What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?

Key messages - Crop pests and pathogens (P&P) can cause substantial yield losses and pose a threat to global food security. Losses at regional level can even exceed 40% for some crops like maize and rice. - Most studies show that warmer climate creates a conducive, albeit spatially variable, envir...

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Autores principales: Petsakos, Athanasios, Montes, Carlo, Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz, Schiek, Benjamin, Sonder, Kai
Formato: Blog Post
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: CGIAR System Organization 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127095
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author Petsakos, Athanasios
Montes, Carlo
Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz
Schiek, Benjamin
Sonder, Kai
author_browse Montes, Carlo
Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz
Petsakos, Athanasios
Schiek, Benjamin
Sonder, Kai
author_facet Petsakos, Athanasios
Montes, Carlo
Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz
Schiek, Benjamin
Sonder, Kai
author_sort Petsakos, Athanasios
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Key messages - Crop pests and pathogens (P&P) can cause substantial yield losses and pose a threat to global food security. Losses at regional level can even exceed 40% for some crops like maize and rice. - Most studies show that warmer climate creates a conducive, albeit spatially variable, environment for P&P spread. However, existing foresight research is largely biophysical in nature and focuses on individual pathosystems, examined mostly at national level. As such, projections of the magnitude of economic impacts of changing patterns of P&P are missing. - Global assessment of model-based historical and future P&P impacts on food systems remains constrained by the small number of available models that can estimate yield losses under contrasting climate and agroecological conditions. - Further efforts are needed to improve data accessibility, model versatility, and simulation platforms, and to establish international observation and modeling networks.
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spelling CGSpace1270952024-09-09T10:04:48Z What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems? Petsakos, Athanasios Montes, Carlo Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz Schiek, Benjamin Sonder, Kai crops plant pests pathogens yield food security maize rice climate food systems data analysis Key messages - Crop pests and pathogens (P&P) can cause substantial yield losses and pose a threat to global food security. Losses at regional level can even exceed 40% for some crops like maize and rice. - Most studies show that warmer climate creates a conducive, albeit spatially variable, environment for P&P spread. However, existing foresight research is largely biophysical in nature and focuses on individual pathosystems, examined mostly at national level. As such, projections of the magnitude of economic impacts of changing patterns of P&P are missing. - Global assessment of model-based historical and future P&P impacts on food systems remains constrained by the small number of available models that can estimate yield losses under contrasting climate and agroecological conditions. - Further efforts are needed to improve data accessibility, model versatility, and simulation platforms, and to establish international observation and modeling networks. 2022-12-20 2023-01-13T21:08:25Z 2023-01-13T21:08:25Z Blog Post https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127095 en Open Access CGIAR System Organization Petsakos, Athanasios; Montes, Carlo; Pequeno, Diego; Schiek, Benjamin; and Sonder, Kai. 2022. CGIAR Initiative on Foresight blog post. CGIAR. https://www.cgiar.org/news-events/news/what-do-we-know-about-the-future-of-crop-pests-and-pathogens-in-relation-to-food-systems/
spellingShingle crops
plant pests
pathogens
yield
food security
maize
rice
climate
food systems
data analysis
Petsakos, Athanasios
Montes, Carlo
Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz
Schiek, Benjamin
Sonder, Kai
What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?
title What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?
title_full What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?
title_fullStr What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?
title_full_unstemmed What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?
title_short What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?
title_sort what do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems
topic crops
plant pests
pathogens
yield
food security
maize
rice
climate
food systems
data analysis
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127095
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