| Sumario: | Improving the preparedness of agricultural systems to future climate-change-induced
phenomena, such as drought-induced water stress, and the predictive analysis of their vulnerability
is crucial. In this study, a hybrid modeling approach based on the SWAT model was built to
understand the response of major crops and streamflow in the Bouregreg catchment in Morocco
to future droughts. During dry years, the simulation results showed a dramatic decrease in water
resources availability (up to −40%) with uneven impacts across the study catchment area. Crop-wise,
significant decreases in rainfed wheat productivity (up to −55%) were simulated during future
extremely dry growing seasons.
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