Assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the Khorezm Region, Uzbekistan

Soil salinity negatively affects plant growth and leads to soil degradation. Saline lands result in low agricultural productivity, affecting the well-being of farmers and the economic situation in the region. The prediction of soil salinization dynamics plays a crucial role in sustainable developmen...

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Main Authors: Khamidov, M., Ishchanov, J., Hamidov, A., Donmez, C., Djumaboev, Kakhramon
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: MDPI 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/120372
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author Khamidov, M.
Ishchanov, J.
Hamidov, A.
Donmez, C.
Djumaboev, Kakhramon
author_browse Djumaboev, Kakhramon
Donmez, C.
Hamidov, A.
Ishchanov, J.
Khamidov, M.
author_facet Khamidov, M.
Ishchanov, J.
Hamidov, A.
Donmez, C.
Djumaboev, Kakhramon
author_sort Khamidov, M.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Soil salinity negatively affects plant growth and leads to soil degradation. Saline lands result in low agricultural productivity, affecting the well-being of farmers and the economic situation in the region. The prediction of soil salinization dynamics plays a crucial role in sustainable development of agricultural regions, in preserving the ecosystems, and in improving irrigation management practices. Accurate information through monitoring and evaluating the changes in soil salinity is essential for the development of strategies for agriculture productivity and efficient soil management. As part of an ex-ante analysis, we presented a comprehensive statistical framework for predicting soil salinity dynamics using the Homogeneity test and linear regression model. The framework was operationalized in the context of the Khorezm region of Uzbekistan, which suffers from high levels of soil salinity. The soil salinity trends and levels were projected under the impact of climate change from 2021 to 2050 and 2051 to 2100. The results show that the slightly saline soils would generally decrease (from 55.4% in 2050 to 52.4% by 2100 based on the homogeneity test; from 55.9% in 2050 to 54.5% by 2100 according to the linear regression model), but moderately saline soils would increase (from 31.2% in 2050 to 32.5% by 2100 based on the homogeneity test; from 31.2% in 2050 to 32.4% by 2100 according to the linear regression model). Moreover, highly saline soils would increase (from 13.4% in 2050 to 15.1% by 2100 based on the homogeneity test; from 12.9% in 2050 to 13.1% by 2100 according to the linear regression model). The results of this study provide an understanding that soil salinity depends on climate change and help the government to better plan future management strategies for the region.
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spelling CGSpace1203722025-12-08T10:29:22Z Assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the Khorezm Region, Uzbekistan Khamidov, M. Ishchanov, J. Hamidov, A. Donmez, C. Djumaboev, Kakhramon soil salinity assessment climate change soil salinization forecasting water resources energy food production nexus approaches air temperature meteorological stations irrigated land soil chemicophysical properties Soil salinity negatively affects plant growth and leads to soil degradation. Saline lands result in low agricultural productivity, affecting the well-being of farmers and the economic situation in the region. The prediction of soil salinization dynamics plays a crucial role in sustainable development of agricultural regions, in preserving the ecosystems, and in improving irrigation management practices. Accurate information through monitoring and evaluating the changes in soil salinity is essential for the development of strategies for agriculture productivity and efficient soil management. As part of an ex-ante analysis, we presented a comprehensive statistical framework for predicting soil salinity dynamics using the Homogeneity test and linear regression model. The framework was operationalized in the context of the Khorezm region of Uzbekistan, which suffers from high levels of soil salinity. The soil salinity trends and levels were projected under the impact of climate change from 2021 to 2050 and 2051 to 2100. The results show that the slightly saline soils would generally decrease (from 55.4% in 2050 to 52.4% by 2100 based on the homogeneity test; from 55.9% in 2050 to 54.5% by 2100 according to the linear regression model), but moderately saline soils would increase (from 31.2% in 2050 to 32.5% by 2100 based on the homogeneity test; from 31.2% in 2050 to 32.4% by 2100 according to the linear regression model). Moreover, highly saline soils would increase (from 13.4% in 2050 to 15.1% by 2100 based on the homogeneity test; from 12.9% in 2050 to 13.1% by 2100 according to the linear regression model). The results of this study provide an understanding that soil salinity depends on climate change and help the government to better plan future management strategies for the region. 2022-07-20 2022-07-30T19:54:01Z 2022-07-30T19:54:01Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/120372 en Open Access MDPI Khamidov, M.; Ishchanov, J.; Hamidov, A.; Donmez, C.; Djumaboev, Kakhramon. 2022. Assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the Khorezm Region, Uzbekistan. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(14):8794. (Special issue: Effects of Climate Change on Soil and Water Environment) [doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19148794]
spellingShingle soil salinity
assessment
climate change
soil salinization
forecasting
water resources
energy
food production
nexus approaches
air temperature
meteorological stations
irrigated land
soil chemicophysical properties
Khamidov, M.
Ishchanov, J.
Hamidov, A.
Donmez, C.
Djumaboev, Kakhramon
Assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the Khorezm Region, Uzbekistan
title Assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the Khorezm Region, Uzbekistan
title_full Assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the Khorezm Region, Uzbekistan
title_fullStr Assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the Khorezm Region, Uzbekistan
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the Khorezm Region, Uzbekistan
title_short Assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the Khorezm Region, Uzbekistan
title_sort assessment of soil salinity changes under the climate change in the khorezm region uzbekistan
topic soil salinity
assessment
climate change
soil salinization
forecasting
water resources
energy
food production
nexus approaches
air temperature
meteorological stations
irrigated land
soil chemicophysical properties
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/120372
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