Optimizing predictions in IRRI’s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information

Prediction models based on pedigree and/or molecular marker information are now an inextricable part of the crop breeding programs and have led to increased genetic gains in many crops. Optimization of IRRI’s rice drought breeding program is crucial for better implementation of selections based on p...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Khanna, Apurva, Anumalla, Mahender, Catolos, Margaret, Bhosale, Sankalp, Jarquín, Diego, Hussain, Waseem
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Frontiers Media 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/126261
_version_ 1855542536541569024
author Khanna, Apurva
Anumalla, Mahender
Catolos, Margaret
Bhosale, Sankalp
Jarquín, Diego
Hussain, Waseem
author_browse Anumalla, Mahender
Bhosale, Sankalp
Catolos, Margaret
Hussain, Waseem
Jarquín, Diego
Khanna, Apurva
author_facet Khanna, Apurva
Anumalla, Mahender
Catolos, Margaret
Bhosale, Sankalp
Jarquín, Diego
Hussain, Waseem
author_sort Khanna, Apurva
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Prediction models based on pedigree and/or molecular marker information are now an inextricable part of the crop breeding programs and have led to increased genetic gains in many crops. Optimization of IRRI’s rice drought breeding program is crucial for better implementation of selections based on predictions. Historical datasets with precise and robust pedigree information have been a great resource to help optimize the prediction models in the breeding programs. Here, we leveraged 17 years of historical drought data along with the pedigree information to predict the new lines or environments and dissect the G × E interactions. Seven models ranging from basic to proposed higher advanced models incorporating interactions, and genotypic specific effects were used. These models were tested with three cross-validation schemes (CV1, CV2, and CV0) to assess the predictive ability of tested and untested lines in already observed environments and tested lines in novel or new environments. In general, the highest prediction abilities were obtained when the model accounting interactions between pedigrees (additive) and environment were included. The CV0 scheme (predicting unobserved or novel environments) reveals very low predictive abilities among the three schemes. CV1 and CV2 schemes that borrow information from the target and correlated environments have much higher predictive abilities. Further, predictive ability was lower when predicting lines in non-stress conditions using drought data as training set and/or vice-versa. When predicting the lines using the data sets under the same conditions (stress or non-stress data sets), much better prediction accuracy was obtained. These results provide conclusive evidence that modeling G × E interactions are important in predictions. Thus, considering G × E interactions would help to build enhanced genomic or pedigree-based prediction models in the rice breeding program. Further, it is crucial to borrow the correlated information from other environments to improve prediction accuracy.
format Journal Article
id CGSpace126261
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2022
publishDateRange 2022
publishDateSort 2022
publisher Frontiers Media
publisherStr Frontiers Media
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1262612025-12-08T10:29:22Z Optimizing predictions in IRRI’s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information Khanna, Apurva Anumalla, Mahender Catolos, Margaret Bhosale, Sankalp Jarquín, Diego Hussain, Waseem rice combining ability plant breeding data Prediction models based on pedigree and/or molecular marker information are now an inextricable part of the crop breeding programs and have led to increased genetic gains in many crops. Optimization of IRRI’s rice drought breeding program is crucial for better implementation of selections based on predictions. Historical datasets with precise and robust pedigree information have been a great resource to help optimize the prediction models in the breeding programs. Here, we leveraged 17 years of historical drought data along with the pedigree information to predict the new lines or environments and dissect the G × E interactions. Seven models ranging from basic to proposed higher advanced models incorporating interactions, and genotypic specific effects were used. These models were tested with three cross-validation schemes (CV1, CV2, and CV0) to assess the predictive ability of tested and untested lines in already observed environments and tested lines in novel or new environments. In general, the highest prediction abilities were obtained when the model accounting interactions between pedigrees (additive) and environment were included. The CV0 scheme (predicting unobserved or novel environments) reveals very low predictive abilities among the three schemes. CV1 and CV2 schemes that borrow information from the target and correlated environments have much higher predictive abilities. Further, predictive ability was lower when predicting lines in non-stress conditions using drought data as training set and/or vice-versa. When predicting the lines using the data sets under the same conditions (stress or non-stress data sets), much better prediction accuracy was obtained. These results provide conclusive evidence that modeling G × E interactions are important in predictions. Thus, considering G × E interactions would help to build enhanced genomic or pedigree-based prediction models in the rice breeding program. Further, it is crucial to borrow the correlated information from other environments to improve prediction accuracy. 2022-09-20 2022-12-22T14:23:26Z 2022-12-22T14:23:26Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/126261 en Open Access application/pdf Frontiers Media Khanna, Apurva, Mahender Anumalla, Margaret Catolos, Sankalp Bhosale, Diego Jarquin, and Waseem Hussain. "Optimizing predictions in IRRI’s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information." Frontiers in Plant Science 13 (2022).
spellingShingle rice
combining ability
plant breeding
data
Khanna, Apurva
Anumalla, Mahender
Catolos, Margaret
Bhosale, Sankalp
Jarquín, Diego
Hussain, Waseem
Optimizing predictions in IRRI’s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information
title Optimizing predictions in IRRI’s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information
title_full Optimizing predictions in IRRI’s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information
title_fullStr Optimizing predictions in IRRI’s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information
title_full_unstemmed Optimizing predictions in IRRI’s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information
title_short Optimizing predictions in IRRI’s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information
title_sort optimizing predictions in irri s rice drought breeding program by leveraging 17 years of historical data and pedigree information
topic rice
combining ability
plant breeding
data
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/126261
work_keys_str_mv AT khannaapurva optimizingpredictionsinirrisricedroughtbreedingprogrambyleveraging17yearsofhistoricaldataandpedigreeinformation
AT anumallamahender optimizingpredictionsinirrisricedroughtbreedingprogrambyleveraging17yearsofhistoricaldataandpedigreeinformation
AT catolosmargaret optimizingpredictionsinirrisricedroughtbreedingprogrambyleveraging17yearsofhistoricaldataandpedigreeinformation
AT bhosalesankalp optimizingpredictionsinirrisricedroughtbreedingprogrambyleveraging17yearsofhistoricaldataandpedigreeinformation
AT jarquindiego optimizingpredictionsinirrisricedroughtbreedingprogrambyleveraging17yearsofhistoricaldataandpedigreeinformation
AT hussainwaseem optimizingpredictionsinirrisricedroughtbreedingprogrambyleveraging17yearsofhistoricaldataandpedigreeinformation