurlow, James. 2023. The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries. Global Food Security 36(March 2023): 100680. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2023.100680
spellingShingle agrifood systems
commodity markets
developing countries
diet quality
fertilizers
food insecurity
fuels
market prices
poverty
war
Arndt, Channing
Diao, Xinshen
Dorosh, Paul A.
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries
title The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries
title_full The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries
title_fullStr The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries
title_full_unstemmed The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries
title_short The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries
title_sort ukraine war and rising commodity prices implications for developing countries
topic agrifood systems
commodity markets
developing countries
diet quality
fertilizers
food insecurity
fuels
market prices
poverty
war
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129259
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