Climate change impacts on water sustainability of South African crop production

Agricultural production in arid and semi-arid regions is particularly vulnerable to climate change, which, combined with projected food requirements, makes the sustainable management of water resources critical to ensure national and global food security. Using South Africa as an example, we map the...

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Main Authors: Bonetti, S., Sutanudjaja, E. H., Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe, Slotow, R., Dalin, C.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: IOP Publishing 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/120374
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author Bonetti, S.
Sutanudjaja, E. H.
Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe
Slotow, R.
Dalin, C.
author_browse Bonetti, S.
Dalin, C.
Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe
Slotow, R.
Sutanudjaja, E. H.
author_facet Bonetti, S.
Sutanudjaja, E. H.
Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe
Slotow, R.
Dalin, C.
author_sort Bonetti, S.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Agricultural production in arid and semi-arid regions is particularly vulnerable to climate change, which, combined with projected food requirements, makes the sustainable management of water resources critical to ensure national and global food security. Using South Africa as an example, we map the spatial distribution of water use by seventeen major crops under current and future climate scenarios, and assess their sustainability in terms of water resources, using the water debt repayment time indicator. We find high water debts, indicating unsustainable production, for potatoes, pulses, grapes, cotton, rice, and wheat due to irrigation in arid areas. Climate change scenarios suggest an intensification of such pressure on water resources, especially in regions already vulnerable, with a country-scale increase in irrigation demand of between 6.5% and 32% by 2090. Future land use planning and management should carefully consider the spatial distribution and local sustainability of crop water requirements to reduce water consumption in water risk hotspots and guarantee long-term food security.
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spelling CGSpace1203742025-10-26T12:55:01Z Climate change impacts on water sustainability of South African crop production Bonetti, S. Sutanudjaja, E. H. Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe Slotow, R. Dalin, C. crop production water resources sustainability climate change food security water footprint virtual water water availability water requirements water use groundwater spatial distribution forecasting evapotranspiration Agricultural production in arid and semi-arid regions is particularly vulnerable to climate change, which, combined with projected food requirements, makes the sustainable management of water resources critical to ensure national and global food security. Using South Africa as an example, we map the spatial distribution of water use by seventeen major crops under current and future climate scenarios, and assess their sustainability in terms of water resources, using the water debt repayment time indicator. We find high water debts, indicating unsustainable production, for potatoes, pulses, grapes, cotton, rice, and wheat due to irrigation in arid areas. Climate change scenarios suggest an intensification of such pressure on water resources, especially in regions already vulnerable, with a country-scale increase in irrigation demand of between 6.5% and 32% by 2090. Future land use planning and management should carefully consider the spatial distribution and local sustainability of crop water requirements to reduce water consumption in water risk hotspots and guarantee long-term food security. 2022-08-01 2022-07-31T04:47:56Z 2022-07-31T04:47:56Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/120374 en Open Access IOP Publishing Bonetti, S.; Sutanudjaja, E. H.; Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe; Slotow, R.; Dalin, C. 2022. Climate change impacts on water sustainability of South African crop production. Environmental Research Letters, 17(8):084017. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac80cf]
spellingShingle crop production
water resources
sustainability
climate change
food security
water footprint
virtual water
water availability
water requirements
water use
groundwater
spatial distribution
forecasting
evapotranspiration
Bonetti, S.
Sutanudjaja, E. H.
Mabhaudhi, Tafadzwanashe
Slotow, R.
Dalin, C.
Climate change impacts on water sustainability of South African crop production
title Climate change impacts on water sustainability of South African crop production
title_full Climate change impacts on water sustainability of South African crop production
title_fullStr Climate change impacts on water sustainability of South African crop production
title_full_unstemmed Climate change impacts on water sustainability of South African crop production
title_short Climate change impacts on water sustainability of South African crop production
title_sort climate change impacts on water sustainability of south african crop production
topic crop production
water resources
sustainability
climate change
food security
water footprint
virtual water
water availability
water requirements
water use
groundwater
spatial distribution
forecasting
evapotranspiration
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/120374
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