The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses

This paper analyzes the implications of the Russian-Ukraine war on global and regional food security. We start with a global vulnerability analysis to identify most vulnerable regions and countries. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is particularly vulnerable to trade shocks because of...

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Autores principales: Abay, Kibrom A., Breisinger, Clemens, Glauber, Joseph W., Kurdi, Sikandra, Laborde Debucquet, David, Siddig, Khalid
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/128731
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author Abay, Kibrom A.
Breisinger, Clemens
Glauber, Joseph W.
Kurdi, Sikandra
Laborde Debucquet, David
Siddig, Khalid
author_browse Abay, Kibrom A.
Breisinger, Clemens
Glauber, Joseph W.
Kurdi, Sikandra
Laborde Debucquet, David
Siddig, Khalid
author_facet Abay, Kibrom A.
Breisinger, Clemens
Glauber, Joseph W.
Kurdi, Sikandra
Laborde Debucquet, David
Siddig, Khalid
author_sort Abay, Kibrom A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper analyzes the implications of the Russian-Ukraine war on global and regional food security. We start with a global vulnerability analysis to identify most vulnerable regions and countries. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is particularly vulnerable to trade shocks because of its high food import dependence. Thus, we provide descriptive evidence characterizing how food systems and policies impact vulnerability to the price shock in selected MENA countries: Egypt, Sudan, and Yemen. Within these countries, we show that the crisis will differentially impact poor and non-poor households as well as rural and urban households. Although the absolute level of food insecurity may still be higher in rural areas where larger numbers of poor households are located, urban poor are likely to suffer most because of the Russia-Ukraine crisis and associated hikes in food prices, especially in those countries where social protection and food subsidies are missing. We review lessons from previous food crises and identify actions needed to take (and to avoid) to protect most vulnerable countries and households in the short-term while also highlighting long-term policy options to diversify food, fertilizer and energy production and trade.
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spelling CGSpace1287312025-10-26T12:50:25Z The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses Abay, Kibrom A. Breisinger, Clemens Glauber, Joseph W. Kurdi, Sikandra Laborde Debucquet, David Siddig, Khalid war food security vulnerability shocks imports food systems policies households rural urban poverty prices social protection food subsidies energy production trade This paper analyzes the implications of the Russian-Ukraine war on global and regional food security. We start with a global vulnerability analysis to identify most vulnerable regions and countries. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is particularly vulnerable to trade shocks because of its high food import dependence. Thus, we provide descriptive evidence characterizing how food systems and policies impact vulnerability to the price shock in selected MENA countries: Egypt, Sudan, and Yemen. Within these countries, we show that the crisis will differentially impact poor and non-poor households as well as rural and urban households. Although the absolute level of food insecurity may still be higher in rural areas where larger numbers of poor households are located, urban poor are likely to suffer most because of the Russia-Ukraine crisis and associated hikes in food prices, especially in those countries where social protection and food subsidies are missing. We review lessons from previous food crises and identify actions needed to take (and to avoid) to protect most vulnerable countries and households in the short-term while also highlighting long-term policy options to diversify food, fertilizer and energy production and trade. 2023-03 2023-02-17T21:19:30Z 2023-02-17T21:19:30Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/128731 en https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135913 Open Access Elsevier Abay, Kibrom A.; Breisinger, Clemens; Glauber, Joseph W.; Kurdi, Sikandra; Laborde Debucquet, David; and Siddig, Khalid. 2023. The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses. Global Food Security 36(March 2023): 100675. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2023.100675.
spellingShingle war
food security
vulnerability
shocks
imports
food systems
policies
households
rural
urban
poverty
prices
social protection
food subsidies
energy production
trade
Abay, Kibrom A.
Breisinger, Clemens
Glauber, Joseph W.
Kurdi, Sikandra
Laborde Debucquet, David
Siddig, Khalid
The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_full The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_fullStr The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_full_unstemmed The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_short The Russia-Ukraine war: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_sort russia ukraine war implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
topic war
food security
vulnerability
shocks
imports
food systems
policies
households
rural
urban
poverty
prices
social protection
food subsidies
energy production
trade
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/128731
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