The Russia-Ukraine crisis: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses

This paper analyzes the implications of the Russian-Ukraine crisis on global and regional food security. We start with a global vulnerability analysis to identify most vulnerable regions and countries. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is particularly vulnerable to trade shocks because...

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Autores principales: Abay, Kibrom A., Breisinger, Clemens, Glauber, Joseph W., Kurdi, Sikandra, Laborde Debucquet, David, Siddig, Khalid
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/125300
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author Abay, Kibrom A.
Breisinger, Clemens
Glauber, Joseph W.
Kurdi, Sikandra
Laborde Debucquet, David
Siddig, Khalid
author_browse Abay, Kibrom A.
Breisinger, Clemens
Glauber, Joseph W.
Kurdi, Sikandra
Laborde Debucquet, David
Siddig, Khalid
author_facet Abay, Kibrom A.
Breisinger, Clemens
Glauber, Joseph W.
Kurdi, Sikandra
Laborde Debucquet, David
Siddig, Khalid
author_sort Abay, Kibrom A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper analyzes the implications of the Russian-Ukraine crisis on global and regional food security. We start with a global vulnerability analysis to identify most vulnerable regions and countries. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is particularly vulnerable to trade shocks because of its high food import dependence. Thus, we provide descriptive evidence characterizing how food systems and policies impact vulnerability to the price shock in selected MENA countries: Egypt, Sudan, and Yemen. Within these countries, we show that the crisis will differentially impact poor and non-poor households as well as rural and urban households. Although the absolute level of food insecurity may still be higher in rural areas where larger numbers of poor households are located, urban poor are likely to suffer most because of the Russia-Ukraine crisis and associated hikes in food prices, especially in those countries where social protection and food subsidies are missing. On the policy side, we review lessons from previous food crises and identify actions needed to take (and to avoid) to protect most vulnerable countries and households in the short-term while also highlighting long-term policy options to diversify food, fertilizer and energy production and trade.
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spelling CGSpace1253002025-11-06T06:59:34Z The Russia-Ukraine crisis: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses Abay, Kibrom A. Breisinger, Clemens Glauber, Joseph W. Kurdi, Sikandra Laborde Debucquet, David Siddig, Khalid food security food prices conflicts fertilizers farm inputs poverty economic shock This paper analyzes the implications of the Russian-Ukraine crisis on global and regional food security. We start with a global vulnerability analysis to identify most vulnerable regions and countries. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is particularly vulnerable to trade shocks because of its high food import dependence. Thus, we provide descriptive evidence characterizing how food systems and policies impact vulnerability to the price shock in selected MENA countries: Egypt, Sudan, and Yemen. Within these countries, we show that the crisis will differentially impact poor and non-poor households as well as rural and urban households. Although the absolute level of food insecurity may still be higher in rural areas where larger numbers of poor households are located, urban poor are likely to suffer most because of the Russia-Ukraine crisis and associated hikes in food prices, especially in those countries where social protection and food subsidies are missing. On the policy side, we review lessons from previous food crises and identify actions needed to take (and to avoid) to protect most vulnerable countries and households in the short-term while also highlighting long-term policy options to diversify food, fertilizer and energy production and trade. 2022-05-18 2022-11-03T07:09:13Z 2022-11-03T07:09:13Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/125300 en https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2023.100675 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Abay, Kibrom A.; Breisinger, Clemens; Glauber, Joseph W.; Kurdi, Sikandra; Laborde Debucquet, David; and Siddig, Khalid. 2022. The Russia-Ukraine crisis: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses. MENA RP Working Paper 39. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135913
spellingShingle food security
food prices
conflicts
fertilizers
farm inputs
poverty
economic shock
Abay, Kibrom A.
Breisinger, Clemens
Glauber, Joseph W.
Kurdi, Sikandra
Laborde Debucquet, David
Siddig, Khalid
The Russia-Ukraine crisis: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title The Russia-Ukraine crisis: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_full The Russia-Ukraine crisis: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_fullStr The Russia-Ukraine crisis: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_full_unstemmed The Russia-Ukraine crisis: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_short The Russia-Ukraine crisis: Implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
title_sort russia ukraine crisis implications for global and regional food security and potential policy responses
topic food security
food prices
conflicts
fertilizers
farm inputs
poverty
economic shock
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/125300
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