Method that improved area selection and consistently enhance forecast skill.

Two statistical models were used to evaluate the seasonal forecasts: Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) implemented in CPT, and Multiple Factorial Analysis (MFA), which allows integrating several regions or several predictors simultaneously. Using the results from the teleconnection analysis, fore...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/123221
Descripción
Sumario:Two statistical models were used to evaluate the seasonal forecasts: Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) implemented in CPT, and Multiple Factorial Analysis (MFA), which allows integrating several regions or several predictors simultaneously. Using the results from the teleconnection analysis, forecast skill in Colombia for the period form 1982-2013 was assessed.