Prospects of fish supply-demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in Egypt

Aquaculture plays an increasingly important role in meeting the rising global demand for fish fuelled by economic and demographic growth. However, in many middle-income countries, aquaculture is constrained by rising labour costs, limited input supply, environmental concerns, and infectious diseases...

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Main Authors: Tran, Nhuong, Long Chu, Hoang, Chan, Chin Yee, Peart, Jeffrey, Nasr-Allah, Ahmed, Karisa, Harrison
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/128796
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author Tran, Nhuong
Long Chu, Hoang
Chan, Chin Yee
Peart, Jeffrey
Nasr-Allah, Ahmed
Karisa, Harrison
author_browse Chan, Chin Yee
Karisa, Harrison
Long Chu, Hoang
Nasr-Allah, Ahmed
Peart, Jeffrey
Tran, Nhuong
author_facet Tran, Nhuong
Long Chu, Hoang
Chan, Chin Yee
Peart, Jeffrey
Nasr-Allah, Ahmed
Karisa, Harrison
author_sort Tran, Nhuong
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Aquaculture plays an increasingly important role in meeting the rising global demand for fish fuelled by economic and demographic growth. However, in many middle-income countries, aquaculture is constrained by rising labour costs, limited input supply, environmental concerns, and infectious diseases. In this paper, we developed a multi-species, multi-sector equilibrium model and applied it to the fishery sector of Egypt, a leading aquaculture producer in Africa, to examine these barriers. Projection results show that rising wage rates would slow down the growth of labour-intensive aquaculture compared to those that use relatively less labour. The demand for feed, seed inputs and water use for aquaculture would substantially increase. The results also show that disease outbreaks would possibly affect production sectors via output reduction and also consumers via increases in fish price. Our findings suggest that stabilising the prices of feed and seed, investments in disease control and input-use efficiency improvement technologies, including water use, are important while the overall effectiveness of tax instruments is modest. Though calibrated to Egypt, our approach can be applied to other middle-size national aquaculture industries.
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spelling CGSpace1287962025-12-08T10:06:44Z Prospects of fish supply-demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in Egypt Tran, Nhuong Long Chu, Hoang Chan, Chin Yee Peart, Jeffrey Nasr-Allah, Ahmed Karisa, Harrison aquaculture fisheries seed water feeds fish infectious disease tax Aquaculture plays an increasingly important role in meeting the rising global demand for fish fuelled by economic and demographic growth. However, in many middle-income countries, aquaculture is constrained by rising labour costs, limited input supply, environmental concerns, and infectious diseases. In this paper, we developed a multi-species, multi-sector equilibrium model and applied it to the fishery sector of Egypt, a leading aquaculture producer in Africa, to examine these barriers. Projection results show that rising wage rates would slow down the growth of labour-intensive aquaculture compared to those that use relatively less labour. The demand for feed, seed inputs and water use for aquaculture would substantially increase. The results also show that disease outbreaks would possibly affect production sectors via output reduction and also consumers via increases in fish price. Our findings suggest that stabilising the prices of feed and seed, investments in disease control and input-use efficiency improvement technologies, including water use, are important while the overall effectiveness of tax instruments is modest. Though calibrated to Egypt, our approach can be applied to other middle-size national aquaculture industries. 2022-12 2023-02-21T04:10:40Z 2023-02-21T04:10:40Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/128796 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Nhuong Tran, Hoang Long Chu, Chin Yee Chan, Jeffrey Peart, Ahmed Nasr-Allah, Harrison Karisa. (1/12/2022). Prospects of fish supply-demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in Egypt. Marine Policy, 146.
spellingShingle aquaculture
fisheries
seed
water
feeds
fish
infectious disease
tax
Tran, Nhuong
Long Chu, Hoang
Chan, Chin Yee
Peart, Jeffrey
Nasr-Allah, Ahmed
Karisa, Harrison
Prospects of fish supply-demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in Egypt
title Prospects of fish supply-demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in Egypt
title_full Prospects of fish supply-demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in Egypt
title_fullStr Prospects of fish supply-demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in Egypt
title_full_unstemmed Prospects of fish supply-demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in Egypt
title_short Prospects of fish supply-demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in Egypt
title_sort prospects of fish supply demand and its implications for food and nutrition security in egypt
topic aquaculture
fisheries
seed
water
feeds
fish
infectious disease
tax
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/128796
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