Simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria

We used the CROPGRO-Soybean model to simulate the production potential of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria. Data from ten soybean experiments conducted under optimal conditions in 2016–2018 at Kano and Dambatta in the Sudan savanna (SS) agroecological zone were used to determine the cultivar coe...

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Autores principales: Kamara, A., Bebeley, J.F., Aliyu, K.T., Tofa, A., Omoigui, L., Solomon, R., Akinseye, Folorunso M.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/125564
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author Kamara, A.
Bebeley, J.F.
Aliyu, K.T.
Tofa, A.
Omoigui, L.
Solomon, R.
Akinseye, Folorunso M.
author_browse Akinseye, Folorunso M.
Aliyu, K.T.
Bebeley, J.F.
Kamara, A.
Omoigui, L.
Solomon, R.
Tofa, A.
author_facet Kamara, A.
Bebeley, J.F.
Aliyu, K.T.
Tofa, A.
Omoigui, L.
Solomon, R.
Akinseye, Folorunso M.
author_sort Kamara, A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We used the CROPGRO-Soybean model to simulate the production potential of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria. Data from ten soybean experiments conducted under optimal conditions in 2016–2018 at Kano and Dambatta in the Sudan savanna (SS) agroecological zone were used to determine the cultivar coefficients and calibrate the model for the varieties TGX 1448–2E and TGX1951–3 F. The model was evaluated with data from four phosphorous response trials conducted at Zaria and Doguwa in the northern Guinea savanna (GS) of Nigeria between 2016 and 2018. Results show that the CROPGRO-Soybean model was able to accurately simulate soybean growth and grain yield with low RMSE and high d-index values. Consequently, the model was used to investigate the rainfed yield potential of the two varieties in 24 sites in northeast Nigeria under different sowing windows using 30-year (1985–2014) weather data. The result shows that soybean can be grown in northeast Nigeria, but yield performance is dependent on location, variety and sowing window. The simulated yield was higher in the SS than in the GS agro-ecozone despite the longer growing period in the later. Low yield was simulated for TGX 1448–2E for most of the sites. The yield of TGX1951–3 F was above a threshold of 1500 kg ha−1 in 5 out of 12 sites in the GS and 7 out of 12 sites in the SS, suggesting that this variety is the most suitable for cultivation in northeast Nigeria. Sowing TGX 1951–3 F can be delayed to July 16 at Gwaskara, Nasarawo Demsa and Tawa in the GS and at Briyel, Lakundum, Jara Dali, Kurbo Gayi, and Mathau in the SS with a low-risk of crop failure. The desired yield will be achieved at Chikala and Puba Vidau with a significantly low risk of crop failure for all sowing windows. The results from this study suggest that the CSM-CROPGRO-Soybean model can be a valuable tool in determining the right variety and sowing window for soybean production in targeted agroecological zones in northeast Nigeria.
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spelling CGSpace1255642025-12-08T09:54:28Z Simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria Kamara, A. Bebeley, J.F. Aliyu, K.T. Tofa, A. Omoigui, L. Solomon, R. Akinseye, Folorunso M. soybeans sowing productivity nigeria agroecology grain legumes We used the CROPGRO-Soybean model to simulate the production potential of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria. Data from ten soybean experiments conducted under optimal conditions in 2016–2018 at Kano and Dambatta in the Sudan savanna (SS) agroecological zone were used to determine the cultivar coefficients and calibrate the model for the varieties TGX 1448–2E and TGX1951–3 F. The model was evaluated with data from four phosphorous response trials conducted at Zaria and Doguwa in the northern Guinea savanna (GS) of Nigeria between 2016 and 2018. Results show that the CROPGRO-Soybean model was able to accurately simulate soybean growth and grain yield with low RMSE and high d-index values. Consequently, the model was used to investigate the rainfed yield potential of the two varieties in 24 sites in northeast Nigeria under different sowing windows using 30-year (1985–2014) weather data. The result shows that soybean can be grown in northeast Nigeria, but yield performance is dependent on location, variety and sowing window. The simulated yield was higher in the SS than in the GS agro-ecozone despite the longer growing period in the later. Low yield was simulated for TGX 1448–2E for most of the sites. The yield of TGX1951–3 F was above a threshold of 1500 kg ha−1 in 5 out of 12 sites in the GS and 7 out of 12 sites in the SS, suggesting that this variety is the most suitable for cultivation in northeast Nigeria. Sowing TGX 1951–3 F can be delayed to July 16 at Gwaskara, Nasarawo Demsa and Tawa in the GS and at Briyel, Lakundum, Jara Dali, Kurbo Gayi, and Mathau in the SS with a low-risk of crop failure. The desired yield will be achieved at Chikala and Puba Vidau with a significantly low risk of crop failure for all sowing windows. The results from this study suggest that the CSM-CROPGRO-Soybean model can be a valuable tool in determining the right variety and sowing window for soybean production in targeted agroecological zones in northeast Nigeria. 2023-01 2022-11-22T11:43:47Z 2022-11-22T11:43:47Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/125564 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Kamara, A., Bebeley, J.F., Aliyu, K.T., Tofa, A., Omoigui, L., Solomon, R. & Akinseye, F.M. (2023). Simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria. European Journal of Agronomy, 142: 126683, 1-16.
spellingShingle soybeans
sowing
productivity
nigeria
agroecology
grain legumes
Kamara, A.
Bebeley, J.F.
Aliyu, K.T.
Tofa, A.
Omoigui, L.
Solomon, R.
Akinseye, Folorunso M.
Simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria
title Simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria
title_full Simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria
title_fullStr Simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria
title_short Simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast Nigeria
title_sort simulating potential yield of rainfed soybean in northeast nigeria
topic soybeans
sowing
productivity
nigeria
agroecology
grain legumes
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/125564
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