Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence
In low and middle income countries macroeconomic volatility is common, and severe negative economic shocks can substantially increase poverty and food insecurity. Less well understood are the implications of these contractions for child acute malnutrition (wasting), a major risk factor for under-5 m...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
Springer
2022
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| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127810 |
| _version_ | 1855532550981681152 |
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| author | Headey, Derek D. Ruel, Marie T. |
| author_browse | Headey, Derek D. Ruel, Marie T. |
| author_facet | Headey, Derek D. Ruel, Marie T. |
| author_sort | Headey, Derek D. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | In low and middle income countries macroeconomic volatility is common, and severe negative economic shocks can substantially increase poverty and food insecurity. Less well understood are the implications of these contractions for child acute malnutrition (wasting), a major risk factor for under-5 mortality. This study explores the nutritional impacts of economic growth shocks over 1990–2018 by linking wasting outcomes collected for 1.256 million children from 52 countries to lagged annual changes in economic growth. Estimates suggest that a 10% annual decline in national income increases moderate/severe wasting prevalence by 14.4–17.8%. An exploration of possible mechanisms suggests negative economic shocks may increase risks of inadequate dietary diversity among children. Applying these results to the latest economic growth estimates for 2020 suggests that COVID-19 could put an additional 9.4 million preschoolers at risk of wasting, net of the effects of preventative policy actions. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace127810 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publishDateRange | 2022 |
| publishDateSort | 2022 |
| publisher | Springer |
| publisherStr | Springer |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1278102024-10-25T07:59:55Z Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence Headey, Derek D. Ruel, Marie T. child wasting economic shock poverty food security covid-19 nutrition developing countries child nutrition In low and middle income countries macroeconomic volatility is common, and severe negative economic shocks can substantially increase poverty and food insecurity. Less well understood are the implications of these contractions for child acute malnutrition (wasting), a major risk factor for under-5 mortality. This study explores the nutritional impacts of economic growth shocks over 1990–2018 by linking wasting outcomes collected for 1.256 million children from 52 countries to lagged annual changes in economic growth. Estimates suggest that a 10% annual decline in national income increases moderate/severe wasting prevalence by 14.4–17.8%. An exploration of possible mechanisms suggests negative economic shocks may increase risks of inadequate dietary diversity among children. Applying these results to the latest economic growth estimates for 2020 suggests that COVID-19 could put an additional 9.4 million preschoolers at risk of wasting, net of the effects of preventative policy actions. 2022-04-27 2023-01-22T18:19:02Z 2023-01-22T18:19:02Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127810 en https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133786 Open Access Springer Headey, Derek D.; and Ruel, Marie T. 2022. Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence. Nature Communications 13: 2157. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-29755-x |
| spellingShingle | child wasting economic shock poverty food security covid-19 nutrition developing countries child nutrition Headey, Derek D. Ruel, Marie T. Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence |
| title | Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence |
| title_full | Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence |
| title_fullStr | Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence |
| title_full_unstemmed | Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence |
| title_short | Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence |
| title_sort | economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence |
| topic | child wasting economic shock poverty food security covid-19 nutrition developing countries child nutrition |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127810 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT headeyderekd economicshockspredictincreasesinchildwastingprevalence AT ruelmariet economicshockspredictincreasesinchildwastingprevalence |